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Varese vs Alba Fehervar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 91-66
15-11 22-16 26-24 28-15
Position#4
Record4-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game73.2
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#7
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Fehervar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
93-85
93
85
+8
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
86-59
86
59
+27
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A18/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
25-17
25-24
16-19
23-20
22-13
28-25
20-27
27-19
22-25
17-16
18-15
21-17
25-23
21-15
11-11
19-19
18-16
18-22
22-28
21-16
12-17
14-19
21-22
23-17
22-12
21-18
20-12
19-22
24-20
21-20
15-21
21-14
16-22
30-22
22-13
25-10
14-28
22-18
21-23
158.4Avg total
83.1Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.273.2159.4+13.080%
Season at home (2)85.067.0152.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)87.077.3164.3+9.767%
Last 10 (10)83.175.3158.4+7.870%
Last 5 (5)80.873.2154.0+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (16)78.174.9153.0+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.075.2156.2+5.869%
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba FehervarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTE-Duna
#9
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H12/10
NB I A
FC Porto
#36
W
96-92 OT
96
92
+4
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jaszberenyi
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A20/10
NB I A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TF Budapest
#14
W
113-51
113
51
+62
H26/10
NB I A
Varese
#4
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Szedeak
#13
W
97-68
97
68
+29
H03/11
NB I A
FC Porto
#36
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
104-83
104
83
+21
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#3
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/11
NB I A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
17-16
21-22
20-15
13-14
26-27
18-22
25-19
15-26
30-19
16-14
21-22
21-24
22-16
20-17
21-23
31-16
26-10
30-13
26-12
19-19
16-18
22-18
28-22
27-20
27-14
20-17
23-17
18-21
18-27
17-10
19-12
17-18
34-24
27-20
26-21
15-20
22-20
14-10
12-23
162.7Avg total
87.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.080.4167.4+6.686%
Season at home (4)82.873.5156.2+9.2100%
Season away (3)92.789.7182.3+3.067%
Last 10 (10)87.775.0162.7+12.790%
Last 5 (5)84.274.2158.4+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.080.0155.0-5.050%
vs Similar (12)80.680.4161.0+0.242%
vs Weaker (16)89.874.8164.6+14.988%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +3.5+3.5
VareseAlba Fehervar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H21/10
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H28/10
Lega A
Alba Fehervar
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A04/11
Lega A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H07/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H11/11
Lega A
FC Porto
#36
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cremona
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A18/11
Lega A
79.1Avg total
42.8Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.976.8+5.080%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.535.078.5+8.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.636.775.2+1.969%-
Last 10 (10)42.836.379.1+6.590%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.675.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (16)40.836.877.5+4.081%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.934.875.8+6.177%-
This opponent (Alba Fehervar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba FehervarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KTE-Duna
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/10
NB I A
FC Porto
#36
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A17/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Jaszberenyi
#5
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A20/10
NB I A
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
TF Budapest
#14
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H26/10
NB I A
Varese
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Szedeak
#13
W
54-34
54
34
+20
H03/11
NB I A
FC Porto
#36
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rilski Sportist
#34
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A14/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Szolnoki Olaj
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H18/11
NB I A
82.8Avg total
43.7Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.739.081.7+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.736.681.4+8.171%-
Last 30 away (13)40.242.082.2-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.739.182.8+4.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.282.8+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.039.569.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (12)42.640.983.5+1.742%-
vs Weaker (16)44.437.481.9+7.075%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.3
51.5%
52.5%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.4
31.1%
34.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.710.6
67.5%
73.3%10.6
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Fehervartheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
1
Alba Fehervar wins
DateGameScore
30/10/18Alba Fehervar v Varese85-77
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18ACremona82-79
14/11/18AFC Porto89-71
11/11/18HAvellino79-83
07/11/18HRilski Sportist86-59
04/11/18AReggiana68-74
30/10/18AAlba Fehervar77-85
28/10/18HTrieste78-66
24/10/18HFC Porto84-75
21/10/18HTrento93-85
17/10/18ARilski Sportist95-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18HSzolnoki Olaj63-73
14/11/18ARilski Sportist104-83
06/11/18HFC Porto72-70
03/11/18HSzedeak97-68
30/10/18HVarese85-77
26/10/18HTF Budapest113-51
23/10/18HRilski Sportist84-80
20/10/18AJaszberenyi82-81
17/10/18AFC Porto96-92 OT
12/10/18HKTE-Duna81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game86.285.087.0
Allowed / game73.267.077.3
Point differential+13.0+18.0+9.7
Avg total159.4152.0164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alba Fehervar
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game87.082.892.7
Allowed / game80.473.589.7
Point differential+6.6+9.2+3.0
Avg total167.4156.2182.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears660100%105.575.7+29.8
2 Sassari87188%95.575.8+19.8
3 Alba Fehervar76186%87.080.4+6.6
4 Saratov65183%96.386.8+9.5
5 Lukoil Levski65183%86.777.5+9.2
6 Szolnoki Olaj65183%84.879.0+5.8
7 Donar Groningen65183%78.873.3+5.5
8 Varese54180%86.273.2+13.0
9 Leiden86275%75.972.8+3.1
10 Nes Ziona107370%91.281.9+9.3
11 Karsiyaka64267%81.772.8+8.8
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg64267%77.372.7+4.7
13 Z-Mobile Prishtina64267%84.385.5-1.2
14 AEK Larnaca64267%74.876.7-1.8
15 Balkan85362%79.074.5+4.5
16 Kataja106460%82.580.7+1.8
17 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
18 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
19 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
20 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
21 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
22 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
23 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
24 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
25 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
26 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
27 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
28 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
29 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
30 FC Porto51420%79.284.4-5.2
31 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
32 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
33 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
34 Rilski Sportist71614%77.489.1-11.7
35 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
36 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
37 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
38 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
39 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
40 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
41 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
42 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1522262891
Alba Fehervar1116241566
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