PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 96-104
24-27 26-34 19-24 27-19
Position#10
Record9-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Varese 🏆
Italy
Position#7
Record10-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game73.8
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trieste v Varese
24 Jan 2027
TRI v VAR
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
TRI90
VAR89
03 Nov 2024
TRI107
VAR81
16 Apr 2023
TRI80
VAR83
14 Nov 2021
TRI70
VAR86
27 Jan 2021
TRI108
VAR83
29 Sep 2019
TRI62
VAR92
10 Feb 2019
TRI96
VAR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
78-87
78
87
-9
132avg 120
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
110-64
110
64
+46
143avg 120
H16/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
no box
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
83-75
83
75
+8
160avg 120
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
71-92
71
92
-21
97avg 120
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
97-102
97
102
-5
125avg 120
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-77
73
77
-4
75avg 120
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
74-82
74
82
-8
102avg 120
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
115-110 OT
115
110
+5
no box
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
85-77
85
77
+8
131avg 120
A03/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
21-21
22-21
17-26
33-21
21-11
30-20
26-12
25-12
19-23
14-15
26-21
12-11
31-20
14-20
26-24
27-16
10-31
17-26
17-19
20-24
19-27
24-25
34-26
13-23
22-13
21-16
17-25
13-17
14-18
18-30
29-17
30-27
25-23
22-27
24-24
32-15
20-22
19-16
14-24
170.7Avg total
87.0Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.084.3170.3+1.750%
Season at home (9)92.284.0176.2+8.267%
Season away (9)79.884.6164.3-4.833%
Last 10 (10)87.083.7170.7+3.350%
Last 5 (5)88.889.6178.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.283.2165.4-1.022%
vs Weaker (21)85.377.0162.3+8.386%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
179avg 119
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
96avg 119
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
73-78
73
78
-5
101avg 119
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
71-74
71
74
-3
120avg 119
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
no box
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
24-20
28-15
21-21
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
20-29
13-16
23-15
23-26
17-16
11-25
25-22
20-15
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
9-16
17-21
24-15
21-22
15-15
20-16
13-25
20-12
150.8Avg total
76.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.573.8151.3+3.756%
Season at home (9)82.874.6157.3+8.278%
Season away (9)72.273.1145.3-0.933%
Last 10 (10)76.374.5150.8+1.840%
Last 5 (5)75.073.0148.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.171.5146.6+3.662%
vs Weaker (20)82.573.5155.9+9.065%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.5+1.5
TriesteVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H16/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/12
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A26/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A06/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A20/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H27/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A03/02
Lega A
81.9Avg total
42.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.080.5+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.082.9+2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)39.937.977.7+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.481.9+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.883.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.241.080.2-1.822%-
vs Weaker (21)42.538.180.6+4.362%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Trento
#6
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A02/02
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H06/02
FIBA Europe Cup
72.8Avg total
35.1Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.836.875.5+2.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.579.1+6.287%-
Last 30 away (15)34.937.171.9-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)35.137.772.8-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.536.172.6+0.462%-
vs Weaker (20)40.136.376.4+3.965%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.9
52.8%
51.0%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.8
39.2%
35.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
72.3%11.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.2
46.6%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.7
33.8%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.312.6
72.8%
72.3%12.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWLLLLWWWL
Varese
LLLWWLLWLW
#10
League position
#7
+5.9
Net rating
+6.2
113.4
Offensive rating
109.0
107.5
Defensive rating
102.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
48.4%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.2%
3-point %
33.8%
58.7%
Assist %
58.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 109.0Defence107.5 · 102.8Shooting55.0% · 48.4%3-point %39.2% · 33.8%Ball care18.6% · 14.4%Off. rebounds33.1% · 34.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Trieste   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trieste wins
1
Varese wins
DateGameScore
28/10/18Varese v Trieste78-66
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19ABrescia85-77
27/01/19HTorino115-110 OT
20/01/19AVirtus Bologna74-82
13/01/19HOlimpia Milano73-77
06/01/19ASassari97-102
30/12/18HBrindisi71-92
26/12/18AVenezia83-75
23/12/18AReggiana84-71
16/12/18HAvellino110-64
09/12/18ACremona78-87
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/19HDonar Groningen77-80 OT
02/02/19ATrento71-74
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
20/01/19ABrescia73-78
13/01/19HVirtus Bologna79-86
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
06/01/19APistoia65-71
30/12/18APesaro98-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game86.092.279.8
Allowed / game84.384.084.6
Point differential+1.7+8.2-4.8
Avg total170.3176.2164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL56%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %56%78%33%
Points / game77.582.872.2
Allowed / game73.874.673.1
Point differential+3.7+8.2-0.9
Avg total151.3157.3145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%56%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1815383%85.877.3+8.5
2 Venezia1813572%81.971.4+10.6
3 Cremona1912763%86.381.9+4.4
4 Avellino1912763%80.680.7-0.1
5 Brindisi1811761%82.278.6+3.7
6 Varese1810856%77.573.8+3.7
7 Virtus Bologna1910953%80.982.1-1.2
8 Trieste189950%86.084.3+1.7
9 Sassari1991047%88.585.1+3.4
10 Cantu1991047%84.587.3-2.8
11 Trento1881044%77.881.5-3.7
12 Brescia1981142%77.679.6-2.0
13 Pesaro1861233%82.392.2-9.9
14 Torino1961332%83.286.1-2.9
15 Pistoia1851328%74.683.0-8.4
16 Reggiana1951426%78.683.2-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2426192796
Varese27342419104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.