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VEF Riga vs Keila KK Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 90-60
33-21 21-10 17-10 19-19
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Xiaomi Arena
Other2026
Meetings · VEF Riga v Keila KK
29 Sep 2026
VRI90
KEIL60
30 Sep 2025
VRI122
KEIL74
11 Mar 2025
VRI94
KEIL71
25 Nov 2023
VRI81
KEIL60
09 Jan 2023
VRI95
KEIL48
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
L
69-72
69
72
-3
58avg 80
A22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
W
90-71
90
71
+19
91avg 80
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
79-67
79
67
+12
67avg 80
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
83-97
83
97
-14
66avg 80
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
75avg 80
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
84avg 80
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
105-88
105
88
+17
99avg 80
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
L
95-102
95
102
-7
84avg 80
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
104-66
104
66
+38
108avg 80
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
86avg 80
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
24-11
15-23
12-15
29-23
19-27
19-5
23-16
21-18
20-20
23-18
15-11
26-16
22-23
18-33
17-25
15-28
29-13
20-20
23-28
19-22
22-18
22-10
24-22
30-27
19-21
35-23
21-17
24-25
19-15
26-22
26-40
26-21
33-20
26-13
19-12
29-20
23-23
17-17
23-13
168.8Avg total
89.1Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.069.5167.5+28.5100%
Season at home (1)104.066.0170.0+38.0100%
Season away (1)92.073.0165.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)89.179.7168.8+9.460%
Last 5 (5)96.680.2176.8+16.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.586.0163.5-8.525%
vs Similar (9)84.287.0171.2-2.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)89.770.5160.2+19.193%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
93-96
93
96
-3
no box
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
69avg 66
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
69-91
69
91
-22
56avg 66
H27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
99-112 OT
99
112
-13
85avg 66
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
61avg 66
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
73-95
73
95
-22
43avg 66
A22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
73-98
73
98
-25
55avg 66
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
104avg 66
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
73avg 66
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
74-96
74
96
-22
54avg 66
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-30
29-28
17-20
26-18
28-26
18-24
24-11
16-21
19-16
22-29
11-21
17-25
29-22
25-17
24-25
15-29
25-15
19-33
26-14
10-22
17-19
25-24
17-27
14-25
20-25
15-23
18-26
20-24
18-19
24-27
29-24
28-29
17-24
28-35
17-18
21-16
16-16
28-24
12-33
18-23
181.1Avg total
84.9Scored
96.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.996.2181.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)84.499.4183.8-15.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)79.697.9177.5-18.34%
vs Similar (6)92.790.8183.5+1.867%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -4.7-4.7
VEF RigaKeila KK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#6
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Absheron Lions
#51
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H14/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H17/09
Champions League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H23/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#11
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
88.1Avg total
46.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.939.285.1+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.638.683.2+5.979%-
Last 30 away (16)47.139.786.8+7.462%-
Last 10 (10)46.741.488.1+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)48.842.491.2+6.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.042.883.8-1.825%-
vs Similar (9)43.840.684.3+3.278%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.538.085.5+9.573%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H27/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A04/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#10
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A22/02
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H07/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H14/03
Latvia-Estonian League
91.9Avg total
44.3Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.348.390.5-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.846.187.9-4.336%-
Last 30 away (16)42.750.292.9-7.519%-
Last 10 (10)44.347.691.9-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)41.647.288.8-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.349.390.6-8.021%-
vs Similar (6)46.244.290.3+2.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.625.4
59.6%
52.6%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.2
26.7%
31.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws25.516.4
64.3%
68.3%16.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.823.3
50.9%
52.6%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.3
31.1%
31.3%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.313.5
63.4%
68.3%13.5
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
WWLWWLLWWL
Keila KK
LLWLLLLLWL
#2
League position
#10
+10.6
Net rating
-13.2
98.9
Offensive rating
87.1
88.3
Defensive rating
100.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
49.4%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.2%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.7%
3-point %
31.1%
56.7%
Assist %
34.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 87.1Defence88.3 · 100.2Shooting52.0% · 49.4%3-point %26.7% · 31.1%Ball care12.2% · 13.3%Free throws0.37 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Keila KK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
VEF Riga wins
0
Keila KK wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Keila KK v VEF Riga80-105
30/09/25VEF Riga v Keila KK122-74
11/03/25VEF Riga v Keila KK94-71
09/11/24Keila KK v VEF Riga78-90
06/03/24Keila KK v VEF Riga72-77
25/11/23VEF Riga v Keila KK81-60
09/01/23VEF Riga v Keila KK95-48
02/12/22Keila KK v VEF Riga76-88
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/26ABK Ogre92-73
23/09/26HLatvijas Universitate104-66
17/09/26HDziki Warszawa95-102
14/09/26HAbsheron Lions105-88
07/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo87-72
03/04/26HValmiera Glass Via87-89
01/04/26AValmiera Glass Via83-97
29/03/26HValmiera Glass Via79-67
24/03/26HVentspils90-71
22/03/26AVentspils69-72
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HValmiera Glass Via74-96
11/03/26AKeila Coolbet83-93
07/03/26HLatvijas Universitate119-115 OT
03/03/26HBC Kalev/Cramo73-98
22/02/26AViimsi73-95
07/02/26HVentspils80-84
04/02/26ABK Ogre99-112 OT
27/01/26HRigas Zelli69-91
21/01/26ABK Liepaja86-82
17/01/26HTartu Ulikool93-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.0104.092.0
Allowed / game69.566.073.0
Point differential+28.5+38.0+19.0
Avg total167.5170.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga220100%98.069.5+28.5
2 Tartu Ulikool110100%90.063.0+27.0
3 Valmiera Glass Via220100%90.074.5+15.5
4 Rigas Zelli220100%86.572.0+14.5
5 Parnu110100%76.073.0+3.0
6 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%76.078.0-2.0
7 Ventspils21150%92.095.0-3.0
8 BK Liepaja1010%73.076.0-3.0
9 Tal Tech1010%73.079.0-6.0
10 Rigas Juniori1010%73.082.0-9.0
11 BK Ogre1010%73.092.0-19.0
12 Keila Coolbet1010%71.094.0-23.0
13 Viimsi1010%66.089.0-23.0
14 Latvijas Universitate2020%79.0106.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga3321171990
Keila KK2110101960
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