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Venezia vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-65
22-17 19-15 21-18 14-15
Position#2
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game73.5
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Avellino
Italy
Position#9
Record14-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game80.0
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Venezia v Avellino
24 Mar 2019
VEN76
AVE65
02 May 2018
VEN81
AVE79
01 Apr 2018
VEN88
AVE74
03 Jun 2017
VEN78
AVE66
28 May 2017
VEN88
AVE77
26 May 2017
VEN73
AVE80
03 Apr 2017
VEN78
AVE75
01 Mar 2017
VEN53
AVE49
04 May 2016
VEN86
AVE77
25 Jan 2015
VEN79
AVE71
15 Dec 2013
VEN84
AVE69
06 Jan 2013
VEN93
AVE97
06 May 2012
VEN90
AVE95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#10
W
89-80 OT
89
80
+9
A30/01
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A03/02
Lega A
Fribourg Olympic
#34
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H05/02
Champions League
Trento
#6
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
H10/02
Lega A
Sassari
#3
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A02/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A05/03
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
98-90
98
90
+8
H10/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H12/03
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
87-86
87
86
+1
A17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
20-13
12-19
23-21
18-25
20-28
21-14
30-19
28-8
12-18
9-16
23-20
13-22
10-22
23-15
27-14
29-20
28-21
18-25
13-23
16-22
14-19
24-22
23-13
18-23
10-22
24-26
20-24
27-23
27-15
21-23
23-29
19-12
18-19
23-19
24-16
20-29
21-18
23-14
23-25
164.4Avg total
83.3Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.573.5156.0+8.973%
Season at home (11)82.074.0156.0+8.064%
Season away (11)82.973.1156.0+9.882%
Last 10 (10)83.381.1164.4+2.270%
Last 5 (5)83.682.6166.2+1.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.385.7171.0-0.367%
vs Similar (11)78.978.7157.6+0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)82.073.3155.3+8.773%
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A22/01
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H30/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
79-97
79
97
-18
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
91-59
91
59
+32
H17/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
27-25
17-24
25-20
19-15
15-21
12-20
16-14
23-16
15-19
10-27
20-19
28-27
10-26
18-17
10-18
26-23
24-24
15-15
25-28
18-26
22-15
21-8
18-18
12-28
28-19
40-22
12-26
20-29
21-28
22-18
16-22
15-27
15-26
24-9
22-9
24-17
19-14
29-15
19-13
163.3Avg total
80.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.880.0160.8+0.864%
Season at home (12)82.576.1158.6+6.475%
Season away (10)78.784.7163.4-6.050%
Last 10 (10)80.383.0163.3-2.730%
Last 5 (5)83.477.8161.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.080.7154.7-6.733%
vs Similar (14)78.181.9159.9-3.850%
vs Weaker (6)87.374.7162.0+12.7100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.4-0.4
VeneziaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/01
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/02
Lega A
Fribourg Olympic
#34
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H05/02
Champions League
Trento
#6
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H10/02
Lega A
Sassari
#3
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H15/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A02/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A05/03
Champions League
Sassari
#4
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H10/03
Lega A
Nizhny Novgorod
#18
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H12/03
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A17/03
Lega A
78.7Avg total
38.7Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.077.7-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.737.476.1+1.357%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.479.1-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.078.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.478.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)43.740.784.3+3.0100%-
vs Similar (11)35.939.975.8-4.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)38.537.976.5+0.653%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Banvit
#15
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/01
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H27/01
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H15/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#6
L
41-57
41
57
-16
A03/03
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
30-53
30
53
-23
H10/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H17/03
Lega A
85.2Avg total
40.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.042.082.1-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.341.581.8-1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)39.742.882.5-3.123%-
Last 10 (10)40.045.285.2-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.845.884.6-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.741.780.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (14)39.444.283.6-4.929%-
vs Weaker (6)43.736.780.3+7.050%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.7
54.8%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.9
40.5%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.810.5
66.5%
72.3%10.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.918.7
49.3%
51.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.5
30.5%
35.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.6
77.6%
72.3%15.6
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WWWLWLLWWW
Avellino
WWLLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#9
+4.5
Net rating
+0.7
110.4
Offensive rating
99.7
105.9
Defensive rating
99.1
57.5%
Effective FG%
47.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.5%
3-point %
30.5%
64.2%
Assist %
72.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 99.7Defence105.9 · 99.1Shooting57.5% · 47.9%3-point %40.5% · 30.5%Ball care17.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds22.5% · 24.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Venezia   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Venezia wins
2
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
25/11/18Avellino v Venezia49-79
02/05/18Venezia v Avellino81-79
25/04/18Avellino v Venezia69-77
01/04/18Venezia v Avellino88-74
02/12/17Avellino v Venezia87-77 OT
05/06/17Avellino v Venezia83-84
03/06/17Venezia v Avellino78-66
01/06/17Avellino v Venezia73-75
30/05/17Avellino v Venezia96-83
28/05/17Venezia v Avellino88-77
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19AOlimpia Milano87-86
12/03/19HNizhny Novgorod84-66
10/03/19HSassari98-90
05/03/19ANizhny Novgorod72-95
02/03/19AVirtus Bologna77-76
15/02/19HSassari88-89
10/02/19HTrento77-81 OT
05/02/19HFribourg Olympic72-62
03/02/19APesaro89-86
30/01/19ANanterre89-80 OT
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/19HReggiana91-59
10/03/19HVarese76-71
03/03/19ATrento79-97
15/02/19HBrindisi92-95
10/02/19HBrescia79-67
05/02/19AVentspils102-106 OT
03/02/19AVirtus Bologna66-88
30/01/19HLe Mans68-81
27/01/19HCremona62-70
22/01/19ABanvit88-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayLWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%64%82%
Points / game82.582.082.9
Allowed / game73.574.073.1
Point differential+8.9+8.0+9.8
Avg total156.0156.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%45%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)25% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %9%18%0%
Avellino
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game80.882.578.7
Allowed / game80.076.184.7
Point differential+0.8+6.4-6.0
Avg total160.8158.6163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (7)100% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2218482%87.477.8+9.6
2 Venezia2216673%82.573.5+8.9
3 Cremona2214864%82.578.2+4.3
4 Avellino2214864%80.880.0+0.8
5 Varese2213959%79.374.8+4.5
6 Brindisi2213959%82.579.6+2.9
7 Trento22121055%79.380.8-1.5
8 Cantu22121055%84.686.5-1.9
9 Virtus Bologna23121152%81.181.1-0.0
10 Trieste22111150%87.084.0+3.0
11 Sassari22101245%84.682.6+2.0
12 Brescia22101245%79.280.1-0.9
13 Torino2261627%82.987.3-4.4
14 Pesaro2361726%80.592.4-11.9
15 Reggiana2251723%77.283.4-6.1
16 Pistoia2251723%75.183.8-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2219211476
Avellino1715181565
← all games of the day
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