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Villanova vs La Salle Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 85-66
Projected total 151.1
Final 80-59
36-31 44-28
Position#146
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game70.0
Villanova 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ VILL 95%■ LA S 5%
Pythia win probability
La Salle
USA
Position#309
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game87.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Villanova v La Salle
10 Nov 2026
VILL80
LA S59
07 Nov 2022
VILL81
LA S68
01 Dec 2019
VILL83
LA S72
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Villanova will host La Salle on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Villanova the clear favourite, giving them a 95% chance of victory because of their 1-1 record, 83.5 points per game and 70.0 points allowed per game, both better than La Salle's 71.5 points scored and 87.0 points allowed. Villanova's season so far shows a 1-1 record, 83.5 points per game, 70.0 allowed, and a 197 league position, while their home record is 1-1 with the same averages; their last five games include a 95-66 win over Holy Cross, a 72-74 loss to Notre Dame, and a 76-86 loss to Utah State. La Salle also sits at 1-1, 71.5 points per game, 87.0 allowed, and a 258 league position, with a 0-1 road record of 55.0 points and 94.0 allowed; their last five games feature an 88-80 win over LIU Sharks, a 55-94 loss to Houston, and an 80-99 loss to St. Bonaventure. In the four meetings between the teams, Villanova has won all four, most recently 70-55 on 19 November 2025. Pythia projects a 85-66 score, 151.1 total points, a 40% chance that Villanova will cover the -22.5 spread, a 39% chance of the over on the 155.5 total, and a 1% probability of overtime. The game will likely see Villanova dominate early and maintain their lead.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winWon
95.2%fair 1.05
Best odds1.02
Implied93.6%
Edge+1.6pp
La Salle winLost
4.8%fair 20.94
Best odds26.00
Implied6.4%
Edge-1.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
92-89 OT
92
89
+3
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#49
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#409
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-42
38-39
32-34
31-39
42-28
40-45
23-48
34-41
26-24
50-33
44-32
47-46
31-35
33-43
39-37
37-49
35-31
37-43
44-28
51-38
153.1Avg total
76.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.570.0153.5+13.550%
Season at home (2)83.570.0153.5+13.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.876.3153.1+0.550%
Last 5 (5)79.676.4156.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.879.4147.2-11.60%
vs Similar (6)70.368.8139.2+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)81.170.7151.8+10.389%
This opponent (La Salle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La SalleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H11/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H21/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
77-104
77
104
-27
H24/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
80-99
80
99
-19
H11/03
NCAA
Houston
#133
L
55-94
55
94
-39
A03/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#354
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
37-40
28-32
33-30
39-25
20-21
35-45
42-59
27-33
37-38
46-37
41-47
34-35
42-53
33-48
47-51
23-43
32-51
39-37
49-43
152.0Avg total
71.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.587.0158.5-15.550%
Season at home (1)88.080.0168.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)55.094.0149.0-39.00%
Last 10 (10)71.580.5152.0-9.030%
Last 5 (5)77.289.0166.2-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)66.576.2142.8-9.725%
vs Similar (1)61.071.0132.0-10.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
51.3%
@ 1.44-12.8pp
Under 150.5
48.7%
@ 2.57+12.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.57
Over/Under 155.5 · main lineActual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
39.1%
@ 1.83-12.7pp
Under 155.5
60.9%
@ 1.98+12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.77
Under
Betano
1.98
Marathon Be
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.83
Over/Under 160.5Actual: Under 160.5
Over 160.5
27.8%
@ 2.27-12.7pp
Under 160.5
72.2%
@ 1.55+12.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.55

📊 3. Team Totals

Villanova total 85.5Actual: Villanova under 85.5
Over 85.5
49.3%
@ 1.40-15.4pp
Under 85.5
50.7%
@ 2.57+15.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Villanova total 89.5 · main lineActual: Villanova under 89.5
Over 89.5
33.6%
@ 1.85-16.9pp
Under 89.5
66.4%
@ 1.91+16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Villanova total 93.5Actual: Villanova under 93.5
Over 93.5
20.4%
@ 2.50-15.8pp
Under 93.5
79.6%
@ 1.42+15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.42
La Salle total 63Actual: La Salle under 63
Over 63
61.0%
Under 63
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
La Salle total 67 · main lineActual: La Salle under 67
Over 67
44.5%
@ 1.85-5.5pp
Under 67
55.5%
@ 1.85+5.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
La Salle total 71Actual: La Salle under 71
Over 71
29.0%
Under 71
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Villanova -25.5Actual: La Salle +25.5
VILL -25.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
LA S +25.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
Best 5 market prices
VILL
Betano
2.22
LA S
Betano
1.57
Spread Villanova -22.5 · main lineActual: La Salle +22.5
VILL -22.5
39.6%
@ 1.91-10.7pp
LA S +22.5
60.4%
@ 1.91+10.7pp
Best 5 market prices
VILL
1xBet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.80
BetVictor
1.78
LA S
Betano
1.91
Bet365
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Spread Villanova -19.5Actual: Villanova -19.5
VILL -19.5
50.2%
@ 1.53-9.9pp
LA S +19.5
49.8%
@ 2.30+9.9pp
Best 5 market prices
VILL
Betano
1.53
LA S
Betano
2.30

