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Verona vs Treviglio Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-67
17-20 23-10 11-24 17-13
Position#8
Record15-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game71.8
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record11-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game81.3
ItalySerie A2Round 23· PalaOlimpia
Other2023-24
Meetings · Verona v Treviglio
12 Feb 2024
VER68
TREV67
16 Apr 2022
VER77
TREV70
10 Feb 2021
VER73
TREV85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviglio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
W
85-78
85
78
+7
76avg 69
A06/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
63-76
63
76
-13
49avg 69
A10/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
81avg 69
H16/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
86-80
86
80
+6
81avg 69
H22/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
85-88
85
88
-3
76avg 69
A30/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
70-49
70
49
+21
68avg 69
H07/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 69
A13/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
70-64
70
64
+6
66avg 69
H20/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
69-57
69
57
+12
68avg 69
A28/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
73-70 OT
73
70
+3
no box
H04/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
22-24
25-16
23-16
10-20
14-20
16-12
23-24
23-27
21-18
23-12
17-21
16-12
32-16
17-21
21-31
23-23
25-20
20-20
17-25
25-16
16-19
9-5
20-9
12-21
22-14
21-20
13-21
20-13
17-20
16-15
17-16
18-15
21-13
19-12
11-17
23-17
11-23
16-21
16-5
146.9Avg total
75.3Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.971.8147.7+4.168%
Season at home (11)79.472.0151.4+7.482%
Season away (11)72.571.6144.1+0.855%
Last 10 (10)75.371.6146.9+3.770%
Last 5 (5)70.063.2133.2+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.180.4156.5-4.238%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.075.7153.7+2.356%
vs Weaker (6)73.566.2139.7+7.383%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 76
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 76
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 76
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 76
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 76
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 76
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 76
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 76
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
84-76 OT
84
76
+8
no box
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
61-67
61
67
-6
44avg 76
A04/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
21-18
18-16
18-16
17-23
20-12
15-30
24-20
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
22-19
15-19
18-25
17-9
24-29
12-9
7-11
18-18
154.3Avg total
75.7Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)81.081.3162.3-0.350%
Season at home (11)83.282.5165.6+0.755%
Season away (11)78.880.1158.9-1.345%
Last 10 (10)75.778.6154.3-2.930%
Last 5 (5)72.482.6155.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.587.7166.2-9.233%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.280.0162.2+2.250%
vs Weaker (12)79.374.8154.1+4.658%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
VeronaTreviglio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A06/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
24-40
24
40
-16
A10/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H16/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A30/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H07/01
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A13/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H20/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A28/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/02
Serie A2
75.9Avg total
38.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.576.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.939.478.3-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)36.537.674.1-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.637.375.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.271.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.943.578.4-8.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.638.577.1+0.144%-
vs Weaker (6)39.231.871.0+7.383%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/01
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A04/02
Serie A2
76.9Avg total
38.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.381.2+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.581.1-2.033%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.181.3+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)38.138.876.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.676.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.840.882.6+1.158%-
vs Weaker (12)40.738.879.4+1.942%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.0
49.5%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.6
33.5%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
74.2%15.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.116.5
51.4%
50.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.7
31.9%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.114.9
78.0%
74.2%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WWWLWLWWLW
Treviglio
LWLLLWWLLL
#8
League position
#16
+5.6
Net rating
-5.6
105.5
Offensive rating
101.3
100.0
Defensive rating
106.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.7%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.3%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
16.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
31.9%
52.3%
Assist %
67.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 101.3Defence100.0 · 106.9Shooting49.8% · 49.7%3-point %33.5% · 31.9%Ball care16.3% · 15.3%Off. rebounds26.3% · 16.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Verona   ■ Treviglio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Verona wins
2
Treviglio wins
DateGameScore
16/04/22Verona v Treviglio77-70
25/02/21Treviglio v Verona79-69
10/02/21Verona v Treviglio73-85
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24HFortitudo Bologna73-70 OT
28/01/24ANardo69-57
20/01/24HAssigeco Piacenza70-64
13/01/24AForli68-76
07/01/24HChiusi70-49
30/12/23ATrieste85-88
22/12/23HOrzinuovi86-80
16/12/23HRimini84-78
10/12/23AUdine63-76
06/12/23ACento85-78
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ALuiss Roma61-67
28/01/24HLatina84-76 OT
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
10/12/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
06/12/23HCantu69-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%82%55%
Points / game75.979.472.5
Allowed / game71.872.071.6
Point differential+4.1+7.4+0.8
Avg total147.7151.4144.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL50%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayLWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%55%45%
Points / game81.083.278.8
Allowed / game81.382.580.1
Point differential-0.3+0.7-1.3
Avg total162.3165.6158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%18%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2321291%90.376.9+13.4
2 Forli2319483%80.073.2+6.8
3 Fortitudo Bologna2318578%77.271.0+6.1
4 Cantu2317674%88.580.0+8.6
5 Udine2316770%79.270.0+9.3
6 Basket Torino2316770%85.381.7+3.6
7 Verona2215768%75.971.8+4.1
8 Trieste2314961%79.878.4+1.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti23131057%81.379.4+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona23121152%86.886.2+0.7
11 Urania Milano23121152%83.584.2-0.7
12 Treviglio22111150%81.081.3-0.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza23101343%75.975.1+0.8
14 Rimini23101343%76.976.1+0.8
15 Cento23101343%74.078.4-4.3
16 Nardo2391439%75.381.4-6.2
17 Luiss Roma2391439%79.385.6-6.3
18 Cividale2381535%74.077.2-3.3
19 Vigevano2381535%78.082.1-4.1
20 Orzinuovi2371630%74.177.0-2.9
21 Agrigento2361726%74.980.8-5.9
22 Monferrato2351822%79.385.0-5.7
23 Chiusi2351822%64.974.1-9.2
24 Latina2341917%78.487.0-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona1723111768
Treviglio2010241367
← all games of the day
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