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Venezia vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 94-87
28-27 32-19 10-17 24-24
Position#4
Record15-9
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game77.0
Venezia 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#11
Record9-15
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game84.3
ItalyLega ARound 26
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Venezia v Brescia
11 Apr 2026
VEN74
BRE89
22 Dec 2024
VEN89
BRE90
23 Dec 2023
VEN86
BRE71
08 Mar 2023
VEN90
BRE64
10 Dec 2022
VEN82
BRE79
30 Jan 2022
VEN82
BRE93
11 Apr 2021
VEN94
BRE87
26 Apr 2020
VEN v BRE
upcoming
12 May 2019
VEN86
BRE70
15 Apr 2018
VEN68
BRE61
17 Feb 2017
VEN68
BRE76
18 Dec 2016
VEN78
BRE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVenezia
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
86avg 72
H24/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
78-65
78
65
+13
no box
A31/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 72
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
A11/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
65-96
65
96
-31
no box
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 72
A27/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
72-77
72
77
-5
59avg 72
A06/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
87-69
87
69
+18
84avg 72
A21/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
69-63
69
63
+6
64avg 72
H28/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
no box
A03/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
20-26
26-23
26-17
19-20
13-14
15-15
31-16
26-21
21-23
15-19
18-12
23-16
18-22
24-23
24-21
25-20
13-22
11-30
16-24
20-24
32-23
16-27
20-22
13-16
27-17
17-23
15-21
25-21
16-17
25-11
21-20
13-16
24-18
17-16
15-13
25-20
27-22
17-19
11-19
159.7Avg total
80.0Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.477.0157.4+3.462%
Season at home (11)80.477.4157.7+3.073%
Season away (13)80.576.7157.2+3.854%
Last 10 (10)80.079.7159.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)80.079.0159.0+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.685.4159.0-11.721%
vs Similar (5)88.681.4170.0+7.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.276.5157.7+4.760%
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
88-98
88
98
-10
84avg 72
A10/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
90-89
90
89
+1
85avg 72
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 72
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 72
A07/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 72
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 72
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
90avg 72
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
A20/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 72
H28/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 72
A03/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
23-24
15-28
28-30
15-16
33-24
15-29
27-20
17-36
16-25
29-20
29-13
27-22
13-19
18-20
23-17
24-16
24-20
24-22
26-25
15-22
32-21
24-26
18-10
13-24
27-23
25-28
27-24
24-24
16-22
13-23
14-22
17-17
14-25
21-18
16-14
20-27
24-10
13-28
21-23
171.5Avg total
84.2Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.084.3165.4-3.338%
Season at home (12)82.180.5162.6+1.642%
Season away (12)80.088.2168.2-8.233%
Last 10 (10)84.287.3171.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)78.886.2165.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.183.5158.5-8.415%
vs Similar (16)83.184.8167.9-1.750%
vs Weaker (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.1+3.1
VeneziaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#9
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H24/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A31/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A11/02
Italian Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A13/02
Italian Cup
Sassari
#5
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A27/02
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A06/03
Lega A
Trieste
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A21/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/04
Lega A
81.2Avg total
41.6Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.182.4+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.140.581.5+0.662%-
Last 30 away (17)41.441.683.0-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.681.2+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.883.2+5.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.040.379.3-1.343%-
vs Similar (5)44.842.487.2+2.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.741.984.6+0.840%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A23/01
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
33-61
33
61
-28
H31/01
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A07/02
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H28/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/04
Lega A
84.9Avg total
41.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.282.5+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.839.781.5+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.742.783.5-2.033%-
Last 10 (10)41.643.384.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.083.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.841.078.8-3.231%-
vs Similar (16)44.141.885.9+2.262%-
vs Weaker (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.5
53.0%
51.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.4
38.9%
35.9%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
75.8%11.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.019.9
48.5%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.7
40.8%
35.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.914.3
84.6%
75.8%14.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
LWWLLLWWWW
Brescia
LLLLWWWLWL
#4
League position
#11
+7.8
Net rating
-4.2
108.0
Offensive rating
112.1
100.2
Defensive rating
116.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
53.2%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.9%
3-point %
40.8%
61.2%
Assist %
65.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.0 · 112.1Defence100.2 · 116.3Shooting55.5% · 53.2%3-point %38.9% · 40.8%Ball care17.3% · 16.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Venezia   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Venezia wins
5
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
13/12/20Brescia v Venezia71-69
04/01/20Brescia v Venezia70-64
12/05/19Venezia v Brescia86-70
12/01/19Brescia v Venezia72-70
15/04/18Venezia v Brescia68-61
17/12/17Brescia v Venezia90-71
15/04/17Brescia v Venezia79-84
17/02/17Venezia v Brescia68-76
18/12/16Venezia v Brescia78-70
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/21ATrento84-90 OT
28/03/21HOlimpia Milano69-63
21/03/21ATrieste87-69
06/03/21AVirtus Bologna72-77
27/02/21ASassari88-96
13/02/21AOlimpia Milano65-96
11/02/21AVirtus Bologna89-82
07/02/21HCantu80-75
31/01/21APesaro78-65
24/01/21HCremona88-84
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/21AFortitudo Bologna78-88
28/03/21HBrindisi68-74
20/03/21ATrento67-91
14/03/21HOlimpia Milano92-99
28/02/21HReggiana89-79
10/02/21HVarese98-83
07/02/21ATrieste81-78
31/01/21HTreviso91-94
23/01/21AVirtus Bologna90-89
10/01/21APesaro88-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLLWL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %62%73%54%
Points / game80.480.480.5
Allowed / game77.077.476.7
Point differential+3.4+3.0+3.8
Avg total157.4157.7157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%18%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWWLL42%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%42%33%
Points / game81.082.180.0
Allowed / game84.380.588.2
Point differential-3.3+1.6-8.2
Avg total165.4162.6168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)25% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2419579%86.174.4+11.7
2 Brindisi2318578%86.278.4+7.8
3 Virtus Bologna2417771%85.577.0+8.5
4 Sassari2315865%90.086.4+3.6
5 Venezia2415962%80.477.0+3.4
6 Treviso25141156%85.287.4-2.3
7 Trieste23111248%80.480.2+0.2
8 Pesaro25111444%81.682.9-1.3
9 Varese25101540%81.486.5-5.2
10 Trento2391439%77.679.7-2.2
11 Cremona2491538%85.686.9-1.3
12 Brescia2491538%81.084.3-3.3
13 Fortitudo Bologna2591636%77.981.7-3.8
14 Reggiana2591636%76.181.2-5.1
15 Cantu2481633%78.683.5-5.0
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Venezia2832102494
Brescia2719172487
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