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Keila KK vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-90
27-25 17-17 13-25 21-23
Position#14
Record0-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game94.3
vs
Position#1
Record8-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game67.6
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2024
Meetings · Keila KK v VEF Riga
19 Dec 2026
KEIL v VRI
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
KEIL80
VRI105
09 Nov 2024
KEIL78
VRI90
06 Mar 2024
KEIL72
VRI77
02 Dec 2022
KEIL76
VRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 67
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
53-60
53
60
-7
38avg 67
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
76avg 67
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
67-87
67
87
-20
61avg 67
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#8
L
78-116
78
116
-38
59avg 67
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
83-96
83
96
-13
69avg 67
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
73-100
73
100
-27
61avg 67
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 67
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 67
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
71-94
71
94
-23
54avg 67
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
24-19
27-20
20-12
11-14
7-13
20-12
15-21
11-13
25-14
20-18
10-21
17-18
9-17
19-27
22-25
15-31
15-23
22-33
26-29
21-18
17-35
19-16
26-27
24-26
15-26
15-29
19-19
15-11
21-26
18-21
12-19
17-24
15-15
20-24
20-20
26-27
13-13
12-27
20-27
159.7Avg total
73.6Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.894.3168.2-20.50%
Season at home (3)73.389.0162.3-15.70%
Season away (3)74.399.7174.0-25.30%
Last 10 (10)73.686.1159.7-12.520%
Last 5 (5)73.090.0163.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.994.2170.1-18.30%
vs Similar (9)78.679.4158.0-0.944%
vs Weaker (4)83.076.5159.5+6.575%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Bonn
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
78avg 78
H01/10
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
68-61
68
61
+7
61avg 78
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
89-52
89
52
+37
89avg 78
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 78
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 78
A15/10
Champions League
Rapla
#9
W
84-62
84
62
+22
86avg 78
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 78
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
60avg 78
H29/10
Champions League
Parnu
#11
W
75-70
75
70
+5
64avg 78
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
74-58
74
58
+16
67avg 78
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-21
17-17
28-13
18-18
21-19
14-10
15-14
21-10
18-11
28-10
22-21
20-24
19-13
15-13
20-21
13-20
17-18
25-13
16-27
21-21
26-9
22-12
15-20
19-15
23-18
29-18
22-29
19-18
14-19
21-27
15-16
23-20
25-8
12-27
15-15
22-27
18-7
22-4
12-20
146.7Avg total
78.3Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.067.6148.6+13.489%
Season at home (5)79.262.6141.8+16.6100%
Season away (4)83.273.8157.0+9.575%
Last 10 (10)78.368.4146.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)79.070.0149.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.081.0148.0-14.00%
vs Similar (5)81.077.2158.2+3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)81.569.3150.7+12.295%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
Keila KKVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#6
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H26/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
18-27
18
27
-9
A28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H01/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#6
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A02/05
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Ventspils
#8
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#12
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
74.1Avg total
34.0Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.144.082.1-5.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.441.982.3-1.629%-
Last 30 away (16)36.245.881.9-9.619%-
Last 10 (10)34.040.174.1-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.844.281.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.448.485.8-11.06%-
vs Similar (9)36.738.074.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (4)44.538.583.0+6.075%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#8
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H01/10
Champions League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A04/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H09/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan
#28
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A15/10
Champions League
Rapla
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A23/10
Latvia-Estonian League
AEK Athens
#4
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H29/10
Champions League
Parnu
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
73.5Avg total
39.8Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.377.2+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.835.776.6+5.163%-
Last 30 away (11)41.137.378.4+3.864%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.773.5+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.032.474.4+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.336.771.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (5)40.843.884.6-3.020%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)41.934.576.4+7.377%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.915.5
47.1%
51.9%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.79.6
32.3%
32.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
70.6%12.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.5
56.6%
51.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.1
33.8%
32.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.410.4
67.5%
70.6%10.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLLLLLLWLW
VEF Riga
WWLWWLWWWW
#14
League position
#1
-16.4
Net rating
+14.3
93.7
Offensive rating
107.6
110.0
Defensive rating
93.4
47.8%
Effective FG%
54.3%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.0%
18.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.3%
3-point %
33.8%
57.4%
Assist %
55.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.7 · 107.6Defence110.0 · 93.4Shooting47.8% · 54.3%3-point %32.3% · 33.8%Ball care17.7% · 19.0%Off. rebounds18.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Keila KK   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
4
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Keila KK v VEF Riga72-77
25/11/23VEF Riga v Keila KK81-60
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24HValmiera Glass Via71-94
23/10/24AKeila Coolbet72-83
19/10/24HTal Tech66-77
15/10/24ARapla73-100
12/10/24HBK Ogre83-96
08/10/24AVentspils78-116
02/05/24AParnu67-87
01/05/24HParnu80-79 OT
28/04/24AParnu53-60
26/04/24HParnu93-69
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HBK Liepaja74-58
02/11/24HParnu75-70
29/10/24HAEK Athens69-80
23/10/24ATal Tech93-80
19/10/24HRapla84-62
15/10/24AMaccabi Ironi Ramat Gan71-78
12/10/24HTartu Ulikool74-71
09/10/24HViimsi89-52
04/10/24AValmiera Glass Via68-61
01/10/24HBonn86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game73.873.374.3
Allowed / game94.389.099.7
Point differential-20.5-15.7-25.3
Avg total168.2162.3174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %89%100%75%
Points / game81.079.283.2
Allowed / game67.662.673.8
Point differential+13.4+16.6+9.5
Avg total148.6141.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga98189%81.067.6+13.4
2 BC Kalev/Cramo65183%85.574.2+11.3
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%84.173.8+10.3
4 Rigas Zelli96367%86.476.8+9.7
5 Tartu Ulikool74357%79.977.3+2.6
6 Keila Coolbet74357%82.079.7+2.3
7 Rapla74357%81.082.4-1.4
8 Tal Tech95456%80.086.0-6.0
9 Parnu42250%77.874.2+3.5
10 BK Ogre84450%82.180.1+2.0
11 Ventspils83538%93.092.1+0.9
12 BK Liepaja93633%75.879.9-4.1
13 Viimsi71614%67.384.1-16.9
14 Latvijas Universitate8080%68.481.9-13.5
15 Keila KK6060%73.894.3-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK2717132178
VEF Riga2517252390
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