PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ventspils vs Parnu Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 02 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 16:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record6-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#7
Record4-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Olimpiskais centrs Ventspils
Other2026
Meetings · Ventspils v Parnu
02 Feb 2027
VET v PAR
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
VET80
PAR71
10 Dec 2024
VET95
PAR92
19 Dec 2023
VET91
PAR84
08 Mar 2023
VET91
PAR84
11 Dec 2021
VET81
PAR72
31 Mar 2019
VET94
PAR80
03 Oct 2018
VET97
PAR62
05 Feb 2014
VET89
PAR66
05 Feb 2013
VET103
PAR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ventspils win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VentspilsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVentspils
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
76-98
76
98
-22
65avg 75
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
108-92
108
92
+16
106avg 75
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 75
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
83avg 75
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
78avg 75
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
L
82-85
82
85
-3
78avg 75
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
83avg 75
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
75-60
75
60
+15
65avg 75
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
L
80-89
80
89
-9
no box
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
85-96
85
96
-11
no box
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
21-23
19-24
16-22
27-24
26-19
34-22
21-27
25-23
27-32
20-13
20-17
14-24
26-18
24-18
22-13
28-13
15-16
27-21
15-18
17-17
22-16
17-28
26-24
23-29
29-22
23-19
17-18
20-12
21-14
15-13
19-21
17-23
22-22
21-20
20-24
26-26
19-22
13-21
27-27
169.5Avg total
86.1Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Season at home (4)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (6)87.884.7172.5+3.267%
Last 10 (10)86.183.4169.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.883.6166.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.590.4167.9-12.920%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.884.2170.0+1.750%
vs Weaker (13)91.380.4171.7+10.985%
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 67
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 67
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 67
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 67
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 67
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 67
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
73avg 67
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
12-19
11-20
23-15
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
13-16
24-23
22-22
17-13
21-18
14-14
17-30
17-20
23-17
22-22
20-21
24-20
21-17
20-22
11-15
13-32
155.7Avg total
75.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.978.1157.0+0.757%
Season at home (5)80.475.8156.2+4.680%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.979.8155.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)75.880.8156.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.884.2157.0-11.413%
vs Similar ◀ (8)79.275.6154.9+3.650%
vs Weaker (7)84.675.0159.6+9.686%
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.7-0.7
VentspilsParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VentspilsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A28/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H16/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H14/11
Latvia-Estonian League
86.9Avg total
44.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.487.7+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.941.585.4+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)46.843.390.1+3.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.542.486.9+2.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.683.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.346.287.5-4.920%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)45.244.589.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker (13)46.839.586.2+7.385%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila KK
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.3Avg total
37.2Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.978.0-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.438.978.3+0.568%-
Last 30 away (11)35.941.577.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)37.239.176.3-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.339.976.2-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.440.077.4-2.650%-
vs Weaker (7)43.039.682.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Ventspils) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ventspilstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ventspils: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.2
53.0%
52.5%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.5
31.6%
31.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws22.816.7
73.2%
68.3%16.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.2
67.5%
68.3%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ventspils
LLWWLWWWWL
Parnu
LWLWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#7
+3.4
Net rating
-2.4
93.8
Offensive rating
86.7
90.5
Defensive rating
89.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
47.1%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.6%
3-point %
27.7%
62.7%
Assist %
70.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence93.8 · 86.7Defence90.5 · 89.1Shooting50.5% · 47.1%3-point %31.6% · 27.7%Ball care15.7% · 15.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ventspils   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Ventspils wins
4
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
07/11/26Parnu v Ventspils89-80
27/01/26Ventspils v Parnu80-71
17/12/25Parnu v Ventspils73-82
01/02/25Parnu v Ventspils100-90
10/12/24Ventspils v Parnu95-92 OT
19/12/23Ventspils v Parnu91-84
02/12/23Parnu v Ventspils77-80
08/03/23Ventspils v Parnu91-84
03/12/22Parnu v Ventspils81-75
09/02/22Parnu v Ventspils94-79
Ventspilslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HVEF Riga85-96
07/11/26AParnu80-89
30/10/26HViimsi75-60
24/10/26ABK Ogre92-88
16/10/26HTal Tech82-85
11/10/26AKeila Coolbet85-68
10/10/26ABC Kalev/Cramo86-73
02/10/26HTartu Ulikool92-85
28/09/26ALatvijas Universitate108-92
25/09/26AValmiera Glass Via76-98
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HKeravnos65-86
07/11/26HVentspils89-80
04/11/26HSzczecin69-82
01/11/26HValmiera Glass Via76-74
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84
10/10/26HKeila KK70-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ventspils
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL60%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game86.183.587.8
Allowed / game83.481.584.7
Point differential+2.7+2.0+3.2
Avg total169.5165.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW57%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %57%80%0%
Points / game78.980.475.0
Allowed / game78.175.884.0
Point differential+0.7+4.6-9.0
Avg total157.0156.2159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool85362%82.876.4+6.4
5 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
6 Tal Tech106460%73.773.8-0.1
7 Parnu74357%78.978.1+0.7
8 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet9090%70.391.1-20.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.