PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valparaiso vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 64-83
37-45 27-38
Position#355
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.2
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#13
Record22-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game72.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Valparaiso v Indiana State
27 Jan 2027
VALP v INDI
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
VALP63
INDI62
15 Feb 2026
VALP76
INDI75
08 Jan 2025
VALP98
INDI95
21 Feb 2024
VALP64
INDI83
01 Jan 2023
VALP50
INDI68
05 Feb 2022
VALP79
INDI72
27 Feb 2021
VALP70
INDI58
26 Feb 2021
VALP43
INDI58
18 Jan 2020
VALP86
INDI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
L
75-78
75
78
-3
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
61-101
61
101
-40
A08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-40
37-38
34-39
50-38
34-29
35-46
37-40
33-41
30-41
40-40
32-30
30-33
36-50
25-51
27-54
51-42
26-38
41-48
41-38
33-44
153.0Avg total
71.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.275.1143.3-6.922%
Season at home (15)69.573.5142.9-4.033%
Season away (12)66.677.1143.7-10.58%
Last 10 (10)71.082.0153.0-11.010%
Last 5 (5)68.485.6154.0-17.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)67.376.0143.3-8.719%
vs Similar (2)63.077.5140.5-14.50%
vs Weaker (2)78.063.5141.5+14.550%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-30
44-36
25-28
47-35
41-39
48-44
33-29
45-49
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
50-36
51-25
35-36
38-35
29-35
38-45
37-31
32-43
153.0Avg total
80.7Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.372.3156.6+12.081%
Season at home (13)87.865.9153.7+21.892%
Season away (14)81.178.2159.3+2.971%
Last 10 (10)80.772.3153.0+8.480%
Last 5 (5)77.070.6147.6+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)78.283.6161.8-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.170.6155.7+14.588%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.4-6.41st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -4.6-4.62nd half: +5.2+5.2
ValparaisoIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#225
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A18/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A25/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H27/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
27-54
27
54
-27
H10/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H15/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/02
NCAA
73.4Avg total
33.5Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.236.368.5-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.035.167.1-3.131%-
Last 30 away (14)32.437.770.1-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.539.973.4-6.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.442.074.4-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)31.637.569.1-5.927%-
vs Similar (2)28.535.564.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker (2)43.522.065.5+21.5100%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A10/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H14/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
36.8Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.134.175.2+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.030.872.8+11.293%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.177.3+3.250%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.571.3+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.872.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.632.774.3+8.975%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valparaiso wins
5
Indiana State wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24AMissouri State74-82
15/02/24HNorthern Iowa67-86
10/02/24HBelmont78-96
08/02/24AIndiana State61-101
03/02/24HEvansville62-63
01/02/24ADrake70-81
27/01/24HMissouri State70-81
25/01/24ASouthern Illinois69-75
20/01/24HIllinois (Chi.)84-77
18/01/24AEvansville75-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ASouthern Illinois69-74
14/02/24HIllinois State67-80
10/02/24AMissouri State73-71
08/02/24HValparaiso101-61
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
27/01/24HBradley95-86 OT
25/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)89-83
21/01/24AMurray State72-63
17/01/24HMissouri State88-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeWLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %22%33%8%
Points / game68.269.566.6
Allowed / game75.173.577.1
Point differential-6.9-4.0-10.5
Avg total143.3142.9143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %81%92%71%
Points / game84.387.881.1
Allowed / game72.365.978.2
Point differential+12.0+21.8+2.9
Avg total156.6153.7159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%77%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2722581%84.372.3+12.0
2 Drake2722581%80.068.9+11.0
3 Bradley2718967%75.368.3+7.0
4 Southern Illinois27171063%72.967.0+5.9
5 Belmont27161159%77.676.9+0.7
6 Northern Iowa27151256%72.770.7+2.1
7 Evansville27151256%73.373.1+0.1
8 Illinois State27131448%66.768.0-1.3
9 Murray State27111641%70.869.1+1.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)27101737%69.069.0+0.0
11 Valparaiso2762122%68.275.1-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Valparaiso372764
Indiana State453883
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.