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Virginia vs Boston College Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-57
35-27 41-30
Position#36
Record15-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game70.3
Allowed / game60.3
vs
Position#221
Record10-11
FormLLLWW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Virginia v Boston College
13 Jan 2027
VIRG v BOST
upcoming
21 Jan 2025
VIRG74
BOST56
14 Mar 2024
VIRG66
BOST60
28 Jan 2023
VIRG76
BOST57
01 Feb 2022
VIRG67
BOST55
19 Feb 2020
VIRG78
BOST65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston College winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A21/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-30
35-39
26-36
38-30
33-24
33-22
36-25
38-31
33-23
32-45
35-26
38-40
27-29
38-29
33-25
34-33
40-31
38-37
42-32
34-35
131.1Avg total
68.9Scored
62.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.360.3130.6+10.183%
Season at home (11)69.556.6126.1+12.891%
Season away (7)71.766.0137.7+5.771%
Last 10 (10)68.962.2131.1+6.770%
Last 5 (5)71.863.4135.2+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.062.8119.8-5.833%
vs Similar (13)69.463.8133.2+5.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)69.255.6124.8+13.6100%
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#245
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H14/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
70-65 OT
70
65
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
70-63
70
63
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
64-65
64
65
-1
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A12/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
63-85
63
85
-22
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
75-65
75
65
+10
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
28-30
25-30
34-29
27-36
38-43
34-38
36-25
33-37
31-28
28-43
44-45
31-41
32-44
26-31
38-41
36-35
48-37
29-35
46-30
140.0Avg total
69.0Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)66.369.5135.8-3.148%
Season at home (14)65.166.4131.4-1.357%
Season away (7)68.975.7144.6-6.929%
Last 10 (10)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)71.676.4148.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)66.873.4140.1-6.631%
vs Similar (12)67.166.1133.2+1.058%
vs Weaker (2)70.555.5126.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: -4.8-4.82nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
VirginiaBoston College
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A21/01
NCAA
61.2Avg total
33.1Scored
28.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.527.157.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.225.255.4+5.059%-
Last 30 away (13)30.929.660.5+1.362%-
Last 10 (10)33.128.161.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)35.428.664.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.727.853.5-2.250%-
vs Similar (13)31.130.261.2+0.946%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)33.023.556.5+9.580%-
This opponent (Boston College) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CollegeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#245
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H21/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Duke
#39
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H07/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A12/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H15/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A18/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#302
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A21/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H26/01
NCAA
65.6Avg total
30.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.533.363.7-2.830%-
Last 30 at home (17)30.233.463.5-3.224%-
Last 30 away (13)30.833.264.0-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)30.435.265.6-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)30.037.067.0-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)29.834.764.5-4.919%-
vs Similar (12)31.232.263.4-0.942%-
vs Weaker (2)31.028.559.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virginia wins
1
Boston College wins
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/23AWake Forest76-67
19/01/23HVirginia Tech78-68
14/01/23AFlorida State67-58
11/01/23HNorth Carolina65-58
07/01/23HSyracuse73-66
04/01/23APittsburgh65-68
31/12/22AGeorgia Tech74-56
28/12/22HAlbany66-46
21/12/22AMiami (FL)64-66
17/12/22HHouston61-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23HLouisville75-65
21/01/23ANotre Dame84-72
18/01/23ANorth Carolina64-72
15/01/23HWake Forest63-85
12/01/23AMiami (FL)72-88
07/01/23HDuke64-65
04/01/23HNotre Dame70-63
31/12/22ASyracuse65-79
21/12/22HVirginia Tech70-65 OT
14/12/22HStonehill63-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %83%91%71%
Points / game70.369.571.7
Allowed / game60.356.666.0
Point differential+10.1+12.8+5.7
Avg total130.6126.1137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Boston College
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21147
Win %48%57%29%
Points / game66.365.168.9
Allowed / game69.566.475.7
Point differential-3.1-1.3-6.9
Avg total135.8131.4144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)57% (7)-
Overtime %10%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1815383%70.360.3+10.1
2 Clemson2117481%74.366.1+8.2
3 NC State2116576%79.369.6+9.7
4 North Carolina2115671%79.272.0+7.2
5 Duke2014670%72.264.2+7.9
6 Pittsburgh2114767%74.468.2+6.2
7 Wake Forest2114767%77.472.7+4.7
8 Syracuse2113862%75.270.0+5.2
9 Virginia Tech2012860%72.866.1+6.8
10 Miami (FL)40231757%76.272.2+4.0
11 Boston College21101148%66.369.5-3.1
12 Notre Dame2191243%70.572.0-1.5
13 Stanford2081240%68.166.1+2.0
14 Georgia Tech2081240%68.970.5-1.6
15 SMU Mustangs2171433%69.473.8-4.4
16 Florida State2171433%69.374.0-4.7
17 California2031715%61.068.4-7.5
18 Louisville2021810%62.575.2-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia354176
Boston College273057
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