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Cearense vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-69 (OT)
12-14 16-17 24-17 8-12 10-9
Position#8
Record18-15
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#4
Record23-10
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game73.1
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Vasco
13 Jan 2026
CEAR73
VASC78
01 Nov 2024
CEAR68
VASC70
06 Apr 2024
CEAR70
VASC69
07 Dec 2018
CEAR66
VASC60
05 Dec 2017
CEAR85
VASC76
18 Feb 2017
CEAR89
VASC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
78avg 73
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
51-64
51
64
-13
46avg 73
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
84-75
84
75
+9
83avg 73
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 73
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
82-102
82
102
-20
83avg 73
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
93avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
24-22
15-6
20-26
11-24
17-14
13-8
10-18
16-15
20-16
30-23
18-21
15-18
28-13
20-22
27-16
17-25
17-24
26-29
22-24
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
25-12
28-24
18-18
20-15
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
155.5Avg total
78.4Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)79.477.6157.0+1.855%
Season at home (17)79.175.2154.3+3.865%
Season away (16)79.780.1159.8-0.444%
Last 10 (10)78.477.1155.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)79.477.6157.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.881.7158.5-4.817%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.877.8157.5+2.058%
vs Weaker (11)81.976.4158.3+5.564%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 73
H09/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
81-76
81
76
+5
82avg 73
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
79-73
79
73
+6
80avg 73
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-59
92
59
+33
102avg 73
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
89-84
89
84
+5
94avg 73
A08/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 73
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
54avg 73
A23/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 73
H28/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 73
H30/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
63-77
63
77
-14
60avg 73
A04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
30-28
26-20
24-17
20-27
24-23
24-11
13-15
23-17
15-18
23-18
18-20
25-17
27-13
18-13
22-16
26-19
22-27
23-13
18-25
24-28
12-23
24-12
24-18
21-26
19-28
17-19
10-20
15-12
17-15
21-21
20-22
13-14
23-15
15-20
19-31
12-21
23-17
16-23
12-16
157.5Avg total
79.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.973.1149.0+2.870%
Season at home (16)76.370.4146.7+5.975%
Season away (17)75.675.6151.2-0.165%
Last 10 (10)79.677.9157.5+1.770%
Last 5 (5)71.480.2151.6-8.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.280.6147.8-13.40%
vs Similar ◀ (12)75.872.2148.1+3.675%
vs Weaker (12)82.273.3155.6+8.992%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
CearenseVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A06/02
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H10/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H14/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A07/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
77.5Avg total
38.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.239.177.3-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.237.174.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.380.6-1.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.277.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.440.479.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.742.579.2-5.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.238.175.3-0.842%-
vs Weaker (11)40.537.678.1+2.864%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#15
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H09/02
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A17/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H05/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A08/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A23/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H28/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H30/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/04
NBB
81.8Avg total
40.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.475.4+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.534.672.1+2.973%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.378.8-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.940.981.8+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)35.839.875.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.441.673.0-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.835.474.2+3.367%-
vs Weaker (12)40.837.277.9+3.675%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.120.8
59.3%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.8
35.5%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.912.4
78.0%
72.6%12.4
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.918.0
56.4%
51.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.8
33.3%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.116.6
75.1%
72.6%16.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LWWWLLWWLW
Vasco
LLWLWWWWWW
#8
League position
#4
+1.5
Net rating
+2.9
107.5
Offensive rating
107.8
105.9
Defensive rating
104.9
56.9%
Effective FG%
53.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
20.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.5%
3-point %
33.3%
60.1%
Assist %
74.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 107.8Defence105.9 · 104.9Shooting56.9% · 53.5%3-point %35.5% · 33.3%Ball care20.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds23.8% · 27.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Cearense   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cearense wins
3
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Vasco v Cearense81-75
24/01/19Vasco v Cearense77-79
07/12/18Cearense v Vasco66-60
08/02/18Vasco v Cearense96-92
05/12/17Cearense v Vasco85-76
18/02/17Cearense v Vasco89-80 OT
22/11/16Vasco v Cearense71-69
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
25/03/24ACaxias do Sul91-69
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72
07/03/24ACorinthians Paulista82-102
02/03/24HPato90-69
14/02/24HBotafogo84-75
10/02/24HPaulistano51-64
06/02/24AUnifacisa80-73
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24AUnifacisa63-77
30/03/24HSao Paulo70-80
28/03/24HPaulistano73-70
23/03/24AFranca67-93
10/03/24ACerrado84-81
08/03/24ABrasilia89-84
05/03/24HSao Jose92-59
02/03/24HMogi79-73
17/02/24ABauru81-76
09/02/24HBotafogo98-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL55%
HomeLWWWL65%
AwayWLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %55%65%44%
Points / game79.479.179.7
Allowed / game77.675.280.1
Point differential+1.8+3.8-0.4
Avg total157.0154.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%41%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)50% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL70%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %70%75%65%
Points / game75.976.375.6
Allowed / game73.170.475.6
Point differential+2.8+5.9-0.1
Avg total149.0146.7151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won82% (11)75% (4)86% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3429585%87.776.2+11.5
2 Flamengo3429585%85.373.9+11.4
3 Minas3426876%85.673.3+12.4
4 Vasco33231070%75.973.1+2.8
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Paulistano34211362%75.670.7+4.9
7 Unifacisa34211362%83.879.3+4.5
8 Cearense33181555%79.477.6+1.8
9 Corinthians Paulista33181555%81.579.8+1.7
10 Sao Jose34181653%79.978.1+1.9
11 Sao Paulo34181653%78.979.3-0.4
12 Pato34151944%78.179.8-1.8
13 Pinheiros33141942%75.077.7-2.7
14 Uniao Corinthians34102429%74.684.0-9.4
15 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
16 Cerrado3382524%74.677.0-2.4
17 Mogi3382524%73.879.9-6.1
18 Caxias do Sul3482624%72.280.9-8.7
19 Brasilia3342912%72.688.7-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cearense12162481070
Vasco14171712969
← all games of the day
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