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Vermont vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-72
45-32 32-40
Position#16
Record11-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game64.5
Vermont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#312
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Vermont v UMBC Retrievers
29 Jan 2026
VERM64
UMBC55
25 Jan 2025
VERM63
UMBC80
11 Jan 2024
VERM77
UMBC72
28 Jan 2023
VERM74
UMBC68
12 Mar 2022
VERM82
UMBC43
19 Feb 2022
VERM86
UMBC59
10 Mar 2020
VERM81
UMBC74
22 Feb 2020
VERM64
UMBC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H30/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H03/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
51-73
51
73
-22
A16/12
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
86-60
86
60
+26
A21/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/12
NCAA
Brown
#276
W
71-70
71
70
+1
A03/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
41-44
28-31
36-22
28-26
38-39
40-43
33-28
32-31
39-46
17-36
34-37
42-24
44-36
34-32
35-38
34-42
37-28
26-30
39-28
136.2Avg total
68.6Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.764.5137.2+8.269%
Season at home (8)75.558.8134.2+16.888%
Season away (8)69.970.2140.1-0.450%
Last 10 (10)68.667.6136.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)68.466.2134.6+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)82.570.0152.5+12.5100%
vs Similar (7)67.471.4138.9-4.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)76.563.4139.8+13.190%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#326
L
81-96
81
96
-15
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
70-89
70
89
-19
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
73-89
73
89
-16
H09/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A13/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
81-103
81
103
-22
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
85-87
85
87
-2
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-41
39-55
26-32
54-44
35-39
35-50
45-40
47-47
36-41
44-51
38-46
35-43
31-26
29-40
36-50
45-53
31-47
54-40
36-33
31-48
163.5Avg total
76.9Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.283.8162.1-5.631%
Season at home (8)79.979.1159.0+0.850%
Season away (8)76.688.5165.1-11.912%
Last 10 (10)76.986.6163.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)73.285.2158.4-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.881.4152.2-10.711%
vs Similar (10)75.881.2157.0-5.440%
vs Weaker (10)75.972.6148.5+3.350%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -5.8-5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: -5.8-5.8
VermontUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Dartmouth
#352
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/11
NCAA
Yale
#51
W
28-26
28
26
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#298
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Colgate
#44
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
L
17-36
17
36
-19
A16/12
NCAA
Toledo
#107
W
42-24
42
24
+18
A21/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/12
NCAA
Brown
#276
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#261
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H06/01
NCAA
64.0Avg total
31.0Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.130.467.5+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.627.264.9+10.475%-
Last 30 away (14)36.434.170.5+2.450%-
Last 10 (10)31.033.064.0-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.632.863.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.529.064.5+6.550%-
vs Similar (7)31.134.365.4-3.143%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)38.629.968.5+8.770%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
William & Mary
#326
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A25/11
NCAA
Hampton
#340
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#368
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A01/12
NCAA
Lehigh
#257
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#308
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A06/12
NCAA
Towson
#135
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H09/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#152
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H06/01
NCAA
75.1Avg total
35.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.536.871.3-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 away (15)32.238.170.3-5.927%-
Last 10 (10)35.639.575.1-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.474.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)32.641.874.3-9.233%-
vs Similar (10)36.137.273.3-1.150%-
vs Weaker (10)34.933.368.2+1.640%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Vermont wins
2
UMBC Retrievers wins
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HMaine Black Bears65-58
03/01/24ABrown71-70
22/12/23AMiami (Ohio)69-70
21/12/23AToledo86-60
16/12/23AVirginia Tech51-73
09/12/23HColgate71-77
07/12/23ANortheastern73-71
03/12/23HYale66-65
30/11/23HDartmouth64-53
26/11/23ABradley70-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HBryant University67-81
30/12/23HAmerican University85-87
21/12/23AIowa81-103
13/12/23ASt. Peters60-66
09/12/23HTowson73-89
06/12/23AMorgan State80-92
02/12/23HLehigh92-87
01/12/23ACoppin State70-89
28/11/23AHampton80-76
25/11/23AWilliam & Mary81-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game72.775.569.9
Allowed / game64.558.870.2
Point differential+8.2+16.8-0.4
Avg total137.2134.2140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWLLL50%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%50%12%
Points / game78.279.976.6
Allowed / game83.879.188.5
Point differential-5.6+0.8-11.9
Avg total162.1159.0165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell1511473%80.165.3+14.8
2 Vermont1611569%72.764.5+8.2
3 New Hampshire85362%80.972.9+8.0
4 Binghamton138562%75.870.9+4.8
5 Albany74357%76.675.7+0.9
6 Bryant University169756%79.676.1+3.6
7 Maine Black Bears1771041%67.667.8-0.1
8 UMBC Retrievers1651131%78.283.8-5.6
9 NJIT1441029%71.475.6-4.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont453277
UMBC Retrievers324072
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