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Vasco vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 20:10
Final 84-78 (OT)
15-25 19-13 16-19 22-15 12-6
Position#4
Record26-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game72.6
Vasco 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#5
Record26-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game78.3
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vasco v Bauru
16 Feb 2026
VASC70
BAUR90
23 Dec 2024
VASC81
BAUR63
14 May 2024
VASC73
BAUR76
12 May 2024
VASC95
BAUR87
04 May 2024
VASC84
BAUR78
02 Dec 2023
VASC67
BAUR58
09 Jan 2019
VASC82
BAUR88
10 Apr 2018
VASC103
BAUR104
02 Apr 2018
VASC84
BAUR93
17 Jan 2018
VASC86
BAUR87
21 Feb 2017
VASC64
BAUR90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 72
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-93
67
93
-26
54avg 72
A23/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
73-70
73
70
+3
70avg 72
H28/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
56avg 72
H30/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
63-77
63
77
-14
60avg 72
A04/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
69-70 OT
69
70
-1
58avg 72
A06/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 72
H11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
63-72
63
72
-9
60avg 72
H13/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 72
A20/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
85-70
85
70
+15
91avg 72
H26/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-28
12-23
24-12
24-18
21-26
19-28
17-19
10-20
15-12
17-15
21-21
20-22
13-14
23-15
15-20
19-31
12-21
23-17
16-23
12-16
14-12
17-16
17-24
12-8
24-20
27-21
17-21
19-16
15-18
13-16
21-15
14-23
15-16
19-20
19-9
11-11
26-17
15-8
20-15
24-30
147.2Avg total
72.5Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)75.672.6148.2+3.168%
Season at home (19)76.670.8147.5+5.874%
Season away (19)74.674.3148.9+0.363%
Last 10 (10)72.574.7147.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)73.669.2142.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.883.8151.5-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.172.5148.6+3.671%
vs Weaker (11)79.373.8153.1+5.582%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 74
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 74
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 74
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
120avg 74
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
86-69
86
69
+17
87avg 74
A26/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
103-84
103
84
+19
108avg 74
A28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
91-92
91
92
-1
84avg 74
H03/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
80-68
80
68
+12
84avg 74
H13/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
93-74
93
74
+19
95avg 74
A21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
71-62
71
62
+9
64avg 74
H27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
15-21
15-24
26-8
25-21
19-18
9-25
14-14
19-29
17-15
21-11
17-17
28-24
24-19
33-26
28-26
30-10
18-15
17-22
21-22
29-19
20-27
32-10
22-28
22-18
24-19
19-26
26-29
23-18
18-10
26-18
13-22
21-23
18-20
26-18
28-13
19-19
20-12
19-18
13-13
162.6Avg total
85.7Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.978.3160.2+3.668%
Season at home (19)84.676.3160.9+8.484%
Season away (19)79.280.4159.6-1.253%
Last 10 (10)85.776.9162.6+8.880%
Last 5 (5)87.676.0163.6+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.084.0159.0-9.040%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.276.7157.8+4.575%
vs Weaker (12)89.078.9167.9+10.183%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +1.6+1.6
VascoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cerrado
#17
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A10/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
A23/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H28/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H30/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A04/04
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A06/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H11/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H13/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A20/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H26/04
NBB
72.7Avg total
36.4Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.675.6+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.273.9+3.573%-
Last 30 away (15)37.340.077.3-2.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.436.372.7+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.869.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.544.275.8-12.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.135.374.4+3.871%-
vs Weaker (11)39.937.577.5+2.455%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H21/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A26/03
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H03/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H13/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H27/04
NBB
81.1Avg total
43.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.739.481.1+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.538.282.7+6.386%-
Last 30 away (16)39.240.479.6-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.981.1+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.837.079.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.537.178.6+4.467%-
vs Weaker (12)43.438.882.2+4.667%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.9
51.8%
51.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.3
29.1%
33.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.413.0
74.7%
72.6%13.0
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.6
59.4%
51.8%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.111.4
42.1%
33.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws16.511.7
70.9%
72.6%11.7
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
WWLWLLLWLW
Bauru
WWWLWWWWLW
#4
League position
#5
-2.7
Net rating
+12.4
98.4
Offensive rating
116.0
101.2
Defensive rating
103.6
48.0%
Effective FG%
61.1%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
19.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.1%
3-point %
42.1%
73.8%
Assist %
69.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 116.0Defence101.2 · 103.6Shooting48.0% · 61.1%3-point %29.1% · 42.1%Ball care19.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds27.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Vasco   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
5
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
17/02/24Bauru v Vasco76-81
02/12/23Vasco v Bauru67-58
09/01/19Vasco v Bauru82-88
23/10/18Bauru v Vasco76-80
10/04/18Vasco v Bauru103-104 OT
07/04/18Bauru v Vasco83-79
06/04/18Bauru v Vasco89-92
02/04/18Vasco v Bauru84-93
27/03/18Bauru v Vasco83-88
17/01/18Vasco v Bauru86-87
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/24HPinheiros85-70
20/04/24APinheiros64-56
13/04/24HPinheiros63-72
11/04/24HCorinthians Paulista87-78
06/04/24ACearense69-70 OT
04/04/24AUnifacisa63-77
30/03/24HSao Paulo70-80
28/03/24HPaulistano73-70
23/03/24AFranca67-93
10/03/24ACerrado84-81
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HPato71-62
21/04/24APato93-74
13/04/24HMogi80-68
03/04/24HSao Jose91-92
28/03/24ABrasilia103-84
26/03/24ACerrado86-69
21/03/24HBotafogo113-95
19/03/24HFlamengo74-72
12/03/24HFranca67-78
09/03/24ACaxias do Sul79-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW68%
HomeWLWLW74%
AwayWLLLW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %68%74%63%
Points / game75.676.674.6
Allowed / game72.670.874.3
Point differential+3.1+5.8+0.3
Avg total148.2147.5148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%32%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)75% (4)75% (8)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWLWW84%
AwayWWWWW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %68%84%53%
Points / game81.984.679.2
Allowed / game78.376.380.4
Point differential+3.6+8.4-1.2
Avg total160.2160.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%32%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (15)75% (8)57% (7)
Overtime %13%11%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3934587%87.775.5+12.2
2 Flamengo3934587%84.972.9+11.9
3 Minas3931879%85.873.4+12.4
4 Bauru38261268%81.978.3+3.6
5 Vasco38261268%75.672.6+3.1
6 Paulistano39241562%75.570.0+5.5
7 Unifacisa39241562%85.280.8+4.3
8 Cearense39221756%78.876.8+2.0
9 Corinthians Paulista38191950%80.980.0+0.9
10 Sao Jose38191950%78.778.2+0.4
11 Sao Paulo40202050%79.380.4-1.0
12 Pato38172145%77.779.5-1.8
13 Pinheiros38152339%73.777.4-3.7
14 Mogi38102826%72.979.8-6.8
15 Botafogo38102826%78.988.0-9.1
16 Uniao Corinthians38102826%74.783.8-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Vasco151916221284
Bauru25131915678
← all games of the day
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