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Trento vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-71
16-9 21-17 15-24 22-21
Position#6
Record7-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game82.1
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record10-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game73.8
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Trento v Varese
18 Oct 2026
TRE87
VAR85
08 Feb 2026
TRE84
VAR78
13 Oct 2024
TRE106
VAR100
04 Feb 2024
TRE90
VAR84
22 Jan 2023
TRE90
VAR80
28 Jan 2022
TRE84
VAR90
22 Nov 2020
TRE74
VAR77
19 Apr 2020
TRE v VAR
upcoming
02 Feb 2019
TRE74
VAR71
10 Mar 2018
TRE82
VAR74
18 Dec 2016
TRE84
VAR68
15 Nov 2015
TRE89
VAR63
02 Mar 2015
TRE78
VAR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#13
L
77-84
77
84
-7
106avg 107
A12/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
68-60
68
60
+8
94avg 107
H15/12
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
83-95
83
95
-12
109avg 107
H18/12
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
77-65
77
65
+12
109avg 107
A23/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
78-70
78
70
+8
130avg 107
A26/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
71-65
71
65
+6
100avg 107
H30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
no box
A06/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
76-79
76
79
-3
82avg 107
H13/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
89-84
89
84
+5
116avg 107
A20/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
114avg 107
H27/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-23
16-19
16-23
20-19
18-14
10-11
20-16
18-23
28-29
15-26
22-17
16-24
27-11
15-18
19-12
23-20
12-16
21-18
22-16
20-9
21-17
11-23
19-16
18-18
22-21
11-25
27-22
27-25
21-18
11-15
17-21
20-21
24-19
16-22
29-22
25-21
16-25
23-29
28-22
157.4Avg total
78.9Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.082.1160.1-4.141%
Season at home (8)77.179.1156.2-2.050%
Season away (9)78.884.8163.6-6.033%
Last 10 (10)78.978.5157.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)81.282.2163.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.986.3164.2-8.429%
vs Similar (10)76.582.1158.6-5.630%
vs Weaker (2)77.567.5145.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-72
67
72
-5
93avg 119
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
89-71
89
71
+18
182avg 119
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
98-78
98
78
+20
179avg 119
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
65-71
65
71
-6
96avg 119
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
73-78
73
78
-5
101avg 119
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
no box
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
16-20
21-14
18-21
37-18
17-19
18-17
17-17
25-22
24-20
28-15
21-21
17-23
18-13
16-16
14-19
13-13
22-22
22-17
16-15
20-29
13-16
23-15
23-26
17-16
11-25
25-22
20-15
21-22
14-17
19-12
20-8
21-14
25-19
24-22
14-18
15-18
14-20
23-26
17-15
150.5Avg total
77.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.973.8151.7+4.159%
Season at home (9)82.874.6157.3+8.278%
Season away (8)72.473.0145.4-0.638%
Last 10 (10)77.173.4150.5+3.750%
Last 5 (5)75.875.0150.8+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
vs Similar (10)74.071.8145.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.473.1156.4+10.372%
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -5.7-5.7Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
TrentoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A12/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#14
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/12
Lega A
Valencia
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H18/12
Eurocup
Pesaro
#15
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A23/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A26/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A06/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H13/01
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A20/01
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H27/01
Lega A
81.3Avg total
42.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.279.5-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.139.777.8-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.580.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.139.281.3+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.881.6+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.742.178.8-5.429%-
vs Similar (10)41.641.082.6+0.640%-
vs Weaker (2)39.035.574.5+3.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A23/12
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H25/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/01
Lega A
Donar Groningen
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A09/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A20/01
Lega A
AEK Larnaca
#27
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/01
Lega A
Sassari
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H30/01
FIBA Europe Cup
75.5Avg total
37.2Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.575.4+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.135.978.0+6.187%-
Last 30 away (15)35.837.172.9-1.340%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.375.5-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.273.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.044.078.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (10)35.834.970.7+0.970%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.236.677.8+4.767%-
This opponent (Trento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.2
50.6%
51.0%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.26.6
31.1%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws20.913.7
65.6%
72.3%13.7
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.418.1
48.4%
51.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.6
33.8%
35.1%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.312.7
73.4%
72.3%12.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLLWWWLWL
Varese
LWWLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#7
+0.0
Net rating
+9.7
104.1
Offensive rating
110.7
104.1
Defensive rating
101.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
34.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.1%
3-point %
33.8%
50.0%
Assist %
58.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 110.7Defence104.1 · 101.0Shooting49.3% · 49.4%3-point %31.1% · 33.8%Ball care15.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 34.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Trento   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trento wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
21/10/18Varese v Trento93-85
10/03/18Trento v Varese82-74
04/11/17Varese v Trento93-66
15/04/17Varese v Trento83-80
18/12/16Trento v Varese84-68
06/03/16Varese v Trento96-82
15/11/15Trento v Varese89-63
02/03/15Trento v Varese78-65
09/11/14Varese v Trento70-76
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/19HCantu92-97
20/01/19ACremona89-84
13/01/19HBrindisi76-79
06/01/19AOlimpia Milano78-86
30/12/18HVirtus Bologna71-65
26/12/18APistoia78-70
23/12/18APesaro77-65
18/12/18HValencia83-95
15/12/18HReggiana68-60
12/12/18ATurk Telekom77-84
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19HSassari69-79
27/01/19HSassari84-73
23/01/19AAEK Larnaca74-59
20/01/19ABrescia73-78
13/01/19HVirtus Bologna79-86
09/01/19ADonar Groningen73-67
06/01/19APistoia65-71
30/12/18APesaro98-78
25/12/18HCantu89-71
23/12/18AOlimpia Milano67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLWWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %41%50%33%
Points / game78.077.178.8
Allowed / game82.179.184.8
Point differential-4.1-2.0-6.0
Avg total160.1156.2163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Varese
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %59%78%38%
Points / game77.982.872.4
Allowed / game73.874.673.0
Point differential+4.1+8.2-0.6
Avg total151.7157.3145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%56%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%90.980.7+10.2
2 Venezia1712571%81.570.5+11.0
3 Cremona1711665%87.582.6+4.8
4 Avellino1711665%81.581.1+0.5
5 Varese1710759%77.973.8+4.1
6 Brindisi1710759%81.077.4+3.6
7 Sassari179853%88.283.1+5.2
8 Virtus Bologna179853%81.182.7-1.6
9 Trieste178947%86.184.7+1.4
10 Brescia178947%78.279.3-1.1
11 Trento1771041%78.082.1-4.1
12 Cantu1771041%83.888.4-4.6
13 Pesaro1761135%82.192.4-10.3
14 Reggiana1751229%79.282.6-3.4
15 Torino1741324%82.487.9-5.5
16 Pistoia1741324%77.887.9-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento1621152274
Varese917242171
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