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Vilkaviskis vs Mazeikiai Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record6-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record3-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game88.9
LithuaniaNKLRound 31· Vilkavi
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai
28 Jan 2027
VILK v MAZ
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
VILK91
MAZ67
18 Dec 2025
VILK59
MAZ79
13 Oct 2022
VILK83
MAZ76
23 Mar 2022
VILK85
MAZ93
17 Mar 2022
VILK105
MAZ93
07 Oct 2021
VILK95
MAZ87
16 Jan 2021
VILK101
MAZ93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
L
70-94
70
94
-24
58avg 74
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 74
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
81-87
81
87
-6
72avg 74
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
W
74-72
74
72
+2
60avg 74
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
73-91
73
91
-18
54avg 74
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
no box
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
60-80
60
80
-20
no box
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
L
96-103 OT
96
103
-7
no box
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
97-80
97
80
+17
no box
H14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
21-15
12-35
16-23
20-24
24-18
20-16
18-15
17-14
23-29
18-17
23-27
17-19
16-21
23-13
18-19
20-21
23-22
15-21
15-27
23-21
21-24
19-35
18-27
24-12
29-15
22-22
22-25
17-19
20-18
9-21
14-22
20-9
22-24
23-29
20-23
26-23
18-16
29-21
24-20
167.2Avg total
81.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.186.1169.3-3.043%
Season at home (7)85.181.1166.3+4.071%
Season away (7)81.191.1172.3-10.014%
Last 10 (10)81.186.1167.2-5.040%
Last 5 (5)86.288.8175.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.587.5162.0-12.918%
vs Similar (9)84.087.2171.2-3.222%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.680.5170.1+9.190%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 71
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
67avg 71
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 71
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
L
70-74
70
74
-4
55avg 71
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
85-109
85
109
-24
72avg 71
H29/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 71
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
77-101
77
101
-24
no box
H05/11
NKL
Silute
#7
L
79-98
79
98
-19
no box
A07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
W
103-96 OT
103
96
+7
no box
H12/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A14/11
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
21-25
25-28
23-18
24-27
24-25
16-23
13-15
21-22
16-17
10-24
25-17
19-14
17-17
17-18
17-25
13-28
22-26
26-35
24-20
26-24
20-15
32-24
19-25
21-26
21-26
20-17
15-32
17-22
18-27
22-24
22-25
9-20
24-22
29-23
23-20
19-29
25-19
16-16
21-21
173.9Avg total
82.6Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.988.9167.9-10.021%
Season at home (7)78.791.3170.0-12.629%
Season away (7)79.186.6165.7-7.414%
Last 10 (10)82.691.3173.9-8.720%
Last 5 (5)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.192.5169.6-15.59%
vs Similar (16)83.285.8168.9-2.644%
vs Weaker (3)90.373.7164.0+16.7100%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.6-1.6
VilkaviskisMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A17/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H22/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#18
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H29/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/11
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
53-27
53
27
+26
H05/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A07/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A12/11
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/11
NKL
80.7Avg total
42.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.685.0+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.940.284.1+3.764%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.985.7-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.580.7+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.541.882.4-1.327%-
vs Similar (9)45.144.789.8+0.456%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.838.783.5+6.190%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiai BC
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A15/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#6
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H17/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A24/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H29/10
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#17
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A31/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H05/11
NKL
Silute
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A07/11
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H12/11
NKL
Alytaus Patriotai
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A14/11
NKL
84.5Avg total
39.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.184.3-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.743.985.6-2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.844.483.1-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.345.284.5-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.086.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.448.584.8-12.10%-
vs Similar (16)41.942.784.6-0.850%-
vs Weaker (3)44.336.080.3+8.367%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀64%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 64% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.8
56.3%
54.5%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.8
26.9%
31.3%17.4
🏀 Free throws18.211.0
60.4%
67.1%11.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.4
49.7%
54.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.6
34.3%
31.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.711.9
63.6%
67.1%11.9
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
WLLWLLWLWL
Mazeikiai
LWLLWLLLLL
#11
League position
#15
-5.7
Net rating
-11.3
90.8
Offensive rating
87.9
96.5
Defensive rating
99.2
51.2%
Effective FG%
50.4%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
26.9%
3-point %
34.3%
48.4%
Assist %
52.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 87.9Defence96.5 · 99.2Shooting51.2% · 50.4%3-point %26.9% · 34.3%Ball care15.2% · 16.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vilkaviskis wins
7
Mazeikiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKedainiai BC97-80
12/11/26AMazeikiai96-103 OT
07/11/26ASuduva-Mantinga60-80
05/11/26HUkmerges Stekas97-74
03/11/26HVytis VDU81-107
31/10/26APlunges Olimpas73-91
29/10/26HRytas 274-72
24/10/26ABC Olimpas Palanga81-87
22/10/26HOmega-Tauras82-73
17/10/26ATelsiai70-94
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAlytaus Patriotai81-85
12/11/26HVilkaviskis103-96 OT
07/11/26ASilute79-98
05/11/26HVytis VDU77-101
31/10/26AKauno Atletas97-88
29/10/26HSuduva-Mantinga85-109
24/10/26AUkmerges Stekas70-74
22/10/26HPlunges Olimpas72-80
17/10/26HNeptunas 277-90
15/10/26AKedainiai BC85-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game83.185.181.1
Allowed / game86.181.191.1
Point differential-3.0+4.0-10.0
Avg total169.3166.3172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL21%
HomeLLLLW29%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %21%29%14%
Points / game78.978.779.1
Allowed / game88.991.386.6
Point differential-10.0-12.6-7.4
Avg total167.9170.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Telsiai1312192%90.573.6+16.9
2 Jurbarkas1311285%88.678.3+10.3
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1411379%96.384.6+11.6
4 Suduva-Mantinga1310377%91.577.8+13.8
5 Vytis VDU129375%96.189.1+7.0
6 Neptunas 21410471%78.474.1+4.2
7 Silute128467%84.382.2+2.2
8 Alytaus Patriotai148657%83.884.9-1.1
9 Omega-Tauras147750%89.485.9+3.4
10 Plunges Olimpas147750%83.181.1+2.1
11 Vilkaviskis146843%83.186.1-3.0
12 Zalgiris Kaunas 2125742%94.296.8-2.7
13 Ukmerges Stekas145936%78.988.1-9.2
14 Kedainiai BC1441029%76.885.0-8.2
15 Mazeikiai1431121%78.988.9-10.0
16 Kretinga1321115%81.590.7-9.2
17 Kauno Atletas1421214%79.194.4-15.3
18 Rytas 2141137%77.186.9-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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