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Pesaro vs Venezia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-89
25-18 28-20 14-21 19-30
Position#15
Record6-11
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game92.4
vs
Venezia 🏆
Italy
Position#2
Record12-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game70.5
ItalyLega ARound 18
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Venezia
08 Oct 2023
PES64
VEN76
08 Oct 2022
PES90
VEN89
01 May 2022
PES75
VEN85
18 Sep 2021
PES51
VEN83
31 Jan 2021
PES65
VEN78
19 Apr 2020
PES v VEN
upcoming
03 Feb 2019
PES86
VEN89
06 May 2018
PES77
VEN74
06 Nov 2016
PES84
VEN78
13 Dec 2015
PES82
VEN75
07 Dec 2014
PES89
VEN90
11 May 2014
PES86
VEN73
14 Oct 2012
PES88
VEN75
06 Nov 2011
PES58
VEN71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-86
89
86
+3
127avg 121
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
139avg 121
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
106-122
106
122
-16
132avg 121
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
92avg 121
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-114
73
114
-41
117avg 121
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
78-98
78
98
-20
127avg 121
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
66-108
66
108
-42
89avg 121
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
W
102-98 OT
102
98
+4
no box
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
81-77
81
77
+4
104avg 121
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
80-101
80
101
-21
176avg 121
H26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
23-19
20-20
24-19
25-25
24-21
16-24
16-12
23-35
30-31
18-28
35-28
24-16
11-27
18-15
12-19
14-28
16-19
16-33
27-34
22-25
20-24
15-28
21-21
15-25
14-32
15-24
22-27
26-26
15-23
26-18
19-19
30-17
16-29
14-16
21-15
19-31
22-29
23-12
16-29
178.4Avg total
82.1Scored
96.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)82.192.4174.4-10.335%
Season at home (9)87.692.6180.1-5.044%
Season away (8)75.992.1168.0-16.225%
Last 10 (10)82.196.3178.4-14.230%
Last 5 (5)81.496.4177.8-15.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.792.1171.8-12.424%
vs Similar (4)81.879.8161.5+2.075%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
75-83
75
83
-8
120avg 124
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
74-82
74
82
-8
97avg 124
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
78-67
78
67
+11
107avg 124
H06/01
Lega A
Opava
#44
W
102-81
102
81
+21
no box
H08/01
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
70-72
70
72
-2
96avg 124
A12/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
no box
A15/01
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
73-66
73
66
+7
104avg 124
A20/01
Lega A
Bonn
#33
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H22/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
95-72
95
72
+23
127avg 124
H27/01
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
W
89-80 OT
89
80
+9
no box
A30/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-12
20-31
20-14
24-26
19-21
15-24
27-18
13-19
20-15
13-19
22-13
23-20
13-20
24-18
33-23
32-20
17-22
25-12
13-22
15-16
21-20
24-23
11-18
24-17
19-11
20-17
11-25
23-13
23-18
17-17
16-17
13-21
20-21
24-23
23-10
28-18
19-21
20-13
12-19
23-21
155.9Avg total
80.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)81.570.5152.1+11.071%
Season at home (9)80.871.4152.2+9.367%
Season away (8)82.469.5151.9+12.975%
Last 10 (10)80.575.4155.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)81.273.8155.0+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.282.2162.5-2.050%
vs Similar (9)78.676.9155.4+1.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.671.3156.9+14.482%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -6.3-6.3Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.7+2.7
PesaroVenezia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H25/11
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A09/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H16/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H23/12
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A26/12
Lega A
Varese
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H30/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
29-57
29
57
-28
A06/01
Lega A
Torino
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H13/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A20/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H26/01
Lega A
92.1Avg total
41.1Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.348.186.4-9.817%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.546.886.3-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)37.149.486.5-12.313%-
Last 10 (10)41.151.092.1-9.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.852.292.0-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.249.087.1-10.816%-
vs Similar (4)41.043.584.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H06/01
Lega A
Opava
#44
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H08/01
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A12/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#5
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A15/01
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A20/01
Lega A
Bonn
#33
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H22/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H27/01
Lega A
Nanterre
#10
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A30/01
Champions League
76.2Avg total
38.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.577.7+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.137.776.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)41.337.378.5+4.067%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.876.2+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.878.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.840.581.2+0.275%-
vs Similar (9)35.740.275.9-4.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.535.477.8+7.176%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.722.9
49.0%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.4
28.1%
35.1%16.2
🏀 Free throws24.217.3
71.5%
72.3%17.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.2
50.1%
51.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.010.7
38.2%
35.1%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.89.7
70.3%
72.3%9.7
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWLLLLLLW
Venezia
WWLWWLWWLL
#15
League position
#2
-18.6
Net rating
+11.6
102.0
Offensive rating
104.2
120.6
Defensive rating
92.5
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
58.3%
Opp. effective FG%
44.1%
18.2%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
21.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.22
28.1%
3-point %
38.2%
37.8%
Assist %
71.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 104.2Defence120.6 · 92.5Shooting47.0% · 53.4%3-point %28.1% · 38.2%Ball care18.2% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.0% · 21.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Venezia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Pesaro wins
5
Venezia wins
DateGameScore
21/10/18Venezia v Pesaro97-62
06/05/18Pesaro v Venezia77-74
07/01/18Venezia v Pesaro72-71
05/03/17Venezia v Pesaro85-61
06/11/16Pesaro v Venezia84-78
03/04/16Venezia v Pesaro96-100 OT
13/12/15Pesaro v Venezia82-75
29/03/15Venezia v Pesaro84-72
07/12/14Pesaro v Venezia89-90
11/05/14Pesaro v Venezia86-73
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/19HBrindisi80-101
20/01/19APistoia81-77
13/01/19HTorino102-98 OT
06/01/19AReggiana66-108
30/12/18HVarese78-98
26/12/18ASassari73-114
23/12/18HTrento65-77
16/12/18HCremona106-122
09/12/18AAvellino81-82
25/11/18HVirtus Bologna89-86
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/19ANanterre89-80 OT
27/01/19HPistoia95-72
22/01/19HBonn69-73
20/01/19ATorino73-66
15/01/19ATenerife80-78
12/01/19ABrescia70-72
08/01/19HOpava102-81
06/01/19HCremona78-67
30/12/18AReggiana74-82
26/12/18HTrieste75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLWL44%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game82.187.675.9
Allowed / game92.492.692.1
Point differential-10.3-5.0-16.2
Avg total174.4180.1168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Venezia
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW71%
HomeLWLWW67%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %71%67%75%
Points / game81.580.882.4
Allowed / game70.571.469.5
Point differential+11.0+9.3+12.9
Avg total152.1152.2151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%56%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1715288%90.980.7+10.2
2 Venezia1712571%81.570.5+11.0
3 Cremona1711665%87.582.6+4.8
4 Avellino1811761%80.781.4-0.8
5 Brindisi1710759%81.077.4+3.6
6 Varese1810856%77.573.8+3.7
7 Virtus Bologna1810856%81.581.8-0.3
8 Sassari179853%88.283.1+5.2
9 Trieste178947%86.184.7+1.4
10 Brescia178947%78.279.3-1.1
11 Trento1881044%77.881.5-3.7
12 Cantu1771041%83.888.4-4.6
13 Pesaro1761135%82.192.4-10.3
14 Reggiana1751229%79.282.6-3.4
15 Torino1741324%82.487.9-5.5
16 Pistoia1741324%77.887.9-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2528141986
Venezia1820213089
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