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Avellino vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 15 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 92-95
12-28 28-19 40-22 12-26
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#2
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyItalian CupItalian Cup - Quarter-finals
Other2019
Meetings · Avellino v Brindisi
05 May 2019
AVE83
BRI87
15 Feb 2019
AVE92
BRI95
11 Mar 2018
AVE89
BRI71
27 Nov 2016
AVE76
BRI73
22 Nov 2015
AVE83
BRI81
29 Dec 2014
AVE77
BRI80
26 Dec 2013
AVE85
BRI83
25 Nov 2012
AVE81
BRI71
16 Jan 2011
AVE79
BRI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAvellino
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
72-62
72
62
+10
no box
A08/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
82-78
82
78
+4
85avg 114
H13/01
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
57-63
57
63
-6
no box
H16/01
Champions League
Cantu
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
127avg 114
A19/01
Lega A
Banvit
#15
L
88-96
88
96
-8
no box
A22/01
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
62-70
62
70
-8
91avg 114
H27/01
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
L
68-81
68
81
-13
no box
H30/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
66-88
66
88
-22
89avg 114
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
W
79-67
79
67
+12
118avg 114
H10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
16-16
17-9
16-22
20-19
17-25
26-18
19-16
16-21
16-11
8-18
17-13
13-19
16-18
22-24
22-22
19-27
27-25
17-24
25-20
19-15
15-21
12-20
16-14
23-16
15-19
10-27
20-19
28-27
10-26
18-17
10-18
26-23
24-24
15-15
25-28
18-26
22-15
21-8
18-18
154.3Avg total
74.9Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.979.4154.3-4.530%
Last 5 (5)75.482.4157.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.080.7154.7-6.733%
vs Similar (15)80.783.3164.0-2.753%
vs Weaker (6)88.277.7165.8+10.5100%
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
59-70
59
70
-11
94avg 115
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
89-81
89
81
+8
120avg 115
H22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
140avg 115
H26/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
121avg 115
A30/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
68-70
68
70
-2
114avg 115
H05/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
80avg 115
A13/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
101-92
101
92
+9
134avg 115
H20/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
101-80
101
80
+21
196avg 115
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
103-98 OT
103
98
+5
no box
A03/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
80-70
80
70
+10
115avg 115
H10/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
19-10
20-18
8-20
29-13
14-27
25-16
21-25
16-31
18-15
26-18
20-22
16-27
31-10
26-17
19-17
15-16
24-20
14-17
15-17
25-27
18-21
15-11
21-17
26-16
19-23
30-25
26-28
31-19
29-22
12-23
29-16
18-20
29-23
19-25
25-23
18-12
28-19
22-20
12-19
164.6Avg total
85.2Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.279.4164.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)92.883.2176.0+9.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.887.3165.1-9.520%
vs Similar (13)81.879.5161.3+2.262%
vs Weaker (7)81.773.3155.0+8.471%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
AvellinoBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#39
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A08/01
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H13/01
Lega A
Murcia
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H16/01
Champions League
Cantu
#8
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A19/01
Lega A
Banvit
#15
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A22/01
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H27/01
Lega A
Le Mans
#31
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/01
Champions League
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A03/02
Lega A
Ventspils
#32
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A05/02
Champions League
Brescia
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/02
Lega A
79.1Avg total
38.3Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.841.382.2-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.983.8-0.144%-
Last 30 away (14)39.740.680.4-0.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.340.879.1-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.482.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.741.780.3-3.033%-
vs Similar (15)40.743.083.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker (6)44.336.781.0+7.750%-
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A16/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A30/12
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H05/01
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A13/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H20/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
A26/01
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/02
Lega A
82.8Avg total
43.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.979.6+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.436.878.2+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.180.9-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)43.539.382.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.240.488.6+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.240.777.9-3.540%-
vs Similar (13)42.540.082.5+2.562%-
vs Weaker (7)42.134.476.6+7.786%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.4
45.3%
-34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.3
33.7%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws20.315.6
76.8%
-15.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.5
52.7%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.912.8
75.7%
-12.8
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Avellino
WLLLLLLLWW
Brindisi
WWWWWLWLWL
#7
League position
#2
-5.1
Net rating
+6.1
99.2
Offensive rating
105.4
104.3
Defensive rating
99.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.6%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
31.8%
72.0%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Avellino   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Avellino wins
5
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
05/01/19Brindisi v Avellino68-70
11/03/18Avellino v Brindisi89-71
05/11/17Brindisi v Avellino92-88 OT
26/03/17Brindisi v Avellino94-74
27/11/16Avellino v Brindisi76-73
14/03/16Brindisi v Avellino82-89
22/11/15Avellino v Brindisi83-81 OT
27/04/15Brindisi v Avellino81-67
29/12/14Avellino v Brindisi77-80
19/04/14Brindisi v Avellino75-73
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19HBrescia79-67
05/02/19AVentspils102-106 OT
03/02/19AVirtus Bologna66-88
30/01/19HLe Mans68-81
27/01/19HCremona62-70
22/01/19ABanvit88-96
19/01/19ACantu73-83
16/01/19HMurcia57-63
13/01/19HPistoia82-78
08/01/19AAnwil Wloclawek72-62
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/19HPistoia80-70
03/02/19ASassari103-98 OT
26/01/19APesaro101-80
20/01/19HOlimpia Milano101-92
13/01/19ATrento79-76
05/01/19HAvellino68-70
30/12/18ATrieste92-71
26/12/18HCremona80-86
22/12/18HVirtus Bologna89-81
16/12/18AVenezia59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brindisi
Italian Cup 2019
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cremona110100%82.073.0+9.0
2 Virtus Bologna110100%86.084.0+2.0
3 Sassari110100%89.088.0+1.0
4 Venezia1010%88.089.0-1.0
5 Olimpia Milano1010%84.086.0-2.0
6 Varese1010%73.082.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Avellino1228401292
Brindisi2819222695
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