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Ukmerges Stekas vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-77
7-22 24-17 17-26 21-12
Position#8
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game80.4
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2024-25
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Vilkaviskis
03 Dec 2026
UKME v VILK
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
UKME72
VILK94
31 Oct 2024
UKME69
VILK77
12 Dec 2023
UKME99
VILK85
04 Mar 2023
UKME88
VILK84
12 Jan 2023
UKME87
VILK90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
85-88
85
88
-3
80avg 71
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 71
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
81-71
81
71
+10
71avg 71
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
86avg 71
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
L
88-95
88
95
-7
74avg 71
H10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 71
A12/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 71
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
85-101
85
101
-16
68avg 71
A19/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
94-92 OT
94
92
+2
91avg 71
H24/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
64-69
64
69
-5
58avg 71
A26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-29
24-21
14-18
17-20
15-22
23-25
18-18
24-16
22-22
20-18
18-7
21-24
22-26
28-16
21-11
22-20
16-15
26-23
17-31
29-26
16-23
14-20
18-24
19-18
14-22
19-16
21-14
27-23
21-27
16-33
22-18
26-23
10-16
19-24
23-23
25-14
21-10
17-25
17-15
9-19
164.8Avg total
81.8Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.682.6164.2-1.050%
Season at home (3)87.786.0173.7+1.767%
Season away (5)78.080.6158.6-2.640%
Last 10 (10)81.883.0164.8-1.240%
Last 5 (5)78.284.4162.6-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.383.3164.7-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.477.2154.6+0.244%
vs Weaker (11)84.376.5160.8+7.782%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
84-78 OT
84
78
+6
78avg 68
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
55avg 68
H23/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
68avg 68
A03/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
75-73
75
73
+2
71avg 68
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
82avg 68
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
86-64
86
64
+22
81avg 68
H12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
73avg 68
A17/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
86-87
86
87
-1
72avg 68
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
88-80
88
80
+8
76avg 68
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
92-76
92
76
+16
94avg 68
H26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-21
20-24
8-13
15-16
16-14
12-19
26-27
14-25
22-24
30-20
19-24
16-21
23-17
16-18
20-17
24-16
22-30
28-18
18-18
24-13
25-18
20-15
17-18
26-23
26-23
17-23
17-19
21-18
21-23
24-25
20-21
20-19
21-9
23-16
24-36
20-13
19-22
25-25
28-16
164.0Avg total
84.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.280.4166.6+5.962%
Season at home (4)84.875.0159.8+9.875%
Season away (4)87.885.8173.5+2.050%
Last 10 (10)84.379.7164.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)87.679.0166.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.074.8144.8-4.830%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.679.9159.5-0.347%
vs Weaker (5)86.480.8167.2+5.680%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.2-1.2
Ukmerges StekasVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A08/03
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H03/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A05/10
NKL
Vytis VDU
#4
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H10/10
NKL
Neptunas 2
#10
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A12/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
37-60
37
60
-23
A19/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H24/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/10
NKL
82.6Avg total
39.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.240.579.6-1.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.939.277.1-1.436%-
Last 30 away (16)40.341.681.9-1.256%-
Last 10 (10)39.343.382.6-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.443.276.6-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.342.376.7-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.941.281.1-1.250%-
vs Weaker (11)39.438.978.3+0.555%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A21/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H23/03
NKL
Kretinga
#13
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/10
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H05/10
NKL
Silute
#12
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A10/10
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H12/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A17/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H19/10
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A24/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H26/10
NKL
80.0Avg total
42.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.578.9-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.936.875.7+2.167%-
Last 30 away (15)39.842.282.0-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.080.0+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.280.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.538.273.7-2.740%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)41.740.582.1+1.253%-
vs Weaker (5)40.239.279.4+1.060%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.922.2
53.0%
52.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.8
27.9%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.213.2
68.8%
70.5%13.2
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.623.0
54.0%
52.5%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.1
30.9%
32.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.913.0
65.3%
70.5%13.0
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LWLWLLWWLL
Vilkaviskis
WWLLWWWLLW
#8
League position
#6
-1.8
Net rating
+5.7
106.1
Offensive rating
107.3
108.0
Defensive rating
101.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.9%
3-point %
30.9%
56.7%
Assist %
48.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 107.3Defence108.0 · 101.6Shooting48.5% · 51.1%3-point %27.9% · 30.9%Ball care16.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds35.9% · 35.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ukmerges Stekas wins
3
Vilkaviskis wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AKretinga64-69
24/10/24HTelsiai94-92 OT
19/10/24ARytas 285-101
17/10/24ADelikatesas Joniskis81-75
12/10/24ANeptunas 267-85
10/10/24HVytis VDU88-95
05/10/24APlunges Olimpas93-73
03/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 281-71
10/03/24HDelikatesas Joniskis80-81
08/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis85-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HRytas 292-76
24/10/24ADelikatesas Joniskis88-80
19/10/24HZalgiris Kaunas 286-87
17/10/24AJurbarkas86-88
12/10/24HOmega-Tauras86-64
10/10/24ASilute92-82
05/10/24HAlytaus Alytus75-73
03/10/24AKretinga85-93
23/03/24HSuduva-Mantinga69-76
21/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga84-78 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game81.687.778.0
Allowed / game82.686.080.6
Point differential-1.0+1.7-2.6
Avg total164.2173.7158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %12%33%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game86.284.887.8
Allowed / game80.475.085.8
Point differential+5.9+9.8+2.0
Avg total166.6159.8173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas87188%84.579.0+5.5
2 Telsiai97278%87.779.3+8.3
3 Neptunas 296367%76.172.4+3.7
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 296367%81.478.3+3.1
5 BC Olimpas Palanga85362%78.568.8+9.8
6 Vytis VDU85362%94.988.2+6.6
7 Suduva-Mantinga85362%87.881.9+5.9
8 Vilkaviskis85362%86.280.4+5.9
9 Omega-Tauras95456%79.477.1+2.3
10 Kretinga84450%78.278.9-0.6
11 Ukmerges Stekas84450%81.682.6-1.0
12 Rytas 283538%81.183.9-2.8
13 Plunges Olimpas82625%74.883.8-9.0
14 Silute92722%78.684.7-6.1
15 Alytaus Alytus81712%74.189.1-15.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis9090%72.788.7-16.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas724172169
Vilkaviskis2217261277
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