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Pistoia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Oct 2016
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 97-64
20-14 22-14 28-15 27-21
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game81.2
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.0
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2016-17
Meetings · Pistoia v Varese
19 Jan 2025
PIS111
VAR96
05 May 2024
PIS78
VAR96
17 Apr 2020
PIS v VAR
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
PIS71
VAR65
04 Mar 2018
PIS74
VAR65
30 Oct 2016
PIS97
VAR64
13 Dec 2015
PIS67
VAR65
03 May 2015
PIS87
VAR103
08 Dec 2013
PIS89
VAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H24/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
65-58
65
58
+7
A04/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
76-93
76
93
-17
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
90-92 OT
90
92
-2
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
67-87
67
87
-20
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A24/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
16-25
18-17
16-18
14-23
15-18
30-11
18-16
16-13
14-18
12-11
23-16
15-28
26-27
15-22
20-16
17-23
16-24
18-19
19-17
27-21
18-22
16-20
21-19
21-26
12-25
11-20
23-16
16-24
18-18
25-17
30-22
25-22
18-13
12-14
12-34
13-22
18-19
19-13
15-20
152.7Avg total
73.4Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.081.2153.2-9.225%
Season at home (1)89.081.0170.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)66.381.3147.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)73.479.3152.7-5.930%
Last 5 (5)75.683.4159.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.187.3164.4-10.10%
vs Similar ◀ (22)75.576.5152.0-1.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#1
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
93-74
93
74
+19
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
W
91-81 OT
91
81
+10
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A25/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
15-10
16-13
15-28
23-21
16-18
14-29
26-21
25-28
16-13
13-14
21-17
23-20
16-19
14-15
17-18
15-21
13-17
19-23
25-17
20-23
23-12
27-19
23-20
16-22
17-22
19-18
19-17
16-25
23-19
22-14
22-24
15-22
18-18
19-16
24-20
17-24
14-29
17-14
12-27
154.3Avg total
75.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.878.0159.8+3.850%
Season at home (2)92.077.5169.5+14.5100%
Season away (2)71.578.5150.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)75.678.7154.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)79.682.0161.6-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.378.5151.8-5.242%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.879.1161.8+3.765%
vs Weaker (1)77.071.0148.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
PistoiaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A18/04
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H24/04
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A04/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A07/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A09/05
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H11/05
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H09/10
Lega A
Avellino
#3
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A15/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A24/10
Lega A
77.8Avg total
35.3Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.478.8-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.040.478.4-2.450%-
Last 30 away (16)36.942.279.2-5.319%-
Last 10 (10)35.342.577.8-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.479.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.947.084.9-9.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)37.239.877.0-2.632%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#1
W
31-25
31
25
+6
H01/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A04/05
Lega A
Benfica
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/09
Champions League
Benfica
#25
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/09
Champions League
Sassari
#5
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/10
Lega A
Caserta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A16/10
Lega A
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/10
Champions League
Brindisi
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H23/10
Lega A
Neptunas
#6
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A25/10
Champions League
75.5Avg total
35.7Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.979.0-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.138.779.8+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.641.478.0-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)35.739.875.5-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.279.0-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.342.979.2-6.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.138.679.6+2.553%-
vs Weaker (1)37.027.064.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 71.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.5 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.2
49.1%
51.1%42.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.56.5
28.9%
35.7%19.5
🏀 Free throws14.29.8
68.4%
74.0%9.8
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.3
48.8%
51.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.38.7
37.1%
35.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws14.310.7
74.4%
74.0%10.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 30 Oct 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLWLLLLWWL
Varese
LWWLWLLWLL
#7
League position
#10
-10.8
Net rating
+1.3
96.5
Offensive rating
103.5
107.2
Defensive rating
102.2
47.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.7%
22.1%
Turnover %
20.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.9%
3-point %
37.1%
54.1%
Assist %
60.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 103.5Defence107.2 · 102.2Shooting47.1% · 51.3%3-point %28.9% · 37.1%Ball care22.1% · 20.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 33.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Pistoia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pistoia wins
3
Varese wins
DateGameScore
03/04/16Varese v Pistoia91-78
13/12/15Pistoia v Varese67-65
03/05/15Pistoia v Varese87-103
04/01/15Varese v Pistoia67-71
23/03/14Varese v Pistoia84-73
08/12/13Pistoia v Varese89-76
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/16ACaserta65-74
15/10/16AAvellino67-83
09/10/16HBrindisi89-81
03/10/16ACremona67-87
11/05/16HAvellino90-92 OT
09/05/16AAvellino70-83
07/05/16AAvellino76-93
04/05/16ACapo d'Orlando65-58
24/04/16HSassari77-68
18/04/16AVenezia68-74
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/16ANeptunas60-94
23/10/16HBrindisi91-81 OT
19/10/16HLyon-Villeurbanne83-82
16/10/16AOlimpia Milano71-79
09/10/16HCaserta93-74
03/10/16ASassari72-78
29/09/16HBenfica70-72
27/09/16ABenfica75-72
04/05/16ACantu79-89
01/05/16HFrankfurt62-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game72.089.066.3
Allowed / game81.281.081.3
Point differential-9.2+8.0-15.0
Avg total153.2170.0147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game81.892.071.5
Allowed / game78.077.578.5
Point differential+3.8+14.5-7.0
Avg total159.8169.5150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%83.574.2+9.2
2 Trento43175%78.070.2+7.8
3 Avellino43175%77.573.0+4.5
4 Reggiana43175%82.078.8+3.2
5 Caserta43175%80.278.8+1.5
6 Varese42250%81.878.0+3.8
7 Cantu42250%78.878.0+0.8
8 Sassari42250%80.880.2+0.5
9 Venezia42250%80.280.5-0.2
10 Brindisi52340%79.280.4-1.2
11 Torino52340%81.484.8-3.4
12 Pesaro41325%69.570.8-1.2
13 Cremona41325%82.084.2-2.2
14 Capo d'Orlando41325%75.079.2-4.2
15 Brescia41325%73.081.2-8.2
16 Pistoia41325%72.081.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia2022282797
Varese1414152164
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