PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brescia vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 116-73
33-11 31-22 27-15 25-25
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game75.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#12
Record3-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game91.6
ItalyLega ARound 9· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Varese
14 Dec 2025
BRE102
VAR94
29 Sep 2024
BRE118
VAR94
26 Nov 2023
BRE116
VAR73
08 Oct 2022
BRE88
VAR83
01 May 2022
BRE102
VAR71
10 Feb 2021
BRE98
VAR83
01 Sep 2020
BRE89
VAR88
10 Nov 2019
BRE91
VAR74
20 Jan 2019
BRE78
VAR73
14 May 2018
BRE77
VAR75
12 May 2018
BRE68
VAR61
23 Oct 2017
BRE73
VAR67
19 Mar 2017
BRE78
VAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
81-79
81
79
+2
70avg 72
H01/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
99-71
99
71
+28
95avg 72
A07/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
77avg 72
H15/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 72
A22/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 72
H28/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
87-59
87
59
+28
82avg 72
A05/11
Lega A
Jacksonville State
#256
L
41-91
41
91
-50
no box
A07/11
NCAA
Cremona
#11
W
84-75
84
75
+9
80avg 72
H12/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#82
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A14/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-88
76
88
-12
59avg 72
A20/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
21-21
15-22
19-16
24-15
22-24
28-19
25-13
23-22
18-16
18-19
21-14
19-12
19-19
28-17
18-24
21-17
23-29
17-26
21-18
18-11
24-20
23-14
22-14
0-0
21-48
0-0
20-43
25-13
15-22
25-25
19-15
0-0
38-46
0-0
34-44
20-26
24-23
19-23
13-16
157.2Avg total
78.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.175.6159.8+8.575%
Season at home (4)81.878.8160.5+3.075%
Season away (4)86.572.5159.0+14.075%
Last 10 (10)78.678.6157.2+0.060%
Last 5 (5)72.080.6152.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)65.085.8150.8-20.820%
vs Similar (11)76.580.3156.8-3.736%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.873.2156.9+10.685%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
L
84-85
84
85
-1
74avg 85
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 85
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
88-102
88
102
-14
78avg 85
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
109-83
109
83
+26
110avg 85
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
88avg 85
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
97-90
97
90
+7
93avg 85
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
L
96-97
96
97
-1
96avg 85
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
W
109-104 OT
109
104
+5
109avg 85
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
92avg 85
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 85
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
16-25
23-24
17-19
17-24
25-26
15-22
22-19
23-35
29-23
10-21
26-23
37-16
34-17
17-31
21-19
28-17
24-23
19-22
19-17
28-22
21-20
21-19
27-29
18-22
27-19
21-22
30-34
15-23
26-23
26-24
24-21
20-25
29-30
25-17
20-21
16-16
32-21
21-14
25-30
184.5Avg total
94.0Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.191.6178.8-4.538%
Season at home (5)85.883.8169.6+2.060%
Season away (3)89.3104.7194.0-15.30%
Last 10 (10)94.090.5184.5+3.560%
Last 5 (5)98.093.0191.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)82.2100.5182.8-18.20%
vs Similar (15)87.790.4178.1-2.740%
vs Weaker (9)98.288.3186.6+9.9100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
BresciaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H01/10
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/10
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A22/10
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H28/10
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A05/11
Lega A
Jacksonville State
#256
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A07/11
NCAA
Cremona
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H12/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#82
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A14/11
NCAA
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A20/11
Lega A
80.5Avg total
40.1Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.838.077.8+1.867%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.536.078.5+6.585%-
Last 30 away (17)37.839.577.2-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.480.5-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.842.676.4-8.840%-
vs Similar (11)38.039.577.5-1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.235.879.0+7.592%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#4
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A29/10
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
71-33
71
33
+38
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#8
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H05/11
Lega A
Keravnos
#38
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Napoli
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A11/11
Lega A
Gottingen
#8
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Scafati
#14
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H19/11
Lega A
TSU
#41
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
93.7Avg total
49.3Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.846.492.2-0.630%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.045.993.9+2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)43.946.890.8-2.919%-
Last 10 (10)49.344.493.7+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.290.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)43.851.094.8-7.20%-
vs Similar (15)44.346.590.8-2.327%-
vs Weaker (9)51.845.297.0+6.656%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.423.4
55.2%
53.1%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.17.5
33.9%
35.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.414.8
76.3%
76.3%14.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 93.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.218.2
58.3%
53.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.313.5
37.2%
35.7%40.5
🏀 Free throws21.016.5
78.6%
76.3%16.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWLWLWWWW
Varese
WWWLWWWLLL
#3
League position
#12
+11.8
Net rating
+4.7
115.1
Offensive rating
112.4
103.4
Defensive rating
107.7
53.7%
Effective FG%
57.0%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.6%
Turnover %
16.7%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.9%
3-point %
37.2%
52.8%
Assist %
67.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 112.4Defence103.4 · 107.7Shooting53.7% · 57.0%3-point %33.9% · 37.2%Ball care14.6% · 16.7%Off. rebounds29.7% · 22.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
4
Varese wins
DateGameScore
28/01/23Varese v Brescia80-72
08/10/22Brescia v Varese88-83
01/05/22Brescia v Varese102-71
26/09/21Varese v Brescia75-72
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
01/09/20Brescia v Varese89-88
10/11/19Brescia v Varese91-74
20/01/19Brescia v Varese78-73
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/23AVirtus Bologna76-88
14/11/23AUT Martin72-90
12/11/23HCremona84-75
07/11/23AJacksonville State41-91
05/11/23ATortona87-59
28/10/23HTrento82-90
22/10/23APistoia84-72
15/10/23HBasket Napoli80-71
07/10/23ATreviso99-71
01/10/23HPesaro81-79
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23ATSU94-81
19/11/23HScafati94-93
15/11/23AGottingen109-104 OT
11/11/23ABasket Napoli96-97
08/11/23HKeravnos97-90
05/11/23HSassari90-79
02/11/23HTSU109-83
29/10/23AVenezia88-102
25/10/23HGottingen79-91
22/10/23HTrento84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game84.181.886.5
Allowed / game75.678.872.5
Point differential+8.5+3.0+14.0
Avg total159.8160.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%60%0%
Points / game87.185.889.3
Allowed / game91.683.8104.7
Point differential-4.5+2.0-15.3
Avg total178.8169.6194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna97278%87.978.2+9.7
2 Basket Napoli97278%86.379.6+6.8
3 Venezia97278%81.476.2+5.2
4 Brescia86275%84.175.6+8.5
5 Trento86275%83.981.5+2.4
6 Olimpia Milano95456%80.675.8+4.8
7 Reggiana95456%83.983.7+0.2
8 Tortona84450%77.479.4-2.0
9 Cremona94544%88.185.2+2.9
10 Scafati94544%88.888.4+0.3
11 Pistoia94544%78.179.8-1.7
12 Varese83538%87.191.6-4.5
13 Pesaro83538%82.487.4-5.0
14 Sassari93633%76.183.8-7.7
15 Brindisi91811%69.380.8-11.4
16 Treviso8080%78.488.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia33312725116
Varese1122152573
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.