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Venezia vs Brescia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#7
Record11-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 34
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Venezia v Brescia
11 Apr 2026
VEN74
BRE89
22 Dec 2024
VEN89
BRE90
23 Dec 2023
VEN86
BRE71
08 Mar 2023
VEN90
BRE64
10 Dec 2022
VEN82
BRE79
30 Jan 2022
VEN82
BRE93
11 Apr 2021
VEN94
BRE87
26 Apr 2020
VEN v BRE
upcoming
12 May 2019
VEN86
BRE70
15 Apr 2018
VEN68
BRE61
17 Feb 2017
VEN68
BRE76
18 Dec 2016
VEN78
BRE70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Venezia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeneziaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
104-85
104
85
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
98-92
98
92
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
80-70
80
70
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
22-21
13-18
16-12
30-29
28-23
21-18
25-15
10-17
30-26
18-21
21-13
28-28
26-21
20-18
24-25
14-10
18-15
15-16
17-29
17-23
23-8
21-17
20-24
21-17
15-20
20-14
24-19
21-21
18-23
16-19
16-20
21-22
20-17
16-21
20-21
25-23
13-14
15-14
26-22
157.7Avg total
80.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.075.3153.3+2.752%
Season at home (11)75.669.4145.0+6.382%
Season away (10)80.681.9162.5-1.320%
Last 10 (10)80.377.4157.7+2.960%
Last 5 (5)77.675.8153.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)65.070.5135.5-5.525%
vs Similar (8)79.081.2160.2-2.225%
vs Weaker (18)79.974.7154.7+5.272%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
152.7Avg total
80.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.374.0155.3+7.367%
Season at home (11)85.274.9160.1+10.382%
Season away (10)77.073.0150.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.272.5152.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.889.0172.8-5.225%
vs Similar (10)80.279.5159.7+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.372.8156.1+10.681%
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +3.4+3.4
VeneziaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeneziaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H15/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A22/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H29/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
32-25
32
25
+7
A04/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A02/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H09/02
Lega A
81.7Avg total
41.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.677.9+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.536.875.2+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.240.680.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.881.7+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.676.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)35.832.568.2+3.275%-
vs Similar (8)40.643.684.2-3.025%-
vs Weaker (18)39.537.777.2+1.856%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.979.2+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.378.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.842.281.0-3.550%-
vs Similar (10)38.938.677.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
This opponent (Venezia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veneziatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Venezia: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.018.3
50.8%
52.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.3
36.7%
35.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
73.6%12.2
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
73.6%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Venezia
WLLWWLWWWL
Brescia
WLLWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
+4.4
Net rating
+11.9
113.4
Offensive rating
117.1
109.0
Defensive rating
105.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.7%
3-point %
41.8%
55.6%
Assist %
59.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 117.1Defence109.0 · 105.1Shooting52.7% · 55.0%3-point %36.7% · 41.8%Ball care17.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds33.7% · 31.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Venezia   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Venezia wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
04/01/20Brescia v Venezia70-64
12/05/19Venezia v Brescia86-70
12/01/19Brescia v Venezia72-70
15/04/18Venezia v Brescia68-61
17/12/17Brescia v Venezia90-71
15/04/17Brescia v Venezia79-84
17/02/17Venezia v Brescia68-76
18/12/16Venezia v Brescia78-70
Venezialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTreviso79-73
02/02/20ACantu77-81
25/01/20HVirtus Bologna71-83
18/01/20HFortitudo Bologna80-70
12/01/20ATrieste81-72
04/01/20ABrescia64-70
29/12/19HPesaro98-92
26/12/19HVirtus Roma79-77
22/12/19AReggiana104-85
15/12/19HOlimpia Milano70-71
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Venezia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW52%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %52%82%20%
Points / game78.075.680.6
Allowed / game75.369.481.9
Point differential+2.7+6.3-1.3
Avg total153.3145.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)75% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game81.385.277.0
Allowed / game74.074.973.0
Point differential+7.3+10.3+4.0
Avg total155.3160.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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