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Vermont vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-80
28-44 35-36
Position#97
Record11-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game64.5
vs
Position#280
Record10-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vermont v UMBC Retrievers
29 Jan 2026
VERM64
UMBC55
25 Jan 2025
VERM63
UMBC80
11 Jan 2024
VERM77
UMBC72
28 Jan 2023
VERM74
UMBC68
12 Mar 2022
VERM82
UMBC43
19 Feb 2022
VERM86
UMBC59
10 Mar 2020
VERM81
UMBC74
22 Feb 2020
VERM64
UMBC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#42
L
50-65
50
65
-15
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H19/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
L
54-84
54
84
-30
A21/12
NCAA
Elms College
#691
W
121-37
121
37
+84
H31/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
60-40
60
40
+20
A04/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A09/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
53-73
53
73
-20
A11/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
72-64
72
64
+8
H17/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-22
26-43
26-28
34-37
40-28
35-39
25-48
29-36
59-26
62-11
24-23
36-17
28-31
39-32
30-37
23-36
37-31
35-33
34-20
34-44
130.2Avg total
68.0Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)65.964.5130.4+1.555%
Season at home (10)75.461.6137.0+13.880%
Season away (10)56.467.3123.7-10.930%
Last 10 (10)68.062.2130.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)64.060.8124.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)55.274.8130.0-19.525%
vs Similar ◀ (12)61.865.2127.0-3.550%
vs Weaker (12)70.861.3132.2+9.592%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#78
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A07/12
NCAA
Cairn
#485
W
103-57
103
57
+46
H10/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A19/12
NCAA
Marist
#80
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
A29/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A04/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A10/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
62-87
62
87
-25
H18/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
A23/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-24
46-47
50-27
53-30
34-53
48-38
39-39
31-31
41-40
38-39
43-44
39-43
30-37
57-27
38-46
38-33
27-45
35-42
28-43
51-36
162.9Avg total
83.7Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.377.2159.5+5.250%
Season at home (11)85.071.4156.4+13.655%
Season away (9)79.184.2163.3-5.144%
Last 10 (10)83.779.2162.9+4.550%
Last 5 (5)79.880.8160.6-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.290.5163.8-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.879.1158.9+0.747%
vs Weaker (6)92.864.7157.5+28.283%
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +7.0+7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -3.0-3.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +7.0+7.0
VermontUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yale
#42
W
24-22
24
22
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#267
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A15/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H19/12
NCAA
Dartmouth
#203
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A21/12
NCAA
Elms College
#691
W
59-26
59
26
+33
H31/12
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
24-23
24
23
+1
A04/01
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#171
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A09/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A11/01
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H17/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H24/01
NCAA
62.1Avg total
32.7Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.229.761.9+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.928.363.2+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)29.031.360.3-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)32.729.462.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)30.628.459.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.833.262.0-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.529.459.9+1.142%-
vs Weaker (12)32.729.662.2+3.175%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Towson
#78
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Cairn
#485
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H10/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
34-53
34
53
-19
A19/12
NCAA
Marist
#80
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/01
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A10/01
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H16/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H18/01
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/01
NCAA
76.6Avg total
36.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.372.7+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.134.573.6+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)35.936.071.9-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.876.6-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)33.243.076.2-9.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)29.535.865.2-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.736.773.5+0.053%-
vs Weaker (6)42.232.074.2+10.267%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Vermont wins
1
UMBC Retrievers wins
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/25HNJIT68-64
17/01/25HBinghamton72-64
11/01/25ABryant University53-73
09/01/25AUMass Lowell67-63
04/01/25ANew Hampshire Wildcats60-40
31/12/24HElms College121-37
21/12/24ADartmouth54-84
19/12/24HMiami (Ohio)75-67
15/12/24AColgate60-65
07/12/24AYale50-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/25AAlbany Great Danes92-87 OT
18/01/25HMaine Black Bears62-87
16/01/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats76-79
10/01/25ANJIT87-64
04/01/25ABinghamton82-87
29/12/24AAmerican University96-93 OT
21/12/24AMarist73-76 OT
19/12/24AGeorgia Tech82-91
10/12/24HCairn103-57
07/12/24ATowson84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW55%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %55%80%30%
Points / game65.975.456.4
Allowed / game64.561.667.3
Point differential+1.4+13.8-10.9
Avg total130.3137.0123.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWWWLL55%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%55%44%
Points / game82.385.079.1
Allowed / game77.271.484.2
Point differential+5.2+13.6-5.1
Avg total159.5156.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %15%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell2013765%81.573.3+8.2
2 Maine Black Bears2113862%73.167.0+6.1
3 Bryant University2011955%83.276.3+6.9
4 Vermont2011955%65.964.5+1.4
5 UMBC Retrievers20101050%82.377.2+5.2
6 Binghamton2091145%69.771.8-2.0
7 NJIT2041620%62.170.1-8.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont283563
UMBC Retrievers443680
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