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Virginia vs American University Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 95-51
45-25 50-26
Position#19
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#204
Record7-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Virginia v American University
22 Dec 2025
VIRG95
AMER51
22 Dec 2024
VIRG63
AMER58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
American University winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#276
W
91-53
91
53
+38
H12/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
54-106
54
106
-52
A12/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
104-78
104
78
+26
H15/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H21/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H23/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
84-60
84
60
+24
H10/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H20/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-19
44-34
35-40
19-66
61-33
43-45
40-36
43-42
42-44
31-36
46-29
48-40
46-27
42-42
37-33
49-40
46-32
38-28
24-19
56-53
157.5Avg total
83.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.871.1154.8+12.783%
Season at home (10)86.367.8154.1+18.590%
Season away (2)71.087.5158.5-16.550%
Last 10 (10)83.773.8157.5+9.980%
Last 5 (5)86.468.6155.0+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)65.873.4139.1-7.625%
vs Similar (10)69.468.7138.1+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.271.2154.5+12.083%
This opponent (American University) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
67-107
67
107
-40
A13/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#576
W
115-50
115
50
+65
H15/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A18/11
NCAA
Marywood Pacers
#686
W
113-53
113
53
+60
H25/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H29/11
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
92-66
92
66
+26
H30/11
NCAA
Drexel
#193
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H04/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H06/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
83-105
83
105
-22
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-51
35-56
58-32
57-18
33-33
38-47
54-28
59-25
39-28
35-33
20-21
35-38
40-34
52-32
27-40
48-33
32-20
46-40
35-48
48-57
153.7Avg total
82.3Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.873.3155.1+8.458%
Season at home (8)85.862.5148.2+23.288%
Season away (4)73.895.0168.8-21.20%
Last 10 (10)82.371.4153.7+10.960%
Last 5 (5)76.672.6149.2+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)75.0106.0181.0-31.00%
vs Similar (23)70.266.6136.7+3.674%
vs Weaker (4)84.562.8147.2+21.875%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +7.4+7.4
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +11.2+11.21st half: +3.5+3.52nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +7.4+7.4
VirginiaAmerican University
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hampton
#276
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H12/11
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
61-33
61
33
+28
H15/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H23/11
NCAA
Queens Royals
#116
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H28/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A04/12
NCAA
Dayton
#65
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/12
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H20/12
NCAA
73.6Avg total
42.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.468.9+4.157%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.831.369.1+6.567%-
Last 30 away (12)34.534.168.6+0.442%-
Last 10 (10)42.431.273.6+11.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.828.067.8+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.034.266.2-2.238%-
vs Similar (10)33.632.766.3+0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.830.972.8+10.983%-
This opponent (American University) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
American UniversityLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Washington
#160
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A13/11
NCAA
Central Penn
#576
W
58-32
58
32
+26
H15/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A18/11
NCAA
Marywood Pacers
#686
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#355
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H28/11
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
20-21
20
21
-1
H29/11
NCAA
Longwood
#202
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/11
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
27-40
27
40
-13
H04/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
32-20
32
20
+12
H06/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A19/12
NCAA
70.5Avg total
37.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.331.364.6+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.230.164.2+4.163%-
Last 30 away (11)31.833.565.4-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)37.033.570.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)30.832.663.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)33.549.583.0-16.00%-
vs Similar (23)31.130.461.6+0.757%-
vs Weaker (4)40.528.268.8+12.275%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virginia wins
0
American University wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Virginia v American University63-58
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HMaryland80-72
10/12/25HMd.-East. Shore84-60
06/12/25HDayton86-73
04/12/25ATexas88-69
28/11/25HQueens Royals94-69
23/11/25HButler73-80
21/11/25HNorthwestern83-78
15/11/25HMarshall104-78
12/11/25AVMI54-106
12/11/25HHampton91-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25AVCU Rams83-105
06/12/25HMd.-East. Shore78-60
04/12/25HDrexel75-73
30/11/25HLongwood92-66
29/11/25HSiena55-59
28/11/25HMaine Black Bears74-61
25/11/25HMarywood Pacers113-53
18/11/25ARutgers71-80
15/11/25HCentral Penn115-50
13/11/25AGeorge Washington67-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12102
Win %83%90%50%
Points / game83.886.371.0
Allowed / game71.167.887.5
Point differential+12.7+18.5-16.5
Avg total154.8154.1158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
American University
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWLWWW88%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %58%88%0%
Points / game81.885.873.8
Allowed / game73.362.595.0
Point differential+8.4+23.2-21.2
Avg total155.1148.2168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 California1312192%83.166.7+16.4
2 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
3 North Carolina1211192%79.964.6+15.3
4 Miami (FL)1311285%89.567.7+21.8
5 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
6 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
7 Virginia1210283%83.871.1+12.7
8 SMU Mustangs1210283%89.577.6+11.9
9 Stanford1210283%81.371.7+9.7
10 Clemson1310377%79.765.8+13.8
11 NC State139469%88.372.2+16.2
12 Wake Forest139469%83.974.3+9.6
13 Notre Dame139469%76.768.4+8.3
14 Syracuse128467%74.466.2+8.2
15 Georgia Tech128467%75.570.8+4.8
16 Pittsburgh137654%74.067.8+6.2
17 Florida State126650%84.879.6+5.2
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Navy138562%73.164.5+8.5
2 American University127558%81.873.3+8.4
3 Colgate126650%76.073.6+2.4
4 Army125742%72.676.2-3.7
5 Boston University135838%74.675.7-1.1
6 Holy Cross145936%65.774.6-8.9
7 Lehigh134931%70.374.2-3.9
8 Loyola Maryland1331023%74.977.9-3.0
9 Lafayette1331023%70.276.9-6.7
10 Bucknell1331023%64.078.2-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia455095
American University252651
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