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Verona vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 98-92
25-28 24-19 20-22 29-23
Position#2
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game71.5
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#6
Record1-1
FormLWLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game67.5
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaOlimpia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Verona v Avellino Basket
05 Oct 2025
VER98
AVEL92
06 Apr 2025
VER82
AVEL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 70
A19/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
92avg 70
H23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
76-81
76
81
-5
72avg 70
A30/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-81
82
81
+1
75avg 70
H06/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
91-78
91
78
+13
93avg 70
A12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
90-94
90
94
-4
85avg 70
A19/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
73avg 70
H27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
85-90
85
90
-5
74avg 70
H04/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
74-69
74
69
+5
62avg 70
H21/09
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
67-74
67
74
-7
52avg 70
A26/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
16-13
17-19
29-26
19-22
33-17
20-19
16-15
22-18
11-20
16-18
27-25
20-23
16-18
22-11
24-29
19-17
24-22
31-14
17-25
29-18
15-28
21-19
25-29
18-8
26-25
18-20
19-32
24-25
21-14
18-26
22-25
16-16
20-17
22-21
16-15
10-16
24-27
16-13
17-18
161.6Avg total
81.7Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.571.5142.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)74.069.0143.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)67.074.0141.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)81.779.9161.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.089.0156.0-22.00%
vs Similar (16)75.974.7150.6+1.244%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.473.8153.2+5.767%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
92avg 74
A22/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 74
A26/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 74
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
81-82
81
82
-1
76avg 74
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
87avg 74
H13/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
67avg 74
H19/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
88avg 74
A27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
67-82
67
82
-15
52avg 74
H01/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
72-60
72
60
+12
70avg 74
A24/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
74-75
74
75
-1
64avg 74
H28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
19-19
9-15
19-17
24-27
14-21
25-21
22-17
13-25
18-22
23-21
16-20
23-20
18-16
11-22
29-24
24-18
20-27
36-18
12-16
33-26
19-16
14-21
10-19
23-27
24-18
26-24
28-21
16-25
19-19
16-15
16-23
17-22
22-13
17-11
16-14
13-22
16-17
26-18
19-18
162.7Avg total
81.1Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.067.5140.5+5.550%
Season at home (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%
Season away (1)72.060.0132.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.181.6162.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)78.077.8155.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.591.0174.5-7.50%
vs Similar (24)80.580.4161.0+0.162%
vs Weaker (4)76.578.8155.2-2.225%
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.2-0.2
VeronaAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A19/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A30/03
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A19/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H04/05
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H21/09
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A26/09
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
40.4Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.536.974.4+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.636.374.9+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.437.473.8-1.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.438.078.4+2.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.879.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.045.572.5-18.50%-
vs Similar (16)36.635.471.9+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.537.477.9+3.158%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A22/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A26/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H30/03
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H19/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A27/04
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H01/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A24/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H28/09
Serie A2
81.1Avg total
39.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.280.5-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.739.878.5-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)39.942.582.5-2.653%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.681.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.081.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)46.544.090.5+2.550%-
vs Similar (24)38.741.279.9-2.546%-
vs Weaker (4)39.539.579.0+0.075%-
This opponent (Verona) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.5
53.8%
50.8%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.4
30.2%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.816.3
74.8%
74.4%16.3
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.620.8
47.7%
50.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.7
37.2%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
74.4%15.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
LWLLLWWLWW
Avellino Basket
LWLWLWLLLW
#2
League position
#6
+3.5
Net rating
-1.0
111.1
Offensive rating
109.3
107.6
Defensive rating
110.3
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.2%
3-point %
37.2%
56.1%
Assist %
53.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 109.3Defence107.6 · 110.3Shooting50.5% · 50.3%3-point %30.2% · 37.2%Ball care14.5% · 13.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 26.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Verona   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Verona wins
1
Avellino Basket wins
DateGameScore
06/04/25Verona v Avellino Basket82-81
15/12/24Avellino Basket v Verona77-70
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25ACividale67-74
21/09/25HPistoia74-69
04/05/25HBrindisi85-90
27/04/25HPesaro81-85
19/04/25AVigevano90-94
12/04/25AAssigeco Piacenza91-78
06/04/25HAvellino Basket82-81
30/03/25ACantu76-81
23/03/25HOrzinuovi88-73
19/03/25ACividale83-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HUrania Milano74-75
24/09/25ASebastiani Rieti72-60
01/05/25HBrindisi67-82
27/04/25AJuVi Cremona101-90
19/04/25HCantu76-82
13/04/25HBasket Torino92-79
06/04/25AVerona81-82
30/03/25HRimini70-88
26/03/25AForli85-86
22/03/25ASebastiani Rieti93-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game70.574.067.0
Allowed / game71.569.074.0
Point differential-1.0+5.0-7.0
Avg total142.0143.0141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game73.074.072.0
Allowed / game67.575.060.0
Point differential+5.5-1.0+12.0
Avg total140.5149.0132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi220100%89.559.0+30.5
2 Basket Torino220100%82.570.0+12.5
3 Mestre32167%80.079.0+1.0
4 Scafati32167%80.080.7-0.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna21150%88.075.0+13.0
6 Avellino Basket21150%73.067.5+5.5
7 Libertas Livorno21150%73.069.5+3.5
8 Rimini21150%78.575.0+3.5
9 Forli21150%78.075.5+2.5
10 Pistoia21150%81.078.5+2.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo21150%87.588.0-0.5
12 Cividale21150%74.075.0-1.0
13 Verona21150%70.571.5-1.0
14 Sebastiani Rieti21150%68.573.5-5.0
15 JuVi Cremona21150%69.077.5-8.5
16 Cento31233%71.076.0-5.0
17 Roseto31233%86.791.7-5.0
18 Urania Milano31233%78.385.3-7.0
19 Pesaro1010%62.078.0-16.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia2020%65.590.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona2524202998
Avellino Basket2819222392
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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