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Varese vs Reggiana Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 92-80
23-24 19-18 28-16 22-22
Position#7
Record11-8
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game75.0
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record5-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game83.2
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Varese v Reggiana
01 Feb 2026
VAR61
REG76
16 Mar 2025
VAR63
REG78
29 Dec 2023
VAR116
REG93
08 Apr 2023
VAR81
REG85
24 Oct 2021
VAR67
REG106
13 Dec 2020
VAR76
REG89
22 Mar 2020
VAR v REG
upcoming
03 Mar 2019
VAR92
REG80
15 Apr 2018
VAR80
REG73
11 Dec 2016
VAR81
REG71
24 Apr 2016
VAR77
REG69
25 Oct 2014
VAR112
REG118
13 Oct 2013
VAR83
REG64
25 Nov 2012
VAR91
REG78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
73-78
73
78
-5
101avg 118
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
120avg 118
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
104-96
104
96
+8
128avg 118
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
20-29
13-16
23-15
23-26
17-16
11-25
25-22
20-15
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
27-24
34-26
24-19
19-27
15-19
25-25
12-16
21-22
155.1Avg total
77.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.975.0153.9+3.958%
Season at home (9)82.874.6157.3+8.278%
Season away (10)75.475.4150.8+0.040%
Last 10 (10)77.777.4155.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)78.882.2161.0-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (8)80.674.6155.2+6.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)82.573.1155.6+9.463%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
60-68
60
68
-8
86avg 112
A15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
no box
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
69-81
69
81
-12
94avg 112
A25/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
82-74
82
74
+8
108avg 112
H30/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
108-66
108
66
+42
148avg 112
H06/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
81-98
81
98
-17
82avg 112
A13/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
97avg 112
A20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
79-82
79
82
-3
113avg 112
H27/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
58-77
58
77
-19
83avg 112
A03/02
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
89-99
89
99
-10
114avg 112
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
14-18
11-10
16-20
12-25
23-19
15-14
21-26
15-28
25-13
12-16
17-24
21-19
24-15
18-27
19-13
25-15
32-14
24-15
27-22
24-28
18-21
17-22
22-27
21-27
19-23
24-14
7-18
29-24
15-22
14-20
21-16
20-15
15-21
16-18
7-23
19-21
17-24
24-31
29-23
157.9Avg total
76.8Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.683.2161.7-4.626%
Season at home (10)83.082.3165.3+0.740%
Season away (9)73.784.1157.8-10.411%
Last 10 (10)76.881.1157.9-4.320%
Last 5 (5)75.687.6163.2-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.982.1157.0-7.329%
vs Similar (14)80.185.6165.8-5.521%
vs Weaker (2)95.075.0170.0+20.050%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.6-2.6
VareseReggiana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Trieste
#10
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A10/02
Lega A
Cremona
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A14/02
Italian Cup
76.1Avg total
36.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.577.6+2.660%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.636.178.8+6.586%-
Last 30 away (16)37.938.776.6-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.376.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.078.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (8)41.938.580.4+3.475%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)40.036.176.1+3.963%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A15/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H23/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H30/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H06/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A13/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A20/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H27/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A03/02
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/02
Lega A
81.9Avg total
40.7Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.579.6-3.320%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.840.679.4-1.931%-
Last 30 away (14)37.542.479.9-4.97%-
Last 10 (10)40.741.281.9-0.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.284.6-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)35.441.576.9-6.121%-
vs Similar (14)40.042.482.4-2.414%-
vs Weaker (2)44.534.579.0+10.050%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.0
46.6%
51.0%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.0
36.8%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
72.3%12.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.6
46.7%
51.0%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.7
34.8%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.611.5
69.3%
72.3%11.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLLWWLLW
Reggiana
LLLLLWWLLL
#7
League position
#14
+7.1
Net rating
-6.1
113.3
Offensive rating
103.0
106.2
Defensive rating
109.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.8%
34.0%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.8%
3-point %
34.8%
55.7%
Assist %
56.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 103.0Defence106.2 · 109.1Shooting50.5% · 49.0%3-point %36.8% · 34.8%Ball care13.9% · 15.8%Off. rebounds34.0% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Reggiana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Reggiana wins
DateGameScore
04/11/18Reggiana v Varese74-68
15/04/18Varese v Reggiana80-73
16/12/17Reggiana v Varese76-66
09/04/17Reggiana v Varese73-68
11/12/16Varese v Reggiana81-71
24/04/16Varese v Reggiana77-69
27/12/15Reggiana v Varese86-69
08/02/15Reggiana v Varese86-70
25/10/14Varese v Reggiana112-118 OT
18/01/14Reggiana v Varese73-80
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/19ACremona73-82
10/02/19ATrieste104-96
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
02/02/19ATrento71-74
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
20/01/19ABrescia73-78
13/01/19HVirtus Bologna79-86
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/19HCantu89-99
03/02/19ATorino58-77
27/01/19HBrescia79-82
20/01/19ASassari71-82
13/01/19ACremona81-98
06/01/19HPesaro108-66
30/12/18HVenezia82-74
25/12/18AVirtus Bologna69-81
23/12/18HTrieste71-84
15/12/18ATrento60-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW58%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%78%40%
Points / game78.982.875.4
Allowed / game75.074.675.4
Point differential+3.9+8.2+0.0
Avg total153.9157.3150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Reggiana
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %26%40%11%
Points / game78.683.073.7
Allowed / game83.282.384.1
Point differential-4.6+0.7-10.4
Avg total161.7165.3157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1916384%87.277.2+10.0
2 Venezia2014670%81.572.1+9.3
3 Cremona2013765%83.077.8+5.2
4 Brindisi1912763%82.178.1+4.0
5 Avellino1912763%80.680.7-0.1
6 Varese1911858%78.975.0+3.9
7 Virtus Bologna20101050%80.781.8-1.1
8 Trieste1991047%86.585.3+1.2
9 Cantu1991047%84.587.3-2.8
10 Trento1991047%77.981.3-3.3
11 Sassari2091145%84.081.8+2.2
12 Brescia1981142%77.679.6-2.0
13 Torino1961332%83.286.1-2.9
14 Pesaro1961332%81.893.2-11.3
15 Reggiana1951426%78.683.2-4.6
16 Pistoia1951426%74.482.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2319282292
Reggiana2418162280
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