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Verona vs Virtus Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 04 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game90.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.1/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game84.6
ItalyLega ARound 25· PalaOlimpia
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Verona v Virtus Bologna
04 Apr 2027
VER v VIR
upcoming
15 Oct 2022
VER60
VIR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
70-82
70
82
-12
63avg 76
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-75
83
75
+8
77avg 76
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
93-101
93
101
-8
77avg 76
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 76
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
52avg 76
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
94-81
94
81
+13
94avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
L
99-108
99
108
-9
88avg 76
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
88-99
88
99
-11
86avg 76
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
81-95
81
95
-14
no box
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-20
11-27
18-14
30-16
16-28
15-17
22-14
24-30
24-22
27-24
18-25
21-21
23-17
14-15
17-19
24-25
28-22
18-25
19-10
29-21
28-25
16-20
21-15
27-23
26-28
24-28
22-29
23-25
21-25
27-23
17-26
22-21
14-21
27-26
18-27
29-31
23-19
21-19
16-19
174.4Avg total
86.1Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.590.8179.2-2.250%
Season at home (3)85.784.0169.7+1.767%
Season away (5)90.294.8185.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)86.188.3174.4-2.250%
Last 5 (5)90.294.2184.4-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.893.5179.2-7.825%
vs Similar (18)81.175.9157.0+5.278%
vs Weaker (8)85.273.5158.8+11.888%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 84
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 84
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 84
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 84
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 84
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
24-13
15-19
31-16
18-27
181.7Avg total
90.4Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.484.6180.0+10.888%
Season at home (4)98.588.2186.8+10.275%
Season away (4)92.281.0173.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)90.491.3181.7-0.940%
Last 5 (5)88.490.4178.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)92.284.4176.6+7.768%
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -0.3-0.3
VeronaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/06
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A14/06
Serie A2
Tortona
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H05/10
Lega A
Scafati
#15
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A11/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H18/10
Lega A
Trieste
#8
W
53-51
53
51
+2
A25/10
Lega A
Varese
#6
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H31/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A09/11
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A14/11
Lega A
93.4Avg total
47.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.639.883.3+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.137.582.6+7.679%-
Last 30 away (16)42.241.883.9+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)47.346.193.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)48.447.896.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)44.245.289.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (18)41.839.581.3+2.361%-
vs Weaker (8)47.137.684.8+9.588%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#8
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A13/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A15/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.7Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.342.687.9+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.942.390.3+5.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.742.985.6-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)43.743.086.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.644.487.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.082.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (6)45.547.893.3-2.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)46.441.287.6+5.374%-
This opponent (Verona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.6
56.8%
54.3%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
34.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.4
69.2%
74.6%16.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WLLLWWWLWL
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLLLWLW
#10
League position
#1
+2.5
Net rating
+3.7
101.0
Offensive rating
102.2
98.6
Defensive rating
98.4
53.0%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.1%
3-point %
36.3%
57.4%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 102.2Defence98.6 · 98.4Shooting53.0% · 54.8%3-point %32.1% · 36.3%Ball care12.8% · 14.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Verona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Verona wins
3
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
09/11/26Virtus Bologna v Verona95-81
29/01/23Virtus Bologna v Verona87-82
15/10/22Verona v Virtus Bologna60-85
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABC Roma89-88
09/11/26AVirtus Bologna81-95
31/10/26HVarese88-99
25/10/26ATrieste99-108
18/10/26HReggiana94-81
11/10/26AScafati89-82
05/10/26HOlimpia Milano75-72
27/09/26ATortona93-101
14/06/26ARimini83-75
12/06/26ARimini70-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ATrento88-75
13/11/26AAnadolu Efes91-103
09/11/26HVerona95-81
06/11/26HDubai75-93
02/11/26HTrieste93-100
30/10/26HBesiktas101-103
28/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas74-91
25/10/26AOlimpia Milano98-94 OT
21/10/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv81-90
18/10/26HScafati108-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game88.585.790.2
Allowed / game90.884.094.8
Point differential-2.2+1.7-4.6
Avg total179.2169.7185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW88%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game95.498.592.2
Allowed / game84.688.281.0
Point differential+10.8+10.2+11.2
Avg total180.0186.8173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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