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Cremona vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-73
19-15 25-25 16-12 22-21
Position#1
Record-
FormWLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2019
Meetings · Cremona v Varese
08 Dec 2025
CRE79
VAR87
08 Dec 2024
CRE78
VAR60
28 Jan 2024
CRE82
VAR83
17 Oct 2021
CRE94
VAR78
06 Sep 2021
CRE80
VAR70
17 Oct 2020
CRE80
VAR67
21 Dec 2019
CRE93
VAR72
14 Feb 2019
CRE82
VAR73
18 Nov 2018
CRE79
VAR82
07 Jan 2018
CRE80
VAR72
02 Jan 2017
CRE85
VAR71
16 Apr 2016
CRE70
VAR79
30 Nov 2014
CRE64
VAR53
29 Dec 2013
CRE75
VAR94
21 Apr 2013
CRE88
VAR92
08 Jan 2012
CRE69
VAR61
21 Nov 2010
CRE103
VAR79
16 Jan 2010
CRE78
VAR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
122-106
122
106
+16
A16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
86-80
86
80
+6
A26/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
100-87
100
87
+13
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
67-78
67
78
-11
A06/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
98-81
98
81
+17
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
31-30
28-18
28-35
20-22
25-24
24-18
19-27
31-16
15-18
18-26
22-20
23-16
28-24
26-23
23-24
15-20
19-13
13-22
20-23
28-24
21-18
22-17
27-22
21-20
19-24
22-16
22-29
15-19
21-15
20-12
14-16
18-29
10-19
20-14
18-20
22-18
24-20
15-20
26-12
169.4Avg total
86.8Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.882.6169.4+4.260%
Last 5 (5)81.076.8157.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.297.2171.5-23.00%
vs Similar (11)82.382.5164.7-0.245%
vs Weaker (15)92.383.8176.1+8.573%
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
A10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
20-29
13-16
23-15
23-26
17-16
11-25
25-22
20-15
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
153.2Avg total
76.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.976.3153.2+0.640%
Last 5 (5)81.080.4161.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (9)78.374.2152.6+4.167%
vs Weaker (19)82.573.1155.6+9.463%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
CremonaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A16/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H22/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H30/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H20/01
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A03/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H09/02
Lega A
85.3Avg total
44.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.483.7-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.042.884.8-0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)40.741.982.6-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.141.285.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.550.589.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (11)39.638.678.3+1.064%-
vs Weaker (15)43.342.986.3+0.460%-
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
74.8Avg total
36.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.176.4+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.636.178.8+6.586%-
Last 30 away (16)36.537.974.4-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)36.338.574.8-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (9)39.237.776.9+1.667%-
vs Weaker (19)40.036.176.1+3.963%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
-40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws19.514.0
71.8%
-14.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.0
46.6%
-34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.0
36.8%
-33.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
-12.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLWLWLWWLW
Varese
WLLLWWLLWL
#1
League position
#8
+4.9
Net rating
+7.1
111.6
Offensive rating
113.3
106.6
Defensive rating
106.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
17.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
36.8%
51.0%
Assist %
55.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Cremona   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
7
Varese wins
DateGameScore
18/11/18Cremona v Varese79-82
06/05/18Varese v Cremona89-79
07/01/18Cremona v Varese80-72
30/04/17Varese v Cremona78-75
02/01/17Cremona v Varese85-71
16/04/16Cremona v Varese70-79
23/12/15Varese v Cremona87-82 OT
22/03/15Varese v Cremona86-82
30/11/14Cremona v Varese64-53
27/04/14Varese v Cremona78-70
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/19HVirtus Bologna87-70
03/02/19ACantu66-82
27/01/19AAvellino70-62
20/01/19HTrento84-89
13/01/19HReggiana98-81
06/01/19AVenezia67-78
30/12/18HTorino100-87
26/12/18ABrindisi86-80
22/12/18HBrescia88-91
16/12/18APesaro122-106
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
02/02/19ATrento71-74
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
20/01/19ABrescia73-78
13/01/19HVirtus Bologna79-86
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
06/01/19APistoia65-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Varese
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona1925162282
Varese1525122173
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