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Ukmerges Stekas vs Zalgiris Kaunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 64-71
7-21 24-16 22-17 11-17
Position#16
Record5-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game90.5
Ukmerges Stekas
Lithuania
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game84.0
LithuaniaNKL· Ukmerges technologiju ir verslo mokykla
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 2
08 Oct 2026
UKME108
ZALG87
03 Jan 2026
UKME64
ZALG71
03 Oct 2024
UKME81
ZALG71
18 Nov 2023
UKME61
ZALG79
22 Oct 2022
UKME67
ZALG80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ukmerges Stekas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ukmerges StekasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStekas
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
74-82
74
82
-8
67avg 74
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
61avg 74
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
98-88
98
88
+10
91avg 74
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
69avg 74
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 74
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 74
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
75avg 74
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
81avg 74
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
74-79
74
79
-5
62avg 74
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
103-111 OT
103
111
-8
91avg 74
A22/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
20-25
13-19
23-12
9-27
21-19
29-14
18-20
30-17
16-27
26-26
26-18
20-26
13-22
20-23
21-17
22-23
26-26
24-23
11-21
12-22
20-20
18-16
29-22
36-25
18-17
15-28
19-23
19-18
25-20
15-24
20-17
19-20
10-18
11-21
34-20
15-29
29-17
22-29
29-20
172.9Avg total
84.3Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)83.090.5173.5-7.625%
Season at home (9)83.489.0172.4-5.644%
Season away (11)82.591.8174.4-9.39%
Last 10 (10)84.388.6172.9-4.320%
Last 5 (5)87.491.0178.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)82.990.4173.4-7.526%
vs Similar (9)83.885.1168.9-1.356%
vs Weaker (2)103.066.0169.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
105-102
105
102
+3
104avg 74
H15/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
71-64
71
64
+7
64avg 74
A20/11
NKL
Silute
#12
W
114-107 OT
114
107
+7
no box
H22/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
72-93
72
93
-21
74avg 74
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
76-89
76
89
-13
62avg 74
A27/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 74
H29/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
79-67
79
67
+12
70avg 74
A04/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
84avg 74
H06/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
86-83
86
83
+3
76avg 74
A11/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
59avg 74
H13/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
26-28
27-23
30-25
12-14
18-19
17-19
24-12
25-28
23-21
24-19
25-29
24-15
10-25
23-22
15-31
12-29
21-18
20-17
23-25
20-16
20-30
31-20
20-20
24-14
20-22
11-15
24-16
25-19
19-23
21-27
16-12
21-16
21-26
24-16
20-25
16-16
20-16
23-20
12-18
171.1Avg total
86.0Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.084.0169.9+2.070%
Season at home (10)92.485.8178.2+6.690%
Season away (10)79.582.2161.7-2.750%
Last 10 (10)86.085.1171.1+0.980%
Last 5 (5)84.479.2163.6+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)76.089.0165.0-13.00%
vs Similar (19)80.581.2161.7-0.763%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)93.985.9179.8+8.090%
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.4-0.4
Ukmerges StekasZalgiris Kaunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ukmerges StekasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H13/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A15/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H20/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A22/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A27/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A06/12
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H11/12
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A22/12
NKL
84.2Avg total
39.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.486.0-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.143.788.8+1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)38.845.083.8-6.224%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.484.2-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.281.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.044.984.9-4.932%-
vs Similar (9)42.344.887.1-2.433%-
vs Weaker (2)52.538.591.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas 2) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A20/11
NKL
Silute
#12
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H22/11
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H25/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A27/11
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H29/11
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A04/12
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H06/12
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A11/12
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H13/12
NKL
82.0Avg total
39.9Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.081.3+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.041.783.7+0.344%-
Last 30 away (14)40.638.078.6+2.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.942.182.0-2.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.680.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.047.080.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (19)40.639.379.9+1.347%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.640.584.1+3.150%-
This opponent (Ukmerges Stekas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ukmerges Stekastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ukmerges Stekas: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.722.5
50.3%
54.5%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.8
34.6%
32.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.511.5
65.7%
69.3%11.5
They take 70.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas 2: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.621.5
53.0%
54.5%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.6
29.3%
32.3%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.514.5
67.4%
69.3%14.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ukmerges Stekas
LLWLLLLWLL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
WWWWWLLWWW
#16
League position
#3
-6.5
Net rating
-1.6
105.6
Offensive rating
105.0
112.1
Defensive rating
106.6
50.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.6%
3-point %
29.3%
54.3%
Assist %
56.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 105.0Defence112.1 · 106.6Shooting50.9% · 49.5%3-point %34.6% · 29.3%Ball care14.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds27.7% · 38.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Ukmerges Stekas   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ukmerges Stekas wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas 2 wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas116-84
25/01/25Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas82-75
03/10/24Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 281-71
09/01/24Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-75
18/11/23Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 261-79
17/12/22Zalgiris Kaunas 2 v Ukmerges Stekas74-68
22/10/22Ukmerges Stekas v Zalgiris Kaunas 267-80
Ukmerges Stekaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25ARytas 2103-111 OT
20/12/25AMazeikiai74-79
13/12/25ANeptunas 293-92 OT
11/12/25HVytis VDU88-93
06/12/25ABC Olimpas Palanga79-80
27/11/25AAlytaus Alytus83-93
22/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga74-88
20/11/25HKretinga98-88
15/11/25AJurbarkas77-80
13/11/25HBC Olimpas Palanga74-82
Zalgiris Kaunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/25HVilkaviskis71-70
11/12/25APlunges Olimpas86-83
06/12/25HRytas 295-90 OT
04/12/25AAlytaus Alytus79-67
29/11/25HKretinga91-86
27/11/25ASuduva-Mantinga76-89
25/11/25HMazeikiai72-93
22/11/25HSilute114-107 OT
20/11/25AJurbarkas71-64
15/11/25HAlytaus Alytus105-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ukmerges Stekas
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLWLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %25%44%9%
Points / game83.083.482.5
Allowed / game90.589.091.8
Point differential-7.6-5.6-9.3
Avg total173.5172.4174.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)50% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %10%0%18%
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game86.092.479.5
Allowed / game84.085.882.2
Point differential+1.9+6.6-2.7
Avg total169.9178.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%30%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %15%20%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2319483%87.875.0+12.8
2 Vytis VDU2015575%87.081.5+5.5
3 Telsiai2014670%84.782.2+2.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas 22014670%86.084.0+1.9
5 Kedainiu SC2214864%88.184.9+3.2
6 Mazeikiai2112957%83.781.0+2.7
7 Jurbarkas2011955%77.277.7-0.5
8 Vilkaviskis22121055%83.680.0+3.6
9 Rytas 222111150%84.783.9+0.8
10 Kretinga21101148%84.684.9-0.3
11 Silute22101245%87.388.8-1.5
12 Omega-Tauras2191243%88.089.7-1.6
13 Neptunas 22071335%76.180.7-4.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga2381535%79.085.5-6.4
15 Ukmerges Stekas2051525%83.090.5-7.6
16 Plunges Olimpas2151624%81.486.7-5.3
17 Alytaus Alytus2241818%78.584.5-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ukmerges Stekas724221164
Zalgiris Kaunas 22116171771
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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