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Vasco vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 87-78
24-20 27-21 17-21 19-16
Position#4
Record23-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game73.0
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#9
Record19-16
FormLLWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Corinthians Paulista
17 Jan 2026
VASC67
CORI75
17 Nov 2024
VASC90
CORI84
11 Apr 2024
VASC87
CORI78
17 Nov 2018
VASC78
CORI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Corinthians Paulista winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 72
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
80avg 72
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
102avg 72
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-84
89
84
+5
94avg 72
A08/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 72
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
54avg 72
A23/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 72
H28/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 72
H30/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
63-77
63
77
-14
60avg 72
A04/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
58avg 72
A06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
24-23
24-11
13-15
23-17
15-18
23-18
18-20
25-17
27-13
18-13
22-16
26-19
22-27
23-13
18-25
24-28
12-23
24-12
24-18
21-26
19-28
17-19
10-20
15-12
17-15
21-21
20-22
13-14
23-15
15-20
19-31
12-21
23-17
16-23
12-16
14-12
17-16
17-24
12-8
153.0Avg total
76.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.773.0148.7+2.768%
Season at home (16)76.370.4146.7+5.975%
Season away (18)75.275.3150.6-0.161%
Last 10 (10)76.776.3153.0+0.460%
Last 5 (5)68.478.0146.4-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.280.6147.8-13.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)75.372.1147.4+3.269%
vs Weaker (11)82.574.4156.9+8.291%
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulista
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 76
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
102-82
102
82
+20
104avg 76
H07/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
83avg 76
H09/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
81-70
81
70
+11
76avg 76
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
90-77
90
77
+13
88avg 76
A23/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
87-100
87
100
-13
78avg 76
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
67avg 76
A30/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
107-93
107
93
+14
107avg 76
H03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
50avg 76
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
116-72
116
72
+44
132avg 76
A08/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
30-19
12-18
20-17
25-17
24-17
29-26
24-22
18-12
19-29
16-24
33-20
21-19
22-7
12-30
26-14
28-20
19-14
19-21
24-22
14-30
22-27
25-22
26-21
13-24
20-15
20-30
20-22
35-24
17-21
19-21
36-27
19-23
10-25
8-19
21-21
27-18
32-18
23-18
34-18
171.0Avg total
88.1Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)81.879.8161.6+2.054%
Season at home (18)83.180.7163.8+2.456%
Season away (17)80.478.8159.2+1.653%
Last 10 (10)88.182.9171.0+5.270%
Last 5 (5)88.288.8177.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.288.6163.8-13.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.880.4160.2-0.638%
vs Weaker (12)88.076.9164.9+11.183%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +6.0+6.0
VascoCorinthians Paulista
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A08/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A23/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H28/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H30/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A06/04
NBB
78.0Avg total
39.2Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.375.1+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.534.672.1+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.239.978.1-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.878.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.270.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.441.673.0-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.234.873.0+3.369%-
vs Weaker (11)41.237.578.7+3.673%-
This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A02/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H07/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H09/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H13/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A23/03
NBB
Pato
#12
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A28/03
NBB
Minas
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A30/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H03/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A08/04
NBB
83.0Avg total
43.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.439.379.7+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.938.779.6+2.253%-
Last 30 away (13)39.640.179.7-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.683.0+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.043.278.2-8.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.939.978.8-1.038%-
vs Weaker (12)44.237.081.2+7.275%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.5
54.5%
51.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.6
31.7%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.115.1
75.1%
72.6%15.1
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.7
57.9%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.6
41.0%
33.9%37.8
🏀 Free throws13.79.9
72.3%
72.6%9.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLWLWWWWW
Corinthians Paulista
WLWLLWWWWW
#4
League position
#9
+0.5
Net rating
+6.6
102.6
Offensive rating
114.9
102.0
Defensive rating
108.3
51.4%
Effective FG%
59.7%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.21
31.7%
3-point %
41.0%
73.6%
Assist %
70.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 114.9Defence102.0 · 108.3Shooting51.4% · 59.7%3-point %31.7% · 41.0%Ball care20.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 23.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Vasco   ■ Corinthians Paulista
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vasco wins
1
Corinthians Paulista wins
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ACearense69-70 OT
04/04/24AUnifacisa63-77
30/03/24HSao Paulo70-80
28/03/24HPaulistano73-70
23/03/24AFranca67-93
10/03/24ACerrado84-81
08/03/24ABrasilia89-84
05/03/24HSao Jose92-59
02/03/24HMogi79-73
17/02/24ABauru81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/24ABotafogo116-72
06/04/24AFlamengo58-88
03/04/24HCaxias do Sul107-93
30/03/24AMinas73-91
28/03/24APato87-100
23/03/24APinheiros90-77
13/03/24HUniao Corinthians81-70
09/03/24HUnifacisa86-85
07/03/24HCearense102-82
02/03/24APaulistano81-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL68%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWLLL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %68%75%61%
Points / game75.776.375.2
Allowed / game73.070.475.3
Point differential+2.7+5.9-0.1
Avg total148.7146.7150.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)75% (4)75% (8)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Corinthians Paulista
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeLWWWW56%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %54%56%53%
Points / game81.883.180.4
Allowed / game79.880.778.8
Point differential+2.0+2.4+1.6
Avg total161.6163.8159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%28%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)44% (9)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3631586%85.073.1+12.0
2 Franca3631586%88.476.7+11.7
3 Minas3527877%86.073.7+12.3
4 Vasco34231168%75.773.0+2.7
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Unifacisa36231364%84.479.5+4.9
7 Paulistano35211460%75.270.5+4.6
8 Cearense34191556%79.177.4+1.7
9 Sao Jose35191654%79.777.6+2.1
10 Corinthians Paulista35191654%81.879.8+2.0
11 Sao Paulo36181850%78.479.1-0.7
12 Pato35161946%78.079.7-1.7
13 Pinheiros35142140%74.478.0-3.7
14 Mogi35102529%73.779.3-5.6
15 Uniao Corinthians35102529%74.783.8-9.1
16 Botafogo36102628%79.388.2-8.8
17 Cerrado3582723%74.777.9-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3582723%72.681.4-8.8
19 Brasilia3543111%73.789.5-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco2427171987
Corinthians Paulista2021211678
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