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Vilkaviskis vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 91-67
23-21 23-23 26-10 19-13
Position#7
Record18-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#11
Record19-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.3
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vilkaviskis v Mazeikiai
28 Jan 2027
VILK v MAZ
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
VILK91
MAZ67
18 Dec 2025
VILK59
MAZ79
13 Oct 2022
VILK83
MAZ76
23 Mar 2022
VILK85
MAZ93
17 Mar 2022
VILK105
MAZ93
07 Oct 2021
VILK95
MAZ87
16 Jan 2021
VILK101
MAZ93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
99-66
99
66
+33
109avg 72
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
64avg 72
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
67-71
67
71
-4
62avg 72
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
84avg 72
H29/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
77-66
77
66
+11
70avg 72
H05/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
90-75
90
75
+15
92avg 72
A07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
64avg 72
A19/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
74-87
74
87
-13
65avg 72
A26/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-24
17-26
23-15
15-31
20-18
20-18
15-21
22-18
26-17
29-12
22-19
12-17
21-20
22-25
22-21
19-13
14-29
15-17
19-12
23-12
21-20
19-14
15-17
24-16
16-21
14-19
23-10
20-17
26-20
27-17
17-21
19-15
20-28
18-21
12-16
16-19
16-23
15-20
27-25
156.4Avg total
79.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)81.878.2160.0+3.653%
Season at home (16)81.275.1156.2+6.169%
Season away (18)82.381.0163.3+1.339%
Last 10 (10)79.177.3156.4+1.840%
Last 5 (5)77.674.2151.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.091.0178.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.178.2154.3-2.133%
vs Weaker (13)86.778.2164.9+8.569%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
A19/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
78avg 72
A22/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
94-60
94
60
+34
92avg 72
H24/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
80-73
80
73
+7
76avg 72
A29/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 72
H31/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
79avg 72
A03/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
102-83
102
83
+19
97avg 72
H07/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
74-102
74
102
-28
70avg 72
A19/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
86-79
86
79
+7
76avg 72
H26/02
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
27-16
22-16
19-22
19-18
25-21
16-24
22-20
21-16
23-15
17-27
23-20
27-12
30-14
18-10
19-24
14-17
16-26
24-16
26-14
26-21
19-27
25-17
14-18
20-21
18-22
26-12
22-24
22-23
19-16
32-14
29-30
20-24
21-22
16-36
17-20
19-24
28-21
23-13
16-21
165.9Avg total
85.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.881.3165.1+2.656%
Season at home (17)85.880.6166.4+5.165%
Season away (17)81.981.9163.8+0.047%
Last 10 (10)85.580.4165.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)86.485.2171.6+1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)80.592.5173.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)84.681.2165.8+3.559%
vs Weaker (6)86.575.5162.0+11.083%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.6-0.6
VilkaviskisMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/01
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A24/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A27/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H29/01
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H05/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A19/02
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A26/02
NKL
79.1Avg total
39.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.039.180.1+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.537.779.2+3.864%-
Last 30 away (16)40.640.280.8+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.779.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.278.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.045.087.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.439.176.5-1.740%-
vs Weaker (13)45.038.183.1+6.977%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kedainiu SC
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A19/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A22/01
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
57-26
57
26
+31
H24/01
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A29/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H31/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/02
NKL
Silute
#12
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/02
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A19/02
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H26/02
NKL
83.5Avg total
42.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.182.1+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.240.084.2+4.267%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.279.9-0.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.683.5+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.547.089.5-4.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)41.740.282.0+1.555%-
vs Weaker (6)42.737.380.0+5.350%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.3
52.7%
54.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.1
30.5%
32.3%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
69.3%13.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
54.5%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.8
32.5%
32.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
69.3%14.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vilkaviskis
LLWWWLLWLL
Mazeikiai
WLWWWWWWLL
#7
League position
#11
+7.1
Net rating
+3.8
88.2
Offensive rating
95.9
81.0
Defensive rating
92.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.5%
3-point %
32.5%
62.0%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence88.2 · 95.9Defence81.0 · 92.1Shooting50.2% · 53.9%3-point %30.5% · 32.5%Ball care18.3% · 15.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Vilkaviskis   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vilkaviskis wins
7
Mazeikiai wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26ARytas 274-87
19/02/26AKedainiu SC69-80
07/02/26AAlytaus Alytus90-75
05/02/26HKedainiu SC77-66
29/01/26HUkmerges Stekas78-63
27/01/26ARytas 267-71
24/01/26AKretinga77-83
22/01/26HOmega-Tauras99-66
17/01/26HVytis VDU70-88
15/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga90-94 OT
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HKedainiu SC86-79
19/02/26AZalgiris Kaunas 274-102
07/02/26HSilute102-83
03/02/26APlunges Olimpas86-79
31/01/26HJurbarkas84-83
29/01/26ABC Olimpas Palanga80-73
24/01/26HAlytaus Alytus94-60
22/01/26ARytas 284-78
19/01/26AVytis VDU82-83
15/01/26HKedainiu SC83-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLLWLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %53%69%39%
Points / game81.881.282.3
Allowed / game78.275.181.0
Point differential+3.6+6.1+1.3
Avg total160.0156.2163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (2)29% (7)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Mazeikiai
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW65%
AwayLWWWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%65%47%
Points / game83.885.881.9
Allowed / game81.380.681.9
Point differential+2.6+5.1+0.0
Avg total165.1166.4163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)40% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga3530586%90.575.5+15.1
2 Vytis VDU34241071%88.884.5+4.3
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 235241169%87.184.1+2.9
4 Kedainiu SC34211362%87.285.3+1.9
5 Neptunas 236211558%79.676.9+2.6
6 Mazeikiai34191556%83.881.3+2.6
7 Rytas 234191556%83.280.9+2.4
8 Jurbarkas35191654%81.278.7+2.5
9 Vilkaviskis34181653%81.878.2+3.6
10 Telsiai34181653%85.085.4-0.4
11 Kretinga36171947%82.985.2-2.3
12 Silute36162044%86.889.6-2.8
13 BC Olimpas Palanga35142140%79.583.2-3.7
14 Omega-Tauras36142239%83.988.2-4.3
15 Plunges Olimpas3592626%81.386.8-5.5
16 Ukmerges Stekas3582723%79.189.2-10.1
17 Alytaus Alytus3663017%78.986.7-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vilkaviskis2323261991
Mazeikiai2123101367
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