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Botafogo vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-76
25-22 18-26 21-10 21-18
Position#16
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Position#20
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.0
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Vasco
22 Oct 2025
BOTA85
VASC76
15 Nov 2024
BOTA68
VASC66
04 Nov 2023
BOTA62
VASC79
23 Feb 2019
BOTA79
VASC74
16 Feb 2018
BOTA87
VASC94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 65
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 65
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
66avg 65
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 65
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
64-85
64
85
-21
50avg 65
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 65
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-97
59
97
-38
42avg 65
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 65
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 65
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 65
H20/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
20-18
13-23
19-19
14-20
14-24
18-22
22-24
17-24
26-20
21-21
15-22
23-29
12-16
15-28
19-20
18-21
25-19
27-25
16-22
18-19
21-22
5-21
22-31
11-23
14-29
16-13
19-15
13-23
21-12
20-28
18-20
26-24
26-22
19-14
13-27
22-21
157.8Avg total
72.9Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.084.0164.0-4.00%
Season at home (1)80.084.0164.0-4.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.984.9157.8-12.030%
Last 5 (5)74.486.0160.4-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)73.285.2158.4-12.024%
vs Similar ◀ (5)76.279.8156.0-3.620%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
66avg 74
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
56avg 74
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 74
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 74
H26/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
80avg 74
H28/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 74
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 74
H09/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 74
A12/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 74
A14/05
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 74
H18/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
11-21
21-20
19-32
11-28
17-18
18-13
23-16
17-16
25-14
18-26
25-19
25-19
24-18
23-25
17-21
17-17
17-20
21-23
23-21
29-28
25-19
20-18
14-18
13-25
27-14
20-25
26-26
11-18
16-20
30-20
19-28
17-23
25-20
10-17
11-23
17-19
15-23
20-20
26-26
161.3Avg total
77.8Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Season at home (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.883.5161.3-5.730%
Last 5 (5)78.286.0164.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.582.8156.2-9.212%
vs Similar ◀ (17)79.780.1159.8-0.453%
vs Weaker (4)85.277.5162.8+7.875%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.7-2.7
BotafogoVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H03/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/10
NBB
78.6Avg total
36.8Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.542.278.7-5.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.841.280.0-2.544%-
Last 30 away (14)33.943.377.2-9.414%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.878.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.079.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.843.579.2-7.720%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.235.876.0+4.480%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/05
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/10
NBB
77.2Avg total
37.4Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.038.776.8-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.436.775.1+1.769%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.178.7-3.421%-
Last 10 (10)37.439.877.2-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.880.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.938.473.2-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.839.177.9-0.347%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.877.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.4
48.0%
52.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.8
30.1%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.612.9
62.6%
72.8%12.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.715.8
48.3%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.9
37.3%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.412.3
66.8%
72.8%12.3
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLLWLLLLW
Vasco
LLLLWLWWLL
#16
League position
#20
-15.5
Net rating
-8.2
94.6
Offensive rating
102.7
110.1
Defensive rating
110.9
47.0%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
20.6%
Turnover %
18.1%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.1%
3-point %
37.3%
63.4%
Assist %
73.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 102.7Defence110.1 · 110.9Shooting47.0% · 51.9%3-point %30.1% · 37.3%Ball care20.6% · 18.1%Off. rebounds29.0% · 24.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Botafogo wins
5
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
13/03/25Vasco v Botafogo80-66
15/11/24Botafogo v Vasco68-66
09/02/24Vasco v Botafogo98-86
04/11/23Botafogo v Vasco62-79
23/02/19Botafogo v Vasco79-74
01/12/18Vasco v Botafogo79-97
16/02/18Botafogo v Vasco87-94
19/12/17Vasco v Botafogo72-68
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25HCearense80-84
19/04/25ABauru85-84
12/04/25AFranca62-80
09/04/25AMinas59-97
05/04/25HSao Paulo86-85
03/04/25HPaulistano64-85
29/03/25HFlamengo85-92
17/03/25ABrasilia71-94
13/03/25AVasco66-80
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HCearense78-88
14/05/25AMinas63-83
12/05/25AMinas76-86
09/05/25HMinas86-90
02/05/25ASao Jose88-83
28/04/25HSao Jose78-81
26/04/25HSao Jose89-83
23/04/25ASao Jose85-75
17/04/25ABauru69-75
10/04/25AFranca66-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game80.080.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game88.088.0-
Point differential-10.0-10.0-
Avg total166.0166.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%96.064.5+31.5
2 Flamengo220100%91.078.0+13.0
3 Caxias do Sul110100%70.063.0+7.0
4 Cearense220100%86.079.0+7.0
5 Paulistano110100%66.059.0+7.0
6 Brasilia110100%77.074.0+3.0
7 Minas220100%85.583.5+2.0
8 Sao Jose21150%85.575.0+10.5
9 Corinthians Paulista21150%81.074.0+7.0
10 Pinheiros21150%78.586.5-8.0
11 Rio Claro1010%86.088.0-2.0
12 Botafogo1010%80.084.0-4.0
13 Pato1010%63.070.0-7.0
14 Unifacisa1010%70.080.0-10.0
15 Vasco1010%78.088.0-10.0
16 Bauru2020%72.584.0-11.5
17 Cruzeiro2020%63.583.0-19.5
18 Osasco2020%67.091.0-24.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2518212185
Vasco2226101876
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