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Wake Forest vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-76
32-42 35-34
Position#142
Record14-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game72.1
Wake Forest
USA
vs
Virginia 🏆
USA
Position#36
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game59.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Wake Forest v Virginia
26 Feb 2025
WAKE75
VIRG83
13 Jan 2024
WAKE66
VIRG47
21 Jan 2023
WAKE67
VIRG76
16 Dec 2020
WAKE v VIRG
upcoming
26 Jan 2020
WAKE63
VIRG65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
57-81
57
81
-24
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
80-72
80
72
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
85-63
85
63
+22
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-33
29-39
31-37
36-29
33-43
24-38
39-30
42-40
38-38
39-37
38-37
41-51
43-26
37-46
44-35
46-40
41-31
44-32
48-38
39-39
151.2Avg total
77.3Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.972.1150.0+5.874%
Season at home (12)80.869.8150.5+11.092%
Season away (7)73.076.1149.1-3.143%
Last 10 (10)77.373.9151.2+3.470%
Last 5 (5)84.275.0159.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)67.072.8139.8-5.850%
vs Similar (9)75.673.8149.3+1.867%
vs Weaker (14)83.671.6155.1+12.071%
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
74-56
74
56
+18
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
L
65-68
65
68
-3
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
73-66
73
66
+7
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
65-58
65
58
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H19/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-20
28-30
26-30
35-39
26-36
38-30
33-24
33-22
36-25
38-31
33-23
32-45
35-26
38-40
27-29
38-29
33-25
34-33
40-31
38-37
127.3Avg total
66.8Scored
60.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.059.9129.9+10.182%
Season at home (11)69.556.6126.1+12.891%
Season away (6)71.065.8136.8+5.267%
Last 10 (10)66.860.5127.3+6.370%
Last 5 (5)69.663.6133.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.062.8119.8-5.833%
vs Similar (14)69.563.4132.9+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)68.454.3122.8+14.1100%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.8+4.81st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: -1.4-1.42nd half: +1.6+1.6
Wake ForestVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LSU
#264
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H10/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H15/12
NCAA
Rutgers
#132
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A17/12
NCAA
Duke
#39
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H20/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H31/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A05/01
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/01
NCAA
Boston College
#221
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A15/01
NCAA
Clemson
#60
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H18/01
NCAA
74.4Avg total
39.6Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.669.9+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.932.071.9+7.979%-
Last 30 away (11)32.933.666.5-0.755%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.874.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.476.2+9.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)33.033.066.0+0.067%-
vs Similar (9)34.736.070.7-1.344%-
vs Weaker (14)40.531.071.5+9.586%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#69
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H07/12
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H17/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Albany
#346
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H28/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A31/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#72
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A04/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#180
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H07/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H11/01
NCAA
Florida State
#342
W
33-25
33
25
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H19/01
NCAA
58.5Avg total
31.6Scored
26.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.326.957.2+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.425.255.7+5.261%-
Last 30 away (12)30.029.459.4+0.658%-
Last 10 (10)31.626.958.5+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)33.626.860.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)25.727.853.5-2.250%-
vs Similar (14)31.429.961.2+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)32.022.654.6+9.478%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wake Forest wins
2
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
15/01/22Virginia v Wake Forest55-63
07/01/21Virginia v Wake Forest70-61
26/01/20Wake Forest v Virginia63-65 OT
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/23HClemson87-77
15/01/23ABoston College85-63
12/01/23HFlorida State90-75
07/01/23ALouisville80-72
05/01/23ANorth Carolina79-88
31/12/22HVirginia Tech77-75
20/12/22HDuke81-70
17/12/22ARutgers57-81
15/12/22HAppalachian State67-66
10/12/22HLSU70-72
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/23HVirginia Tech78-68
14/01/23AFlorida State67-58
11/01/23HNorth Carolina65-58
07/01/23HSyracuse73-66
04/01/23APittsburgh65-68
31/12/22AGeorgia Tech74-56
28/12/22HAlbany66-46
21/12/22AMiami (FL)64-66
17/12/22HHouston61-69
07/12/22HJames Madison55-50

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wake Forest
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayLLLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19127
Win %74%92%43%
Points / game77.980.873.0
Allowed / game72.169.876.1
Point differential+5.8+11.0-3.1
Avg total150.0150.5149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %11%8%14%
Virginia
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW91%
AwayWLWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %82%91%67%
Points / game70.069.571.0
Allowed / game59.956.665.8
Point differential+10.1+12.8+5.2
Avg total129.9126.1136.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia1714382%70.059.9+10.1
2 NC State1915479%79.568.4+11.1
3 Clemson1915479%75.767.8+7.9
4 Duke1914574%72.063.5+8.5
5 Wake Forest1914574%77.972.1+5.8
6 North Carolina1913668%79.672.4+7.2
7 Pittsburgh1913668%74.667.5+7.2
8 Syracuse2013765%75.670.0+5.7
9 Virginia Tech1811761%73.866.4+7.4
10 Miami (FL)37221559%76.372.2+4.1
11 Notre Dame1991047%69.870.7-0.9
12 Georgia Tech1981142%69.870.5-0.6
13 Boston College1981142%64.969.6-4.6
14 SMU Mustangs1971237%68.672.6-4.0
15 Stanford1861233%67.766.3+1.4
16 Florida State1961332%69.573.8-4.3
17 California1931616%61.668.4-6.8
18 Louisville1921711%62.475.2-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wake Forest323567
Virginia423476
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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