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Flamengo vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 May 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-71
22-25 21-14 21-17 15-15
Position#2
Record33-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#8
Record22-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game76.8
BrazilNBBNBB - Quarter-finals· Maracanãzinho
Other2023-24
Meetings · Flamengo v Cearense
23 Oct 2025
FLAM102
CEAR73
13 Feb 2025
FLAM84
CEAR79
03 May 2024
FLAM79
CEAR71
21 Dec 2023
FLAM77
CEAR74
25 Oct 2022
FLAM80
CEAR60
21 Dec 2021
FLAM91
CEAR74
26 Jan 2021
FLAM77
CEAR74
03 Feb 2020
FLAM78
CEAR71
26 Mar 2019
FLAM100
CEAR82
25 Mar 2018
FLAM87
CEAR85
20 Dec 2016
FLAM88
CEAR94
17 Feb 2016
FLAM66
CEAR67
18 Dec 2014
FLAM106
CEAR73
13 Jan 2014
FLAM72
CEAR69
15 Dec 2012
FLAM86
CEAR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
81avg 81
H26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
82avg 81
H29/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
84avg 81
A31/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
93-73
93
73
+20
88avg 81
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
88-58
88
58
+30
90avg 81
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 81
H08/04
NBB
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
90-87
90
87
+3
84avg 81
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
80-92
80
92
-12
62avg 81
H15/04
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#15
W
92-87
92
87
+5
91avg 81
A20/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
78-56
78
56
+22
82avg 81
H27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
22-18
23-14
18-18
30-23
22-21
22-14
14-20
23-19
21-19
23-20
23-24
29-11
22-15
21-21
21-26
23-19
25-10
19-8
21-21
17-12
15-18
26-12
15-17
21-11
26-19
12-29
31-28
12-28
21-22
26-20
21-22
27-15
29-20
23-24
13-28
23-8
24-13
15-17
16-18
159.3Avg total
85.3Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)85.073.0158.0+12.187%
Season at home (19)85.267.7152.9+17.595%
Season away (19)84.878.2163.1+6.679%
Last 10 (10)85.374.0159.3+11.390%
Last 5 (5)82.676.2158.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)83.884.0167.8-0.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.571.8158.3+14.892%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-72
61
72
-11
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
79-69
79
69
+10
73avg 73
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
91-69
91
69
+22
93avg 73
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
94avg 73
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
69avg 73
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
70-69 OT
70
69
+1
56avg 73
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
68-69
68
69
-1
60avg 73
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
82avg 73
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
73-70
73
70
+3
69avg 73
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
90-66
90
66
+24
96avg 73
H27/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
13-18
10-14
25-18
24-21
20-12
16-17
19-19
25-12
28-24
18-18
20-15
21-25
27-17
28-16
17-27
11-29
15-22
21-21
26-21
12-14
16-17
24-17
8-12
27-14
23-16
11-14
7-25
16-18
19-15
16-13
23-28
20-17
10-15
17-15
26-23
20-15
20-14
27-19
23-18
152.7Avg total
78.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)79.176.8155.8+2.358%
Season at home (19)79.274.4153.6+4.768%
Season away (19)78.979.2158.1-0.247%
Last 10 (10)78.274.5152.7+3.770%
Last 5 (5)77.071.4148.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.881.7158.5-4.817%
vs Similar (11)79.478.5157.8+0.955%
vs Weaker (12)80.575.7156.2+4.858%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +5.2+5.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
FlamengoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H26/03
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H29/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A31/03
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A02/04
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H06/04
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H08/04
NBB
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A13/04
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H15/04
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#15
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A20/04
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H27/04
NBB
78.9Avg total
45.0Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.034.879.7+10.283%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.532.276.7+12.393%-
Last 30 away (15)45.537.382.8+8.173%-
Last 10 (10)45.033.978.9+11.190%-
Last 5 (5)43.033.276.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.233.979.1+11.388%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A09/03
