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Virginia Tech vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 66-71
26-34 40-37
Position#286
Record12-15
FormLWLLW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game71.7
vs
Position#26
Record21-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game69.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Virginia Tech v Louisville
30 Dec 2026
VIRG v LOUI
upcoming
25 Feb 2025
VIRG66
LOUI71
03 Dec 2023
VIRG75
LOUI68
01 Mar 2022
VIRG75
LOUI43
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia Tech winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virginia TechUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
63-72
63
72
-9
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
64-71
64
71
-7
A23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
76-66
76
66
+10
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A01/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
75-81
75
81
-6
H06/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A19/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-31
34-41
35-39
29-32
29-41
28-31
35-15
41-51
38-31
37-43
35-35
40-46
26-33
39-30
33-40
37-33
11-26
25-28
38-38
43-30
135.6Avg total
66.2Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)69.171.7140.9-2.644%
Season at home (16)71.871.7143.5+0.144%
Season away (11)65.371.8137.1-6.545%
Last 10 (10)66.269.4135.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)65.467.8133.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)65.972.2138.2-6.329%
vs Similar (11)72.972.9145.8+0.055%
vs Weaker (1)93.074.0167.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
85-61
85
61
+24
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
98-73
98
73
+25
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
72-59
72
59
+13
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
70-77
70
77
-7
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
75-60
75
60
+15
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-27
42-34
39-28
42-39
50-27
48-46
45-21
27-38
38-27
32-50
41-31
43-27
46-38
42-40
41-27
50-39
35-28
40-32
45-31
44-50
151.3Avg total
83.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.969.4149.3+10.478%
Season at home (15)77.270.1147.3+7.173%
Season away (12)83.268.6151.8+14.683%
Last 10 (10)83.368.0151.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)85.468.6154.0+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.879.2148.0-10.50%
vs Similar (8)77.075.2152.2+1.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)81.966.4148.4+15.589%
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +13.8+13.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: -2.0-2.01st half: +13.8+13.82nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.5+1.5
Virginia TechLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Virginia TechLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#87
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H25/01
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
35-15
35
15
+20
A30/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A01/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
11-26
11
26
-15
A19/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A22/02
NCAA
63.8Avg total
30.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.433.166.5+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.334.469.7+0.850%-
Last 30 away (12)30.631.061.6-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)30.932.963.8-2.020%-
Last 5 (5)28.634.463.0-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.732.565.2+0.235%-
vs Similar (11)34.234.568.6-0.345%-
vs Weaker (1)37.032.069.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syracuse
#273
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Virginia
#230
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H18/01
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
W
50-27
50
27
+23
A22/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
45-21
45
21
+24
H29/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A01/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/02
NCAA
NC State
#293
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A13/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A17/02
NCAA
Florida State
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H22/02
NCAA
70.8Avg total
42.3Scored
28.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.132.670.6+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.933.471.2+4.565%-
Last 30 away (13)38.331.569.8+6.885%-
Last 10 (10)42.328.570.8+13.8100%-
Last 5 (5)41.631.072.6+10.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.242.078.2-5.850%-
vs Similar (8)37.035.072.0+2.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)38.929.468.3+9.683%-
This opponent (Virginia Tech) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Virginia Tech wins
2
Louisville wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AMiami (FL)81-68
19/02/25ABoston College36-54
15/02/25HVirginia70-73
08/02/25ANotre Dame65-63
06/02/25HSMU Mustangs75-81
01/02/25AVirginia75-74
30/01/25AFlorida State76-66
25/01/25HClemson57-72
23/01/25AGeorgia Tech64-71
18/01/25HWake Forest63-72
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25HFlorida State89-81
17/02/25ANotre Dame75-60
13/02/25ANC State91-66
08/02/25HMiami (FL)88-78
06/02/25ABoston College84-58
01/02/25AGeorgia Tech70-77
29/01/25HWake Forest72-59
22/01/25ASMU Mustangs98-73
18/01/25HVirginia81-67
15/01/25ASyracuse85-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia Tech
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW44%
HomeWLLLL44%
AwayWWWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %44%44%45%
Points / game69.171.865.3
Allowed / game71.771.771.8
Point differential-2.6+0.1-6.5
Avg total140.9143.5137.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Louisville
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %78%73%83%
Points / game79.977.283.2
Allowed / game69.470.168.6
Point differential+10.4+7.1+14.6
Avg total149.3147.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%53%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2825389%82.661.0+21.6
2 Clemson2722581%77.566.5+11.0
3 Louisville2721678%79.969.4+10.4
4 SMU Mustangs2720774%82.271.7+10.5
5 Wake Forest2719870%70.767.4+3.3
6 Stanford27171063%74.371.4+2.8
7 North Carolina29181162%81.476.6+4.8
8 Pittsburgh28161257%76.871.2+5.5
9 Florida State28161257%75.872.3+3.5
10 Georgia Tech28141450%73.873.1+0.7
11 Virginia27131448%64.566.1-1.6
12 Notre Dame27121544%73.371.9+1.4
13 California27121544%74.175.3-1.2
14 Virginia Tech27121544%69.171.7-2.6
15 Boston College27121544%70.974.7-3.8
16 NC State27111641%70.169.8+0.3
17 Syracuse27111641%74.778.6-3.9
18 Miami (FL)2862221%74.180.3-6.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia Tech264066
Louisville343771
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