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Varese vs Z-Mobile Prishtina Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 13 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 100-84
33-21 23-19 21-19 23-25
Position#4
Record10-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game73.5
Varese 🏆
vs
Position#26
Record6-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game86.8
EuropeFIBA Europe Cup
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Z-Mobile Prishtina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
W
92-80
92
80
+12
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
L
71-76
71
76
-5
A10/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
15-19
25-25
12-16
21-22
23-24
19-18
28-16
22-22
25-12
12-20
15-28
28-17
27-15
26-15
9-24
9-22
157.1Avg total
79.5Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.273.5157.6+10.777%
Season at home (6)86.072.2158.2+13.867%
Season away (7)82.674.6157.1+8.086%
Last 10 (10)79.577.6157.1+1.950%
Last 5 (5)84.082.2166.2+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (9)79.674.8154.3+4.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.672.8154.3+8.861%
This opponent (Z-Mobile Prishtina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Z-Mobile PrishtinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#7
W
105-49
105
49
+56
H20/01
Superliga
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lipjani
#8
W
121-66
121
66
+55
H26/01
Superliga
Szolnoki Olaj
#18
L
76-89
76
89
-13
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Borea
#9
W
140-52
140
52
+88
A03/02
Superliga
Karsiyaka
#13
W
82-78
82
78
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#4
W
109-78
109
78
+31
H09/02
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A16/02
Superliga
Varese
#4
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Rahoveci
#3
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H09/03
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
24-8
33-17
25-9
17-29
13-27
27-18
21-17
39-19
26-14
26-18
30-15
23-20
19-20
17-19
17-30
35-10
23-16
37-12
45-14
16-26
23-16
20-18
23-18
34-14
25-21
28-18
22-25
26-20
25-21
21-23
26-29
12-25
20-12
28-15
17-28
24-14
26-16
17-15
22-25
172.1Avg total
97.5Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.786.8168.5-5.246%
Season at home (7)80.182.3162.4-2.157%
Season away (6)83.592.2175.7-8.733%
Last 10 (10)97.574.6172.1+22.970%
Last 5 (5)91.079.8170.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.094.1174.1-14.114%
vs Similar (4)85.280.0165.2+5.275%
vs Weaker (19)98.770.9169.7+27.8100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +5.7+5.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +8.1+8.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +3.8+3.8
VareseZ-Mobile Prishtina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/02
Italian Cup
Reggiana
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H03/03
Lega A
Z-Mobile Prishtina
#26
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Avellino
#9
W
53-30
53
30
+23
A10/03
Lega A
78.0Avg total
40.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.376.9+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.936.278.2+5.777%-
Last 30 away (17)37.838.175.9-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.678.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.686.2+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.137.680.7+5.678%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.436.174.4+2.356%-
This opponent (Z-Mobile Prishtina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Z-Mobile PrishtinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trepca
#7
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H20/01
Superliga
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
30-56
30
56
-26
H23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Lipjani
#8
W
65-33
65
33
+32
H26/01
Superliga
Szolnoki Olaj
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Borea
#9
W
58-26
58
26
+32
A03/02
Superliga
Karsiyaka
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Bashkimi
#4
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H09/02
Superliga
Golden Eagle Ylli
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A16/02
Superliga
Varese
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H06/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Rahoveci
#3
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H09/03
Superliga
83.6Avg total
47.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)45.238.183.2+7.165%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.437.281.5+7.262%-
Last 30 away (13)45.939.084.9+6.969%-
Last 10 (10)47.336.383.6+11.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.237.083.2+9.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.047.185.1-9.10%-
vs Similar (4)44.840.885.5+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (15)48.633.181.7+15.587%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.917.0
44.9%
52.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.1
38.4%
34.1%33.3
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
73.3%14.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Z-Mobile Prishtinatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Varese wins
0
Z-Mobile Prishtina wins
DateGameScore
06/03/19Z-Mobile Prishtina v Varese77-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/19AAvellino71-76
06/03/19AZ-Mobile Prishtina80-77
03/03/19HReggiana92-80
14/02/19ACremona73-82
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
02/02/19ATrento71-74
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/19HRahoveci89-70
06/03/19HVarese77-80
16/02/19AGolden Eagle Ylli98-93
09/02/19HBashkimi109-78
06/02/19HKarsiyaka82-78
03/02/19ABorea140-52
30/01/19ASzolnoki Olaj76-89
26/01/19HLipjani121-66
23/01/19Hs.Oliver Wurzburg78-91
20/01/19HTrepca105-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW77%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%67%86%
Points / game84.286.082.6
Allowed / game73.572.274.6
Point differential+10.7+13.8+8.0
Avg total157.6158.2157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Z-Mobile Prishtina
FIBA Europe Cup 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL46%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game81.780.183.5
Allowed / game86.882.392.2
Point differential-5.2-2.1-8.7
Avg total168.5162.4175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)75% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari1513287%93.178.7+14.5
2 s.Oliver Wurzburg1412286%88.177.8+10.3
3 Bakken Bears1411379%99.479.1+20.3
4 Varese1310377%84.273.5+10.7
5 Saratov1410471%94.384.0+10.3
6 Alba Fehervar1610662%83.179.1+3.9
7 Nes Ziona1811761%90.384.7+5.6
8 Lukoil Levski127558%83.984.2-0.2
9 Karsiyaka148657%83.979.4+4.5
10 Balkan169756%80.878.9+1.9
11 Leiden158753%78.782.7-4.1
12 Spirou Charleroi63350%81.070.5+10.5
13 Sakarya BB63350%80.075.2+4.8
14 Oostende21150%77.073.0+4.0
15 Den Bosch84450%82.879.8+3.0
16 Aris63350%74.072.0+2.0
17 Hapoel Holon21150%83.582.0+1.5
18 Minsk63350%82.882.2+0.7
19 Donar Groningen147750%76.175.8+0.4
20 Ventspils21150%71.573.0-1.5
21 Szolnoki Olaj126650%82.884.8-2.0
22 Keravnos21150%64.068.0-4.0
23 Lavrio21150%70.074.5-4.5
24 Kataja168850%80.184.9-4.8
25 Bonn21150%77.082.5-5.5
26 Cluj Napoca21150%83.589.5-6.0
27 BC Lulea21150%64.080.0-16.0
28 Z-Mobile Prishtina136746%81.786.8-5.2
29 AEK Larnaca125742%74.081.7-7.7
30 Cherkaski Mavpy104640%80.184.3-4.2
31 Szombathely62433%74.384.5-10.2
32 BC Dnipro103730%71.776.9-5.2
33 Istanbul BB103730%72.279.4-7.2
34 Rilski Sportist82625%79.187.9-8.8
35 Belfius Mons61517%74.878.3-3.5
36 FC Porto61517%79.285.5-6.3
37 CSM Oradea61517%75.584.5-9.0
38 BC Steaua Bucuresti61517%71.386.5-15.2
39 Leicester Riders6060%74.587.7-13.2
40 HydroTruck Radom2020%67.080.5-13.5
41 Kapfenberg Bulls2020%59.573.5-14.0
42 Sodertalje2020%71.586.0-14.5
43 Kongsberg Miners2020%76.592.0-15.5
44 Svitavy2020%76.098.5-22.5
45 Pardubice6060%77.3100.8-23.5
46 Benfica2020%79.0105.5-26.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese33232123100
Z-Mobile Prishtina2119192584
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