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VEF Riga vs Prometey Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 66-87
19-15 16-17 7-25 24-30
Position#3
Record26-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game72.6
VEF Riga
vs
Prometey 🏆
Position#2
Record29-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game68.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian LeagueLatvia-Estonian League - Semi-finals· Arena Riga
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · VEF Riga v Prometey
14 Apr 2024
VRI66
PRM87
02 Mar 2024
VRI83
PRM76
11 Feb 2023
VRI73
PRM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VEF Riga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VEF RigaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRiga
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H17/02
Latvian Cup
Prometey
#2
W
83-76
83
76
+7
73avg 78
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
77-72
77
72
+5
75avg 78
A06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
99-76
99
76
+23
91avg 78
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 78
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 78
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
80-78
80
78
+2
77avg 78
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
94-87
94
87
+7
88avg 78
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
62avg 78
A10/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
27-23
19-20
30-17
26-29
15-10
16-19
26-18
24-11
20-14
17-25
16-22
22-33
25-15
24-19
28-9
17-30
23-24
16-7
20-21
21-24
19-18
20-22
21-10
28-19
22-17
11-24
19-18
21-15
14-18
20-20
32-19
20-24
25-19
25-19
24-25
17-19
18-22
14-20
17-15
159.9Avg total
83.7Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.372.6157.9+12.779%
Season at home (16)86.770.1156.8+16.694%
Season away (17)84.174.9159.0+9.165%
Last 10 (10)83.776.2159.9+7.580%
Last 5 (5)81.677.4159.0+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.374.7150.0+0.767%
vs Similar (4)73.276.2149.5-3.025%
vs Weaker (23)89.074.3163.3+14.791%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Aris
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
97avg 86
H06/03
Eurocup
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
JL Bourg
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
81avg 86
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
113-59
113
59
+54
123avg 86
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
102-61
102
61
+41
100avg 86
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
101-74
101
74
+27
103avg 86
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
104-81
104
81
+23
101avg 86
A27/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
97-82
97
82
+15
99avg 86
H30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 86
A03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
76-66
76
66
+10
70avg 86
H10/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
23-15
23-18
21-17
–
–
–
–
17-17
27-28
13-34
25-16
31-11
30-20
30-13
22-15
30-13
25-17
21-19
26-12
24-15
23-28
28-20
26-11
23-11
30-20
17-20
34-30
20-20
27-19
28-21
22-22
25-23
22-19
20-21
23-19
19-17
22-18
20-14
15-17
154.7Avg total
86.0Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)89.468.5158.0+20.988%
Season at home (17)93.369.7163.0+23.694%
Season away (16)85.367.3152.6+18.081%
Last 10 (10)86.068.7154.7+17.380%
Last 5 (5)93.677.0170.6+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.097.7186.7-8.733%
vs Similar (4)92.286.0178.2+6.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.370.0158.4+18.387%
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +6.1+6.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.9+5.9Q4: +6.1+6.1
VEF RigaPrometey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VEF RigaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H17/02
Latvian Cup
Prometey
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
44-25
44
25
+19
A06/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H09/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
40-54
40
54
-14
H16/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Prometey
#2
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A10/04
Latvia-Estonian League
81.5Avg total
42.2Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.437.181.5+7.367%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.836.580.3+7.367%-
Last 30 away (12)45.337.983.2+7.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.381.5+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.039.080.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.339.377.7-1.067%-
vs Similar (4)33.541.875.2-8.20%-
vs Weaker (23)47.136.083.0+11.178%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/03
Eurocup
JL Bourg
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/03
Eurocup
Keila KK
#12
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H17/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#10
W
55-30
55
30
+25
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#9
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A27/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H30/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H10/04
Latvia-Estonian League
86.0Avg total
49.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.238.785.8+8.576%-
Last 30 at home (12)48.237.085.2+11.292%-
Last 30 away (17)46.439.886.2+6.665%-
Last 10 (9)49.636.486.0+13.189%-
Last 5 (5)47.038.085.0+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)46.348.795.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (4)49.245.294.5+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)46.936.183.0+10.886%-
This opponent (VEF Riga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
VEF Rigatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

VEF Riga: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
50.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.5
37.2%
32.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.714.1
75.4%
70.5%14.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 92.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.724.4
58.5%
50.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.2
34.8%
32.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.4
76.6%
70.5%16.4
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
VEF Riga
LWWWWLWWWW
Prometey
WWWWWWWLLW
#3
League position
#2
+10.5
Net rating
+24.1
115.4
Offensive rating
120.3
104.9
Defensive rating
96.2
52.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.2%
3-point %
34.8%
60.0%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 120.3Defence104.9 · 96.2Shooting52.9% · 56.1%3-point %37.2% · 34.8%Ball care15.5% · 14.8%Off. rebounds34.4% · 32.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ VEF Riga   ■ Prometey
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
VEF Riga wins
5
Prometey wins
DateGameScore
10/04/24Prometey v VEF Riga76-66
02/03/24VEF Riga v Prometey83-76
29/10/23Prometey v VEF Riga70-66
08/04/23Prometey v VEF Riga77-62
11/02/23VEF Riga v Prometey73-92
15/10/22Prometey v VEF Riga81-71
VEF Rigalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24APrometey66-76
01/04/24ARigas Zelli94-87
29/03/24HRigas Zelli87-72
24/03/24HRapla80-78
20/03/24HBK Ogre81-74
16/03/24HBC Kalev/Cramo76-82
09/03/24HVentspils99-76
06/03/24AKeila KK77-72
02/03/24HPrometey83-76
17/02/24HRigas Zelli94-69
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24HVEF Riga76-66
03/04/24ABK Ogre90-82
30/03/24HBK Ogre97-82
27/03/24ATal Tech104-81
23/03/24HParnu101-74
20/03/24ARapla102-61
17/03/24HKeila KK113-59
12/03/24AJL Bourg82-95
09/03/24ATartu Ulikool0-20
06/03/24HAris95-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VEF Riga
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWWWWL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %79%94%65%
Points / game85.386.784.1
Allowed / game72.670.174.9
Point differential+12.7+16.6+9.1
Avg total157.9156.8159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%69%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLLWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %88%94%81%
Points / game89.493.385.3
Allowed / game68.569.767.3
Point differential+20.9+23.6+18.0
Avg total158.0163.0152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+76%82%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo3432294%85.869.7+16.1
2 Prometey3329488%89.468.5+20.9
3 VEF Riga3326779%85.372.6+12.7
4 Ventspils35231266%90.383.9+6.4
5 Tartu Ulikool33201361%75.671.4+4.2
6 Rigas Zelli32181456%79.174.8+4.2
7 BK Ogre32171553%80.378.2+2.2
8 Parnu32151747%77.077.3-0.3
9 Tal Tech30141647%79.380.7-1.5
10 Rapla30121840%74.677.9-3.3
11 BK Liepaja30111937%78.281.5-3.3
12 Keila KK30102033%79.186.1-7.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via3092130%74.482.8-8.4
14 Latvijas Universitate3062420%68.683.5-14.8
15 Viimsi3062420%68.385.0-16.8
16 Tallinna Kalev3042613%70.188.9-18.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
VEF Riga191672466
Prometey1517253087
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