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Kretinga vs Ukmerges Stekas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 113-79
22-22 33-14 32-17 26-26
Position#9
Record11-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game86.4
Kretinga 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
Position#16
Record6-17
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game89.7
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas
10 Oct 2026
KRET95
UKME99
15 Jan 2026
KRET113
UKME79
06 Feb 2025
KRET75
UKME77
26 Oct 2024
KRET69
UKME64
03 Feb 2024
KRET107
UKME92
16 Dec 2023
KRET75
UKME81
11 Mar 2023
KRET63
UKME90
26 Nov 2022
KRET72
UKME85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
85-75
85
75
+10
90avg 81
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
86-91
86
91
-5
77avg 81
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
86avg 81
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 81
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 81
H13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 81
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
70avg 81
H20/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 81
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
85-107
85
107
-22
71avg 81
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 81
H13/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
22-20
19-18
19-23
16-20
30-20
20-31
20-20
16-11
22-24
18-30
27-18
20-16
27-24
13-22
27-21
26-24
18-19
15-20
31-22
10-29
21-13
23-20
22-18
25-35
16-20
19-14
21-24
21-29
25-22
20-22
29-21
13-24
20-34
30-28
22-21
23-22
19-24
21-20
12-23
173.5Avg total
85.0Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.786.4171.0-1.746%
Season at home (12)83.081.5164.5+1.550%
Season away (12)86.391.2177.6-4.942%
Last 10 (10)85.088.5173.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)82.492.6175.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.496.1178.6-13.70%
vs Similar (18)84.883.8168.6+1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)96.882.4179.2+14.480%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 74
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 74
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 74
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 74
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
81avg 74
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 74
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
91avg 74
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 74
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
83-99
83
99
-16
69avg 74
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
84-81
84
81
+3
80avg 74
A11/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
13-22
20-23
21-17
22-23
26-26
24-23
11-21
12-22
20-20
18-16
29-22
36-25
18-17
15-28
19-23
19-18
25-20
15-24
20-17
19-20
10-18
11-21
34-20
15-29
29-17
22-29
29-20
7-21
24-16
22-17
11-17
20-27
16-23
22-21
25-28
16-30
26-18
17-20
25-13
171.2Avg total
82.5Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.289.7171.8-7.526%
Season at home (10)81.587.2168.7-5.740%
Season away (13)82.791.5174.2-8.815%
Last 10 (10)82.588.7171.2-6.220%
Last 5 (5)81.688.2169.8-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)82.189.5171.6-7.427%
vs Similar (7)83.386.3169.6-3.043%
vs Weaker (1)97.072.0169.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +2.6+2.6
KretingaUkmerges Stekas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H27/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A29/11
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/12
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H20/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
NKL
85.9Avg total
41.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.784.0+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.581.1+2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)43.143.987.0-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.544.485.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.650.489.0-11.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.744.384.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (18)42.141.483.4+0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)46.839.486.2+7.460%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H03/01
NKL
Silute
#12
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A08/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A11/01
NKL
83.1Avg total
39.3Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.645.085.6-4.430%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.044.187.1-1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)38.845.784.5-6.918%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.883.1-4.520%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.880.2-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.544.984.4-5.427%-
vs Similar (7)43.145.388.4-2.129%-
vs Weaker (1)47.045.092.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.124.4
56.6%
54.5%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.4
29.2%
32.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.213.0
64.4%
69.3%13.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.8
51.9%
54.5%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
32.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws18.011.1
61.7%
69.3%11.1
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLWLLWWWLW
Ukmerges Stekas
WLLLLWLLLL
#9
League position
#16
-4.9
Net rating
-8.6
104.6
Offensive rating
99.7
109.4
Defensive rating
108.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
29.2%
3-point %
33.6%
65.1%
Assist %
54.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 99.7Defence109.4 · 108.3Shooting51.9% · 51.4%3-point %29.2% · 33.6%Ball care16.3% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Kretinga   ■ Ukmerges Stekas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kretinga wins
8
Ukmerges Stekas wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga98-88
06/02/25Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas75-77
21/12/24Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga76-58
26/10/24Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas69-64
22/02/24Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga93-79
03/02/24Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas107-92
16/12/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas75-81
28/10/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga82-64
11/03/23Kretinga v Ukmerges Stekas63-90
04/02/23Ukmerges Stekas v Kretinga94-75
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HTelsiai75-89
10/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga85-107
03/01/26AMazeikiai95-94
20/12/25HSilute81-93
18/12/25AJurbarkas76-80
13/12/25HKedainiu SC90-85
11/12/25AAlytaus Alytus87-83
04/12/25AOmega-Tauras90-88 OT
29/11/25AZalgiris Kaunas 286-91
27/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga85-75
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26APlunges Olimpas84-81
08/01/26ASilute83-99
03/01/26HZalgiris Kaunas 264-71
22/12/25ARytas 2103-111 OT
20/12/25AMazeikiai74-79
13/12/25ANeptunas 293-92 OT
11/12/25HVytis VDU88-93
06/12/25ABC Olimpas Palanga79-80
27/11/25AAlytaus Alytus83-93
22/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayWWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game84.783.086.3
Allowed / game86.481.591.2
Point differential-1.7+1.5-4.9
Avg total171.0164.5177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%42%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW26%
HomeLLWLL40%
AwayWLLLW15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %26%40%15%
Points / game82.281.582.7
Allowed / game89.787.291.5
Point differential-7.5-5.7-8.8
Avg total171.8168.7174.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %9%0%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2622485%89.275.8+13.3
2 Zalgiris Kaunas 22418675%86.583.8+2.8
3 Vytis VDU2417771%87.683.2+4.5
4 Telsiai2516964%84.483.1+1.4
5 Kedainiu SC25151060%88.386.2+2.1
6 Vilkaviskis25141156%83.279.2+4.0
7 Jurbarkas24131154%76.876.5+0.3
8 Rytas 226131350%83.681.5+2.1
9 Mazeikiai25121348%83.181.7+1.4
10 Neptunas 224111346%77.778.5-0.8
11 Kretinga24111346%84.786.4-1.7
12 Silute25111444%85.789.8-4.1
13 Omega-Tauras25101540%86.889.5-2.7
14 BC Olimpas Palanga25101540%79.984.2-4.3
15 Ukmerges Stekas2361726%82.289.7-7.5
16 Plunges Olimpas2561924%81.086.2-5.2
17 Alytaus Alytus2552020%78.084.6-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga22333226113
Ukmerges Stekas2214172679
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