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VCU Rams vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-62
40-25 30-37
Position#27
Record26-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game71.8
VCU Rams 🏆
USA
vs
Dayton
USA
Position#65
Record23-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game69.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · VCU Rams v Dayton
15 Mar 2026
VCU 70
DAYT62
06 Feb 2026
VCU 99
DAYT73
07 Mar 2025
VCU 76
DAYT79
09 Feb 2024
VCU 49
DAYT47
12 Mar 2023
VCU 68
DAYT56
07 Feb 2023
VCU 58
DAYT62
02 Feb 2022
VCU 52
DAYT82
05 Mar 2021
VCU 73
DAYT68
23 Jan 2021
VCU 66
DAYT43
18 Feb 2020
VCU 61
DAYT66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VCU Rams winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VCU RamsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H07/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A14/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H18/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
82-63
82
63
+19
H28/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H13/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
50-27
49-46
37-31
40-37
47-27
31-40
48-46
41-29
42-33
33-55
37-22
45-41
34-33
36-32
37-36
31-26
39-29
32-37
44-21
33-43
147.7Avg total
78.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.971.8153.7+10.279%
Season at home (21)84.670.6155.2+14.086%
Season away (12)77.273.8151.0+3.567%
Last 10 (10)78.669.1147.7+9.590%
Last 5 (5)73.664.0137.6+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.579.5148.0-11.00%
vs Similar (7)78.378.1156.4+0.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)83.868.9152.7+14.9100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
73-99
73
99
-26
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
78-66
78
66
+12
H21/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
77-62
77
62
+15
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A14/03
NCAA
1H
2H
27-50
46-49
34-26
36-33
43-36
39-31
42-39
36-27
44-28
33-34
34-31
34-35
40-32
25-28
36-37
26-31
30-27
38-36
33-36
37-33
139.2Avg total
71.3Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.769.9144.6+4.870%
Season at home (20)77.366.5143.8+10.880%
Season away (13)70.875.0145.8-4.254%
Last 10 (10)71.367.9139.2+3.480%
Last 5 (5)66.665.2131.8+1.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)71.081.0152.0-10.033%
vs Similar (17)75.068.9143.9+6.176%
vs Weaker (7)76.965.0141.9+11.986%
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.0+11.01st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +1.3+1.3
VCU RamsDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VCU RamsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dayton
#65
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H07/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A14/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H18/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A21/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H28/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H04/03
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H13/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H14/03
NCAA
72.0Avg total
41.5Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.633.173.7+7.583%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.533.775.2+7.884%-
Last 30 away (11)39.032.271.2+6.882%-
Last 10 (10)41.530.572.0+11.0100%-
Last 5 (5)38.228.266.4+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.031.563.5+0.550%-
vs Similar (7)39.639.078.6+0.657%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.831.373.1+10.495%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
27-50
27
50
-23
A07/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H15/02
NCAA
George Mason
#47
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/02
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H25/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A04/03
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#13
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/03
NCAA
70.5Avg total
36.3Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.533.069.6+3.570%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.330.468.7+7.889%-
Last 30 away (12)33.936.970.8-3.042%-
Last 10 (10)36.334.270.5+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.667.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.739.072.7-5.317%-
vs Similar (17)37.031.368.3+5.788%-
vs Weaker (7)37.932.170.0+5.771%-
This opponent (VCU Rams) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
VCU Rams wins
4
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Dayton v VCU Rams62-68
07/02/26VCU Rams v Dayton99-73
08/03/25VCU Rams v Dayton76-79
08/02/25Dayton v VCU Rams68-73
09/03/24Dayton v VCU Rams91-86 OT
10/02/24VCU Rams v Dayton49-47
12/03/23VCU Rams v Dayton68-56
08/02/23VCU Rams v Dayton58-62
14/01/23Dayton v VCU Rams62-63
03/02/22VCU Rams v Dayton52-82
VCU Ramslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HSaint Josephs Hawks77-64
13/03/26HDuquesne71-66
07/03/26ADayton68-62
04/03/26HGeorge Mason70-65
28/02/26HFordham82-63
21/02/26ASt. Louis Billikens75-88
18/02/26HGeorge Washington89-75
14/02/26ARichmond Spiders78-67
11/02/26ALa Salle77-68
07/02/26HDayton99-73
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26ASt. Louis Billikens70-69
13/03/26HSt. Bonaventure68-63
07/03/26HVCU Rams62-68
04/03/26ARichmond Spiders65-60
28/02/26AGeorge Washington68-66
25/02/26HSt. Louis Billikens77-62
21/02/26HDuquesne78-66
19/02/26AGeorge Mason82-67
15/02/26HDavidson70-59
07/02/26AVCU Rams73-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VCU Rams
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332112
Win %79%86%67%
Points / game81.984.677.2
Allowed / game71.870.673.8
Point differential+10.2+14.0+3.5
Avg total153.7155.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%62%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games332013
Win %70%80%54%
Points / game74.777.370.8
Allowed / game69.966.575.0
Point differential+4.8+10.8-4.2
Avg total144.6143.8145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%45%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)50% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Louis Billikens3328585%87.269.5+17.7
2 VCU Rams3326779%81.971.8+10.2
3 George Mason3223972%73.367.5+5.8
4 Dayton33231070%74.769.9+4.8
5 Saint Josephs Hawks33221167%73.369.9+3.4
6 Davidson33201361%71.767.4+4.3
7 George Washington33181555%82.173.7+8.3
8 Duquesne33181555%78.375.2+3.1
9 Fordham32171553%69.865.5+4.4
10 St. Bonaventure34171750%76.474.5+1.9
11 Rhode Island32161650%69.968.2+1.7
12 Richmond Spiders32151747%76.773.9+2.8
13 La Salle3292328%67.174.1-6.9
14 Loyola Chicago3392427%66.875.8-9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VCU Rams403070
Dayton253762
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