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Belmont vs Valparaiso Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 86-61
48-22 38-39
Position#128
Record19-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game76.3
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#355
Record7-24
FormLLLLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game75.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Belmont v Valparaiso
13 Jan 2026
BELM78
VALP74
14 Jan 2025
BELM71
VALP64
07 Mar 2024
BELM86
VALP61
02 Dec 2023
BELM77
VALP68
01 Dec 2022
BELM76
VALP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H24/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A29/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-37
27-41
37-36
43-51
34-33
35-31
54-27
42-51
37-31
45-37
46-32
29-28
36-46
33-38
46-38
47-40
38-30
45-31
38-26
45-40
152.6Avg total
80.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.176.3154.4+1.861%
Season at home (15)78.970.1148.9+8.887%
Season away (16)77.482.1159.6-4.738%
Last 10 (10)80.272.4152.6+7.870%
Last 5 (5)80.669.8150.4+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.087.9162.9-12.914%
vs Similar (17)76.874.0150.8+2.865%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.069.2151.2+12.8100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
61-101
61
101
-40
A08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
64-83
64
83
-19
H22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
40-40
32-30
30-33
36-50
25-51
27-54
51-42
26-38
41-48
41-38
33-44
37-45
27-38
44-36
24-44
21-38
33-30
44-31
31-41
148.5Avg total
67.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)67.875.2143.0-7.423%
Season at home (17)69.573.9143.4-4.535%
Season away (14)65.876.6142.4-10.97%
Last 10 (10)67.381.2148.5-13.910%
Last 5 (5)67.077.0144.0-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)67.176.0143.1-8.921%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)56.066.0122.0-10.00%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -7.6-7.6
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: -6.3-6.32nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -7.6-7.6
BelmontValparaiso
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
54-27
54
27
+27
A10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A18/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H24/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A29/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H03/03
NCAA
74.7Avg total
41.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.236.074.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.732.672.4+7.179%-
Last 30 away (16)36.838.975.8-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.133.674.7+7.590%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.475.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.143.480.6-6.329%-
vs Similar (17)36.435.171.5+1.359%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.229.071.2+13.2100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drake
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A28/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H03/03
NCAA
73.9Avg total
33.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.136.868.9-4.733%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.335.867.1-4.531%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.970.9-5.036%-
Last 10 (10)33.840.173.9-6.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.675.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)32.337.369.7-5.031%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)25.021.046.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
0
Valparaiso wins
DateGameScore
10/02/24Valparaiso v Belmont78-96
02/12/23Belmont v Valparaiso77-68
11/01/23Valparaiso v Belmont59-74
02/12/22Belmont v Valparaiso76-64
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HEvansville83-66
29/02/24AMurray State83-61
24/02/24HMissouri State93-78
22/02/24ADrake69-84
18/02/24AIllinois (Chi.)75-60
15/02/24HSouthern Illinois82-68
10/02/24AValparaiso96-78
08/02/24HMurray State69-64
03/02/24AMissouri State80-87
01/02/24HIndiana State72-78
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/24HIllinois State75-72
28/02/24ANorthern Iowa54-68
24/02/24AMurray State68-80
22/02/24HIndiana State64-83
17/02/24AMissouri State74-82
15/02/24HNorthern Iowa67-86
10/02/24HBelmont78-96
08/02/24AIndiana State61-101
03/02/24HEvansville62-63
01/02/24ADrake70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeLWWWW87%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %61%87%38%
Points / game78.178.977.4
Allowed / game76.370.182.1
Point differential+1.8+8.8-4.7
Avg total154.4148.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%40%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLLLW35%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %23%35%7%
Points / game67.869.565.8
Allowed / game75.273.976.6
Point differential-7.4-4.5-10.9
Avg total143.0143.4142.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State3126584%84.572.0+12.5
2 Drake3125681%80.770.7+10.0
3 Bradley31211068%74.867.5+7.3
4 Southern Illinois31191261%72.467.7+4.6
5 Belmont31191261%78.176.3+1.8
6 Northern Iowa31181358%73.570.6+2.8
7 Illinois State31151648%66.967.9-1.0
8 Evansville31151648%72.474.1-1.7
9 Murray State32122038%69.869.9-0.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)31112035%70.671.1-0.5
11 Valparaiso3172423%67.875.2-7.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont483886
Valparaiso223961
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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