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Varese vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 01 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 70-75
12-17 23-21 20-14 15-23
Position#38
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
PAOK 🏆
Position#22
Record1-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game72.5
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 3
European cup2016
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A30/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
16-18
14-29
26-21
25-28
16-13
13-14
21-17
23-20
16-19
14-15
17-18
15-21
13-17
19-23
25-17
20-23
23-12
27-19
23-20
16-22
17-22
19-18
19-17
16-25
23-19
22-14
22-24
15-22
18-18
19-16
24-20
17-24
14-29
17-14
12-27
14-20
14-22
15-28
21-27
157.6Avg total
75.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.080.0152.0-8.050%
Season at home (2)76.577.0153.5-0.550%
Season away (2)67.583.0150.5-15.550%
Last 10 (10)75.881.8157.6-6.040%
Last 5 (5)73.886.6160.4-12.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.378.5151.8-5.242%
vs Similar (17)82.480.3162.6+2.165%
vs Weaker (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#25
L
71-83
71
83
-12
A26/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H03/02
Eurocup
Limoges
#18
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A10/02
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A05/10
Greek Cup
Lefkadas
#14
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A08/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H15/10
Basket League
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
A19/10
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A22/10
Basket League
Usak Sportif
#33
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H25/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#13
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H29/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
15-24
10-26
22-9
19-19
20-14
19-22
17-17
9-16
16-23
17-17
19-23
19-18
21-26
17-20
12-24
21-30
17-15
16-17
24-22
13-16
24-14
24-21
24-22
17-15
13-18
20-18
15-14
16-18
17-14
15-11
18-19
8-16
15-9
15-15
21-12
27-28
22-23
10-16
25-16
150.2Avg total
73.3Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.072.5144.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)59.052.0111.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)85.093.0178.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)73.376.9150.2-3.650%
Last 5 (5)75.872.6148.4+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)73.282.3155.6-9.133%
vs Similar (11)74.075.3149.3-1.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)75.876.0151.8-0.250%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
VaresePAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/10
Champions League
Pistoia
#7
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A30/10
Lega A
76.9Avg total
35.4Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.5-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.779.8+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)35.241.977.1-6.614%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.576.9-6.110%-
Last 5 (5)32.844.677.4-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)36.342.979.2-6.625%-
vs Similar (17)39.939.078.9+0.947%-
vs Weaker (1)37.027.064.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#25
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A26/01
Eurocup
Valencia
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H03/02
Eurocup
Limoges
#18
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A10/02
Eurocup
Panathinaikos
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A05/10
Greek Cup
Lefkadas
#14
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A08/10
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/10
Basket League
HydroTruck Radom
#44
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/10
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A22/10
Basket League
Usak Sportif
#33
L
23-25
23
25
-2
H25/10
Champions League
Apollon Patras
#13
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
Basket League
73.3Avg total
35.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.837.973.7-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.037.974.9-0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.637.972.5-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)35.338.073.3-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.268.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.039.976.9-2.933%-
vs Similar (11)33.336.970.2-3.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.137.475.5+0.838%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.018.5
46.2%
52.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.2
35.9%
34.3%24.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.1%
73.8%11.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Varese wins
0
PAOK wins
No previous meetings.
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/16APistoia64-97
25/10/16ANeptunas60-94
23/10/16HBrindisi91-81 OT
19/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne83-82
16/10/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
09/10/16HCaserta93-74
03/10/16ASassari72-78
29/09/16HBenfica70-72
27/09/16ABenfica75-72
04/05/16ACantu79-89
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/16HApollon Patras84-83
25/10/16HUsak Sportif59-52
22/10/16AAris66-62
19/10/16AHydroTruck Radom85-93 OT
15/10/16HKolossos Rhodes85-73
08/10/16ALefkadas78-84
05/10/16APanathinaikos69-88
10/02/16ALimoges61-79
03/02/16HValencia75-72
26/01/16AOldenburg71-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Champions League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game72.076.567.5
Allowed / game80.077.083.0
Point differential-8.0-0.5-15.5
Avg total152.0153.5150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Champions League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game72.059.085.0
Allowed / game72.552.093.0
Point differential-0.5+7.0-8.0
Avg total144.5111.0178.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%0%100%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife330100%93.761.7+32.0
2 Monaco330100%72.753.0+19.7
3 Le Mans220100%68.049.0+19.0
4 Neptunas220100%80.562.5+18.0
5 Nymburk220100%76.561.5+15.0
6 Banvit220100%84.570.0+14.5
7 Besiktas330100%85.771.7+14.0
8 Aris220100%72.060.0+12.0
9 Avellino330100%80.074.0+6.0
10 Juventus54180%78.275.2+3.0
11 AEK Athens32167%83.365.0+18.3
12 Saratov32167%92.785.7+7.0
13 Maccabi Rishon32167%72.068.0+4.0
14 Karsiyaka32167%71.368.7+2.7
15 Partizan32167%61.765.7-4.0
16 CSM Oradea74357%70.669.6+1.0
17 Ventspils21150%75.065.0+10.0
18 Cluj Napoca42250%75.271.0+4.2
19 Minsk42250%69.865.8+4.0
20 Usak Sportif42250%73.870.5+3.2
21 Sassari21150%73.071.5+1.5
22 Lyon-Villeurbanne21150%81.581.0+0.5
23 Benfica21150%72.072.5-0.5
24 Oldenburg21150%78.078.5-0.5
25 PAOK21150%72.072.5-0.5
26 Venezia21150%62.064.5-2.5
27 Ironi Nahariya42250%69.273.5-4.2
28 Academic21150%66.571.0-4.5
29 Mornar Bar42250%70.876.5-5.8
30 Mega Bemax21150%75.581.5-6.0
31 HydroTruck Radom21150%73.079.5-6.5
32 Varese42250%72.080.0-8.0
33 Igokea21150%65.576.0-10.5
34 Sodertalje21150%62.078.0-16.0
35 Szolnoki Olaj21150%61.082.0-21.0
36 Bakken Bears52340%67.677.6-10.0
37 Zielona Gora31233%66.067.3-1.3
38 Kataja41325%76.077.2-1.2
39 Tartu Ulikool41325%69.572.8-3.2
40 Ludwigsburg2020%67.068.5-1.5
41 Donar Groningen2020%66.570.5-4.0
42 Strasbourg2020%76.581.5-5.0
43 Helios Domzale2020%54.560.5-6.0
44 Oostende2020%65.571.5-6.0
45 BC Prievidza2020%65.572.0-6.5
46 FC Porto2020%70.080.0-10.0
47 Cibona3030%73.083.3-10.3
48 Khimik2020%63.074.0-11.0
49 Rilski Sportist2020%61.073.0-12.0
50 Frankfurt2020%58.575.5-17.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%53.072.5-19.5
52 Spirou Charleroi2020%66.586.0-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese1223201570
PAOK1721142375
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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