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Brasilia vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 77-79
11-20 29-20 26-19 11-20
Position#6
Record19-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
Position#7
Record17-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game75.6
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Vasco
07 Feb 2026
BRAS84
VASC61
05 Apr 2025
BRAS77
VASC79
08 Mar 2024
BRAS84
VASC89
13 Oct 2018
BRAS76
VASC77
12 Nov 2016
BRAS95
VASC72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 72
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 72
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 72
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-62
84
62
+22
73avg 72
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 72
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-71
95
71
+24
98avg 72
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 72
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
80-98
80
98
-18
44avg 72
A14/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
94-71
94
71
+23
88avg 72
H17/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
50avg 72
H01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-21
20-16
20-20
10-17
18-18
15-7
15-19
20-20
20-11
11-26
16-23
26-21
14-9
29-15
15-17
21-20
20-14
12-21
30-22
25-16
24-22
27-20
19-13
19-21
21-22
18-14
14-13
15-25
24-22
19-28
22-23
24-14
22-18
24-22
24-17
25-20
13-29
9-11
16-17
152.3Avg total
78.1Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.879.9161.7+2.063%
Season at home (15)82.378.0160.3+4.380%
Season away (15)81.481.7163.1-0.347%
Last 10 (10)78.174.2152.3+3.960%
Last 5 (5)80.877.4158.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.083.0161.0-5.025%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.680.5162.2+1.165%
vs Weaker (8)82.073.6155.6+8.488%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 71
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 71
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 71
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-84
71
84
-13
65avg 71
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
98-86
98
86
+12
104avg 71
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
104-82
104
82
+22
114avg 71
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
88-78
88
78
+10
90avg 71
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
77avg 71
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 71
A27/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
78-66
78
66
+12
80avg 71
H01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
18-26
16-11
27-24
21-27
26-23
10-13
20-26
15-22
18-19
29-24
29-21
22-22
20-20
27-25
24-21
33-16
23-15
18-16
31-17
16-30
18-20
23-13
19-19
20-14
19-16
22-16
15-29
22-23
14-19
24-12
20-16
20-19
162.7Avg total
82.7Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.275.6152.8+1.657%
Season at home (17)78.874.4153.1+4.465%
Season away (13)75.277.3152.5-2.246%
Last 10 (10)82.780.0162.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)85.675.2160.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.078.7154.7-2.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)78.777.3155.9+1.461%
vs Weaker (8)77.872.9150.6+4.962%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -2.1-2.1
BrasiliaVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H17/03
NBB
Minas
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H01/04
NBB
78.4Avg total
40.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.581.3+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.940.182.9+2.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.538.979.4+1.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.878.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.441.884.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.543.281.8-4.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.240.281.4+1.041%-
vs Weaker (8)44.236.480.6+7.962%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H14/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/03
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H13/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A27/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H01/04
NBB
76.8Avg total
40.5Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.635.872.4+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.935.873.6+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)35.135.970.9-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.376.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.634.476.0+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.335.771.0-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.036.373.3+0.756%-
vs Weaker (8)35.533.869.2+1.850%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.9
51.3%
50.9%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.3
33.9%
33.0%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.714.6
78.1%
72.7%14.6
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.918.4
59.5%
50.9%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws24.418.6
76.2%
72.7%18.6
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWLWWWWLLW
Vasco
WLWWWWLLLW
#6
League position
#7
+5.7
Net rating
+3.9
106.5
Offensive rating
109.3
100.9
Defensive rating
105.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
15.5%
Turnover %
20.1%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.43
33.9%
3-point %
34.2%
64.1%
Assist %
71.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 109.3Defence100.9 · 105.4Shooting51.1% · 55.8%3-point %33.9% · 34.2%Ball care15.5% · 20.1%Off. rebounds22.8% · 24.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brasilia   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brasilia wins
4
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
12/12/24Vasco v Brasilia79-88
08/03/24Brasilia v Vasco84-89
19/11/23Vasco v Brasilia79-54
07/03/19Vasco v Brasilia78-94
13/10/18Brasilia v Vasco76-77
19/01/17Vasco v Brasilia85-76
12/11/16Brasilia v Vasco95-72
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25HMinas63-77
17/03/25HBotafogo94-71
14/03/25APato80-98
26/02/25HPinheiros72-70
14/02/25HUniao Corinthians95-71
12/02/25HCaxias do Sul83-77
07/02/25ACearense84-62
05/02/25AUnifacisa67-80
28/01/25AMinas58-61
25/01/25HUniao Corinthians85-75
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25HPaulistano78-66
27/03/25AFlamengo78-84
13/03/25HBotafogo80-66
08/03/25HSao Paulo88-78
28/02/25HMogi104-82
14/02/25HPato98-86
06/02/25AUniao Corinthians71-84
04/02/25ACaxias do Sul82-88
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL63%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %63%80%47%
Points / game81.882.381.4
Allowed / game79.978.081.7
Point differential+2.0+4.3-0.3
Avg total161.7160.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)88% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeWWWWW65%
AwayLLLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %57%65%46%
Points / game77.278.875.2
Allowed / game75.674.477.3
Point differential+1.6+4.4-2.2
Avg total152.8153.1152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%41%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3026487%82.771.5+11.1
2 Flamengo3023777%84.775.5+9.3
3 Franca3021970%84.476.2+8.2
4 Brasilia30191163%81.879.9+2.0
5 Bauru31181358%78.578.3+0.3
6 Vasco30171357%77.275.6+1.6
7 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
8 Uniao Corinthians30161453%78.279.4-1.2
9 Sao Jose31161552%78.378.0+0.4
10 Unifacisa31151648%75.275.3-0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano31141745%78.576.7+1.9
13 Pato31121939%81.983.6-1.7
14 Sao Paulo31112035%75.979.9-4.1
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi31102132%73.880.8-7.0
17 Botafogo3082227%73.181.5-8.3
18 Cearense3182326%71.678.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia1129261177
Vasco2020192079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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