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: -3.7-3.72nd half2nd half: -1.8-1.82nd half: -5.3-5.3
VillanovaLa Salle
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#49
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#409
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.9Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (30)35.832.468.2+3.573%27%
Last 30 at home (19)36.830.467.3+6.479%16%
Last 30 away (11)34.135.769.8-1.664%45%
Last 10 (10)35.933.969.8+2.070%30%
Last 5 (5)38.632.671.2+6.080%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.036.468.4-4.460%40%
vs Similar (6)32.231.063.2+1.267%0%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.031.769.7+6.379%32%
This opponent (La Salle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La SalleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H11/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A19/02
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H21/02
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H24/02
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A01/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H11/03
NCAA
Houston
#133
L
23-43
23
43
-20
A03/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#354
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H07/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
33.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (30)33.935.869.7-1.933%30%
Last 30 at home (16)36.135.271.4+0.950%38%
Last 30 away (14)31.436.467.8-5.114%21%
Last 10 (10)33.537.270.7-3.730%40%
Last 5 (5)35.040.075.0-5.040%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)33.636.670.2-3.032%32%
vs Similar (1)30.030.060.0+0.00%0%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Villanova win
VILL win
no forecast
@ 1.06
LA S win
no forecast
@ 9.25
1st half Spread Villanova -13 · main lineActual: La Salle +13
VILL -13
no forecast
@ 1.84
LA S +13
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Villanova 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Villanova under 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
La Salle 1st half total 31 · main linePush
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.65
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 77.5Actual: Under 77.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.22
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Villanova -14.5Actual: La Salle +14.5
VILL -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
LA S +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
1st half Spread Villanova -11.5Actual: La Salle +11.5
VILL -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
LA S +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Villanova -15.5Actual: La Salle +15.5
VILL -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
LA S +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Villanova -10.5Actual: La Salle +10.5
VILL -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
LA S +10.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Spread Villanova -16.5Actual: La Salle +16.5
VILL -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
LA S +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
1st half Spread Villanova -9.5Actual: La Salle +9.5
VILL -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
LA S +9.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Villanova (regulation)
VILL
no forecast
@ 1.07
Draw
no forecast
@ 34.00
LA S
no forecast
@ 8.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
VILL win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
LA S win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: VILL leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Villanova under 91.573.4%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+17.0ppWon
Villanova under 92.576.6%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+16.4ppWon
Villanova under 93.579.6%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+15.8ppWon
Villanova under 94.582.3%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+15.3ppWon
Under 160.572.2%1.55
Betano
1.55		----+12.7ppWon
Under 159.570.0%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+12.4ppWon
Under 162.576.1%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+12.1ppWon
Under 161.574.2%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+11.7ppWon
Under 163.578.0%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+11.3ppWon
Villanova (regulation)94.4%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+5.3ppWon
La Salle under 71.572.0%1.35
Betano
1.35		----+4.8ppWon
Villanova win95.2%1.02
Betano
1.02		----+1.6ppWon
Villanova over 70.593.3%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.5ppWon
Villanova over 72.590.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02		-----0.9ppWon
La Salle over 54.586.9%1.05
Bet365
1.05		-----2.1ppWon
Villanova over 74.586.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----3.0ppWon
La Salle over 56.582.2%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----4.5ppWon
La Salle over 58.576.5%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----5.0ppWon
Villanova over 76.581.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----6.0ppWon
Villanova over 78.575.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----8.8ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Villanova wins
0
La Salle wins
DateGameScore
20/11/25La Salle v Villanova55-70
07/11/22Villanova v La Salle81-68
28/11/21La Salle v Villanova46-72
01/12/19Villanova v La Salle83-72
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HHoly Cross95-66
01/11/26HNotre Dame72-74
20/03/26HUtah State76-86
13/03/26HGeorgetown64-78
07/03/26HXavier91-78
05/03/26ADePaul76-57
01/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-89
26/02/26HButler82-73
21/02/26HUconn63-73
17/02/26AXavier92-89 OT
La Sallelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HLIU Sharks88-80
03/11/26AHouston55-94
11/03/26HSt. Bonaventure80-99
07/03/26ASaint Josephs Hawks76-88
04/03/26HFordham87-84
01/03/26ADavidson64-71
24/02/26HGeorge Washington77-104
21/02/26HRhode Island59-46
19/02/26ADuquesne61-62
11/02/26HVCU Rams68-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeLW50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game83.583.5-
Allowed / game70.070.0-
Point differential+13.5+13.5-
Avg total153.5153.5-
Over 155.550%50%-
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
La Salle
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.588.055.0
Allowed / game87.080.094.0
Point differential-15.5+8.0-39.0
Avg total158.5168.0149.0
Over 155.550%100%0%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette220100%85.537.5+48.0
2 Xavier220100%86.552.5+34.0
3 Uconn330100%84.754.7+30.0
4 St. John's (N.Y.)220100%91.064.0+27.0
5 Creighton220100%79.558.0+21.5
6 DePaul330100%80.361.7+18.7
7 Georgetown330100%83.070.0+13.0
8 Seton Hall330100%67.054.7+12.3
9 Butler32167%92.075.0+17.0
10 Villanova21150%83.570.0+13.5
11 Providence21150%70.561.5+9.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Richmond Spiders330100%95.358.7+36.7
2 George Washington220100%83.050.0+33.0
3 Rhode Island220100%93.562.5+31.0
4 Loyola Chicago220100%76.552.5+24.0
5 George Mason220100%75.052.5+22.5
6 St. Louis Billikens220100%91.075.5+15.5
7 Davidson220100%82.068.5+13.5
8 Saint Josephs Hawks220100%74.565.0+9.5
9 Duquesne220100%73.064.5+8.5
10 St. Bonaventure21150%79.564.0+15.5
11 Dayton21150%82.569.5+13.0
12 VCU Rams21150%85.080.5+4.5
13 Fordham21150%74.079.0-5.0
14 La Salle21150%71.587.0-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova364480
La Salle312859
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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