NBB
Minas
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H20/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A25/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A27/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/04
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H06/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A11/04
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A13/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A21/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H27/04
NBB
73.7Avg total
38.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.476.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.836.873.6+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)38.739.978.7-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.773.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.631.067.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.742.579.2-5.850%-
vs Similar (11)35.637.673.3-2.027%-
vs Weaker (12)40.536.376.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 84.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.1
55.8%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.2
38.0%
33.9%33.6
🏀 Free throws14.710.7
72.8%
72.6%10.7
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.7
57.9%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.8
35.6%
33.9%26.4
🏀 Free throws15.311.6
75.8%
72.6%11.6
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Flamengo
WWLWWWWWWW
Cearense
WWWLWLWWWL
#2
League position
#8
+15.5
Net rating
+4.8
113.8
Offensive rating
105.9
98.3
Defensive rating
101.1
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.0%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.0%
3-point %
35.6%
60.7%
Assist %
59.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 105.9Defence98.3 · 101.1Shooting56.3% · 56.0%3-point %38.0% · 35.6%Ball care17.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 21.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Flamengo   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Flamengo wins
0
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
02/04/24Cearense v Flamengo73-93
22/12/23Flamengo v Cearense77-74
31/01/23Cearense v Flamengo64-99
25/10/22Flamengo v Cearense80-60
29/03/22Cearense v Flamengo91-94
21/12/21Flamengo v Cearense91-74
26/01/21Flamengo v Cearense77-74
12/11/20Cearense v Flamengo69-82
03/02/20Flamengo v Cearense78-71
09/11/19Cearense v Flamengo71-88
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HBotafogo78-56
20/04/24ABotafogo92-87
15/04/24HQuimsa80-92
13/04/24AHalcones de Xalapa90-87
08/04/24HPinheiros73-59
06/04/24HCorinthians Paulista88-58
02/04/24ACearense93-73
31/03/24AUnifacisa90-82
29/03/24HSao Paulo88-78
26/03/24HPaulistano81-68
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HSao Jose90-66
21/04/24ASao Jose73-70
13/04/24ACerrado84-83 OT
11/04/24ABrasilia68-69
06/04/24HVasco70-69 OT
02/04/24HFlamengo73-93
27/03/24AUniao Corinthians93-85
25/03/24ACaxias do Sul91-69
20/03/24HMinas79-69
09/03/24APinheiros61-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %87%95%79%
Points / game85.085.284.8
Allowed / game73.067.778.2
Point differential+12.1+17.5+6.6
Avg total158.0152.9163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%79%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)100% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %8%0%16%
Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW58%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayWWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games381919
Win %58%68%47%
Points / game79.179.278.9
Allowed / game76.874.479.2
Point differential+2.3+4.7-0.2
Avg total155.8153.6158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%42%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)57% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %13%11%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3934587%87.775.5+12.2
2 Flamengo3833587%85.073.0+12.1
3 Minas3931879%85.873.4+12.4
4 Bauru38261268%81.978.3+3.6
5 Vasco38261268%75.672.6+3.1
6 Paulistano39241562%75.570.0+5.5
7 Unifacisa39241562%85.280.8+4.3
8 Cearense38221658%79.176.8+2.3
9 Corinthians Paulista38191950%80.980.0+0.9
10 Sao Jose38191950%78.778.2+0.4
11 Sao Paulo40202050%79.380.4-1.0
12 Pato38172145%77.779.5-1.8
13 Pinheiros38152339%73.777.4-3.7
14 Mogi38102826%72.979.8-6.8
15 Botafogo38102826%78.988.0-9.1
16 Uniao Corinthians38102826%74.783.8-9.2
17 Cerrado3682822%74.978.0-3.1
18 Caxias do Sul3682822%72.581.5-9.0
19 Brasilia3653114%73.588.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Flamengo2221211579
Cearense2514171571
← all games of the day
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