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Keila KK vs VEF Riga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 72-77
11-24 14-20 25-17 22-16
Position#12
Record9-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game86.4
Keila KK
vs
VEF Riga 🏆
Position#3
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus (Keila)
Other2023
Meetings · Keila KK v VEF Riga
19 Dec 2026
KEIL v VRI
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
KEIL80
VRI105
09 Nov 2024
KEIL78
VRI90
06 Mar 2024
KEIL72
VRI77
02 Dec 2022
KEIL76
VRI88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
79-107
79
107
-28
70avg 68
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
87-116
87
116
-29
71avg 68
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
L
91-95 OT
91
95
-4
72avg 68
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
W
94-86
94
86
+8
85avg 68
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
57avg 68
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 68
H26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
74avg 68
H31/01
ENBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
79-92
79
92
-13
66avg 68
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
97-89
97
89
+8
89avg 68
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
65-89
65
89
-24
44avg 68
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
21-28
23-25
15-27
20-38
29-27
21-32
17-19
21-19
20-19
22-23
17-19
24-25
20-19
20-21
30-21
17-18
15-22
20-24
19-14
35-26
16-25
16-27
21-15
21-23
22-28
14-18
27-23
15-25
23-24
22-24
19-19
26-15
31-26
21-28
19-20
21-28
16-26
16-15
12-20
177.2Avg total
83.5Scored
93.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)80.386.4166.8-6.136%
Season at home (12)82.286.2168.5-4.042%
Season away (13)78.586.6165.2-8.131%
Last 10 (10)83.593.7177.2-10.220%
Last 5 (5)82.691.0173.6-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.589.8166.2-13.310%
vs Similar (5)88.888.0176.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (5)93.681.4175.0+12.2100%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
86avg 78
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
83-57
83
57
+26
80avg 78
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
92-66
92
66
+26
94avg 78
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
no box
A27/01
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
68avg 78
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H03/02
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
W
84-71
84
71
+13
86avg 78
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
98-77
98
77
+21
91avg 78
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H17/02
Latvian Cup
Prometey
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 78
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
29-19
14-14
23-24
27-8
19-17
20-18
17-14
33-12
19-17
19-17
21-20
31-33
24-18
15-25
21-21
18-19
22-21
21-8
18-26
29-24
37-16
21-14
14-26
16-16
15-16
33-25
20-14
26-20
24-14
23-24
25-19
18-9
27-23
19-20
30-17
26-29
15-10
16-19
26-18
163.8Avg total
89.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)86.271.2157.4+15.180%
Season at home (11)87.667.3154.9+20.4100%
Season away (14)85.174.2159.4+10.964%
Last 10 (10)89.374.5163.8+14.890%
Last 5 (5)92.074.6166.6+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.273.5143.8-3.250%
vs Similar (5)73.076.2149.2-3.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.672.1162.7+18.590%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
Keila KKVEF Riga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A10/01
ENBL
Ventspils
#4
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A12/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Zielona Gora
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/01
ENBL
Rapla
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H26/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Newcastle Eagles
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/01
ENBL
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H09/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
37-54
37
54
-17
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
92.1Avg total
43.3Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.384.6-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.643.984.5-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)40.044.784.7-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.892.1-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)45.249.294.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)37.544.582.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (5)44.644.889.4-0.240%-
vs Weaker (5)47.042.889.8+4.260%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A13/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#16
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A27/01
Latvian Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H31/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#1
W
66-40
66
40
+26
H03/02
Latvian Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#13
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/02
Latvian Cup
Prometey
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
83.9Avg total
47.7Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.136.480.5+7.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.435.279.6+9.273%-
Last 30 away (15)43.937.681.5+6.367%-
Last 10 (10)47.736.283.9+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)46.635.482.0+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.838.073.8-2.275%-
vs Similar (5)33.841.675.4-7.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)48.234.983.0+13.386%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.0
48.0%
50.5%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.0
33.8%
32.1%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.518.3
77.9%
70.5%18.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.3
55.3%
50.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
32.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.215.6
73.6%
70.5%15.6
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LWLLLLWLLL
VEF Riga
WWWWWWLWWW
#12
League position
#3
-13.3
Net rating
+17.3
103.3
Offensive rating
117.0
116.6
Defensive rating
99.7
49.2%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.5%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
38.4%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
33.3%
56.3%
Assist %
55.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 117.0Defence116.6 · 99.7Shooting49.2% · 53.1%3-point %33.8% · 33.3%Ball care16.7% · 16.5%Off. rebounds22.5% · 38.4%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 90%
■ Keila KK   ■ VEF Riga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Keila KK wins
3
VEF Riga wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23VEF Riga v Keila KK81-60
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ABK Ogre65-89
09/02/24HBK Liepaja97-89
05/02/24ABC Kalev/Cramo79-92
31/01/24HNewcastle Eagles84-92
26/01/24HParnu88-93
24/01/24HRigas Zelli71-78
20/01/24ARapla94-86
17/01/24AZielona Gora91-95 OT
12/01/24AVentspils87-116
10/01/24ASiauliai79-107
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HPrometey83-76
17/02/24HRigas Zelli94-69
14/02/24HRigas Zelli98-77
10/02/24HValmiera Glass Via84-71
03/02/24HVentspils101-80
31/01/24HLatvijas Universitate79-74
27/01/24AVentspils91-97
21/01/24ATallinna Kalev92-66
14/01/24AViimsi83-57
13/01/24AParnu88-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeLWLLW42%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %36%42%31%
Points / game80.382.278.5
Allowed / game86.486.286.6
Point differential-6.1-4.0-8.1
Avg total166.8168.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %80%100%64%
Points / game86.287.685.1
Allowed / game71.267.374.2
Point differential+15.1+20.4+10.9
Avg total157.4154.9159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%82%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2524196%87.369.8+17.5
2 Prometey2522388%90.769.5+21.2
3 VEF Riga2520580%86.271.2+15.1
4 Ventspils2619773%92.583.4+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool2517868%78.271.2+7.0
6 Rigas Zelli27161159%79.874.1+5.7
7 BK Ogre27151256%79.576.3+3.1
8 Parnu26131350%77.375.9+1.4
9 Tal Tech26121446%78.080.4-2.3
10 Rapla26111542%74.876.7-1.9
11 BK Liepaja25101540%78.681.4-2.8
12 Keila KK2591636%80.386.4-6.1
13 Valmiera Glass Via2561924%73.883.6-9.7
14 Viimsi2652119%67.285.7-18.5
15 Tallinna Kalev2532212%69.790.2-20.5
16 Latvijas Universitate2632312%67.385.1-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1114252272
VEF Riga2420171677
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