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Vasco vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-88
17-19 15-23 20-20 26-26
Position#20
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#19
Record-
FormLLWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Cearense
18 Oct 2025
VASC78
CEAR88
18 Jan 2025
VASC75
CEAR74
23 Dec 2023
VASC81
CEAR75
24 Jan 2019
VASC77
CEAR79
08 Feb 2018
VASC96
CEAR92
22 Nov 2016
VASC71
CEAR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
69-76
69
76
-7
64avg 74
A07/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
66-91
66
91
-25
66avg 74
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
56avg 74
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
85-75
85
75
+10
81avg 74
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-83
89
83
+6
89avg 74
H26/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-81
78
81
-3
80avg 74
H28/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 74
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 74
H09/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 74
A12/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-83
63
83
-20
46avg 74
A14/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
23-19
19-16
12-19
15-18
11-21
21-20
19-32
11-28
17-18
18-13
23-16
17-16
25-14
18-26
25-19
25-19
24-18
23-25
17-21
17-17
17-20
21-23
23-21
29-28
25-19
20-18
14-18
13-25
27-14
20-25
26-26
11-18
16-20
30-20
19-28
17-23
25-20
10-17
11-23
159.2Avg total
76.9Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.982.3159.2-5.430%
Last 5 (5)78.284.6162.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)73.582.8156.2-9.212%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.279.9160.1+0.459%
vs Weaker (4)85.277.5162.8+7.875%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 64
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 64
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 64
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
66-74
66
74
-8
59avg 64
H11/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
74-83
74
83
-9
65avg 64
H28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-84
71
84
-13
63avg 64
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
63-75
63
75
-12
48avg 64
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 64
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 64
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
81-73
81
73
+8
79avg 64
H17/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
18-23
21-27
26-26
18-20
15-18
32-23
14-14
25-12
23-20
10-26
29-26
18-19
18-24
13-17
17-14
17-21
21-18
21-24
15-20
24-20
16-16
18-26
13-22
13-16
15-31
26-11
9-17
15-10
22-13
25-25
17-19
19-17
23-21
13-16
18-28
17-20
17-16
29-17
18-20
154.8Avg total
75.9Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.978.9154.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)73.476.2149.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)72.478.9151.3-6.523%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.175.5150.6-0.450%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -3.0-3.0
VascoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A10/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A23/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A02/05
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H09/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/05
NBB
77.7Avg total
38.0Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.138.776.7-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.836.375.1+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)37.341.078.3-3.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.039.777.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.880.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.938.473.2-3.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.939.077.9-0.147%-
vs Weaker (4)40.236.877.0+3.575%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/03
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H11/03
NBB
Franca
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A31/03
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
37-23
37
23
+14
H07/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H17/04
NBB
74.6Avg total
37.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.139.075.1-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.637.172.6-1.536%-
Last 30 away (16)36.640.877.3-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.174.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.236.072.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.338.374.6-2.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.641.076.6-5.412%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.315.8
48.9%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.5
36.7%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
72.8%12.4
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.5
47.6%
52.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.1
36.1%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.211.8
68.6%
72.8%11.8
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLWLWWLLL
Cearense
WLWLLLLWWL
#20
League position
#19
-8.3
Net rating
-3.8
101.3
Offensive rating
102.0
109.7
Defensive rating
105.8
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.9%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
36.1%
71.1%
Assist %
66.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 102.0Defence109.7 · 105.8Shooting51.8% · 50.5%3-point %36.7% · 36.1%Ball care17.5% · 17.9%Off. rebounds21.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Vasco   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
5
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Vasco v Cearense75-74
01/11/24Cearense v Vasco68-70
06/04/24Cearense v Vasco70-69 OT
23/12/23Vasco v Cearense81-75
24/01/19Vasco v Cearense77-79
07/12/18Cearense v Vasco66-60
08/02/18Vasco v Cearense96-92
05/12/17Cearense v Vasco85-76
18/02/17Cearense v Vasco89-80 OT
22/11/16Vasco v Cearense71-69
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25AMinas63-83
12/05/25AMinas76-86
09/05/25HMinas86-90
02/05/25ASao Jose88-83
28/04/25HSao Jose78-81
26/04/25HSao Jose89-83
23/04/25ASao Jose85-75
17/04/25ABauru69-75
10/04/25AFranca66-91
07/04/25AMinas69-76
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25HUnifacisa81-73
10/04/25HPinheiros73-82
07/04/25HCorinthians Paulista79-67
02/04/25AMogi63-75
31/03/25ASao Jose71-84
28/03/25HFranca74-83
11/03/25HBauru66-74
06/03/25APaulistano87-84
04/03/25ASao Paulo79-75
28/02/25HMinas86-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1715202678
Cearense1923202688
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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