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Vasco vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-75
12-21 24-18 12-17 19-19
Position#20
Record3-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game69.3
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Position#6
Record14-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Corinthians Paulista
17 Jan 2026
VASC67
CORI75
17 Nov 2024
VASC90
CORI84
11 Apr 2024
VASC87
CORI78
17 Nov 2018
VASC78
CORI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
L
81-84
81
84
-3
74avg 68
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
69-65
69
65
+4
60avg 68
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
70avg 68
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 68
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
72avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
59-71
59
71
-12
54avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
75-79
75
79
-4
71avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
76avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 68
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
65avg 68
A13/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
22-24
16-23
27-22
23-11
24-16
10-20
12-18
21-21
15-22
18-24
16-17
11-22
20-19
28-22
19-22
15-16
17-23
16-18
21-12
15-19
11-25
19-19
14-8
17-21
23-15
10-23
25-20
19-22
19-29
19-27
23-24
14-21
21-24
14-16
26-17
10-20
25-18
14-24
29-11
154.5Avg total
74.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.379.9149.2-10.614%
Season at home (8)75.184.1159.2-9.012%
Season away (13)65.877.3143.1-11.515%
Last 10 (10)74.580.0154.5-5.530%
Last 5 (5)73.480.6154.0-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)68.982.1150.9-13.211%
vs Similar (11)77.078.7155.7-1.736%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
79-66
79
66
+13
75avg 79
H12/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
67-57
67
57
+10
72avg 79
H15/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 79
A17/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
80-109
80
109
-29
72avg 79
A21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
81-86
81
86
-5
81avg 79
A23/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
100-60
100
60
+40
104avg 79
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 79
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-92
74
92
-18
61avg 79
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
91avg 79
H10/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
88-94
88
94
-6
no box
A15/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-10
20-21
18-15
19-20
16-12
12-10
17-19
22-16
19-24
24-21
21-12
17-23
23-28
25-22
11-29
21-30
23-20
21-19
24-23
13-24
28-15
30-15
26-13
16-17
22-17
23-17
26-23
17-19
29-18
17-23
18-36
10-15
23-17
17-21
19-27
36-18
22-31
23-22
21-28
22-13
163.6Avg total
83.3Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.578.3161.8+5.164%
Season at home (11)83.373.5156.7+9.882%
Season away (11)83.683.2166.8+0.545%
Last 10 (10)83.380.3163.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)89.081.0170.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.586.8168.3-5.317%
vs Similar (14)82.683.0165.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.871.0157.8+15.8100%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -0.2-0.2
VascoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rio Claro
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A11/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H16/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H18/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A21/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NBB
76.1Avg total
35.8Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.439.174.5-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.038.674.6-2.636%-
Last 30 away (19)35.139.474.5-4.432%-
Last 10 (10)35.840.376.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.842.877.6-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.539.873.3-6.326%-
vs Similar (11)38.638.076.6+0.645%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
28-22
28
22
+6
H15/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A17/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A21/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A23/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
58-30
58
30
+28
H27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/01
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A15/01
NBB
82.2Avg total
43.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.837.982.7+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.235.778.9+7.587%-
Last 30 away (15)46.340.286.5+6.167%-
Last 10 (10)43.938.382.2+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.839.286.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)45.742.588.2+3.267%-
vs Similar (14)45.140.585.6+4.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.731.675.3+12.190%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.617.0
49.1%
52.2%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.7
31.4%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.113.6
61.5%
72.8%13.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.1
53.2%
52.2%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.1
37.1%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
72.8%11.9
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WLLLLWLLWL
Corinthians Paulista
LWLWWLLWWW
#20
League position
#6
-7.0
Net rating
+4.7
94.2
Offensive rating
104.6
101.3
Defensive rating
99.9
48.2%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.7%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.4%
3-point %
37.1%
75.5%
Assist %
71.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 104.6Defence101.3 · 99.9Shooting48.2% · 54.2%3-point %31.4% · 37.1%Ball care18.2% · 19.7%Off. rebounds25.2% · 30.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Vasco   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Vasco wins
3
Corinthians Paulista wins
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26ACearense78-73
10/01/26AUnifacisa75-78
27/12/25HFlamengo80-102
23/12/25ACruzeiro75-79
21/12/25AMinas59-71
18/12/25HCaxias do Sul80-79 OT
16/12/25HUniao Corinthians78-85
13/12/25APinheiros70-84
11/12/25APaulistano69-65
25/11/25HRio Claro81-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26AFlamengo88-94
10/01/26HCruzeiro95-83
08/01/26HMinas74-92
29/12/25HUniao Corinthians88-76
27/12/25HCaxias do Sul100-60
23/12/25APaulistano81-86
21/12/25APinheiros80-109
17/12/25AOsasco81-80
15/12/25HRio Claro67-57
12/12/25HBrasilia79-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLWL12%
AwayLLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21813
Win %14%12%15%
Points / game69.375.165.8
Allowed / game79.984.177.3
Point differential-10.6-9.0-11.5
Avg total149.2159.2143.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %10%25%0%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%82%45%
Points / game83.583.383.6
Allowed / game78.373.583.2
Point differential+5.1+9.8+0.5
Avg total161.8156.7166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%82%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2118386%88.273.6+14.7
3 Pinheiros2218482%88.075.7+12.3
4 Minas2117481%86.778.6+8.1
5 Brasilia2217577%81.971.7+10.1
6 Sao Jose2114767%82.078.1+4.0
7 Corinthians Paulista2214864%83.578.3+5.1
8 Paulistano2112957%80.576.4+4.0
9 Mogi2011955%76.869.3+7.5
10 Unifacisa22121055%81.680.5+1.2
11 Bauru22111150%76.577.0-0.6
12 Uniao Corinthians20101050%78.680.5-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul21101148%72.577.1-4.7
14 Cruzeiro2161529%78.885.9-7.1
15 Pato2151624%72.781.4-8.7
16 Cearense2251723%78.087.9-9.9
17 Rio Claro2141719%75.588.3-12.9
18 Osasco2241818%75.187.7-12.5
19 Vasco2131814%69.379.9-10.6
20 Botafogo2131814%71.483.5-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco1224121967
Corinthians Paulista2118171975
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