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Virtus Bologna vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 83-78 (OT)
10-19 14-14 19-21 26-15 14-9
Position#7
Record-
FormLWLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#24
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H25/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H07/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A29/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H06/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
A09/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
A07/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
18-17
18-10
11-15
25-19
24-22
21-17
24-27
18-23
17-14
19-28
24-26
22-22
22-21
17-22
22-23
16-22
25-12
10-13
16-18
22-18
14-10
16-19
17-24
23-14
22-18
14-14
15-15
15-18
13-15
13-13
23-24
15-25
16-25
32-27
36-27
27-19
24-20
14-26
27-23
157.9Avg total
79.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.078.9157.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)79.678.8158.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.572.5138.0-7.00%
vs Similar (18)79.581.2160.7-1.739%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.171.6151.7+8.689%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
69-83
69
83
-14
H10/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H15/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
89-78
89
78
+11
A17/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H23/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
92-67
92
67
+25
H07/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
19-18
20-15
21-28
11-19
18-25
18-25
22-14
15-20
18-14
16-13
22-22
20-9
16-19
21-12
22-31
12-16
29-22
23-18
25-22
25-23
19-24
21-11
35-18
22-17
24-16
22-21
20-15
21-22
12-20
22-26
21-21
26-26
30-22
16-21
22-22
14-21
29-16
25-8
24-22
162.1Avg total
84.0Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.078.1162.1+5.970%
Last 5 (5)90.078.4168.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.881.0152.8-9.238%
vs Similar (2)77.088.5165.5-11.50%
vs Weaker (20)86.878.4165.2+8.475%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.9+1.9
Virtus BolognaNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H25/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/04
Lega A
Avellino
#4
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H06/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A09/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/10
Lega A
77.9Avg total
40.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.477.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.438.179.5+3.264%-
Last 30 away (16)37.838.776.5-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.877.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.474.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.539.571.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (18)38.438.877.2-0.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.736.780.3+7.078%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H10/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A12/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H15/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A17/06
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/09
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/09
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A04/10
LKL
Skycop
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H07/10
LKL
79.8Avg total
40.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.240.180.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.340.880.1-1.538%-
Last 30 away (17)40.839.580.4+1.359%-
Last 10 (10)40.239.679.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)44.441.485.8+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.043.081.0-5.025%-
vs Similar (2)38.036.074.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (20)41.239.380.5+2.060%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.3
52.4%
52.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.2
35.4%
34.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.511.6
70.3%
73.8%11.6
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
52.6%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
34.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLLWLWLLWW
Neptunas
WWLWWWWWLL
#7
League position
#24
-1.2
Net rating
+9.4
106.1
Offensive rating
97.6
107.3
Defensive rating
88.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.0%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
12.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.4%
3-point %
37.0%
46.0%
Assist %
60.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 97.6Defence107.3 · 88.2Shooting52.7% · 52.6%3-point %35.4% · 37.0%Ball care18.0% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 12.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Neptunas wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/18ATrieste92-88
09/05/18AReggiana99-104
06/05/18HAvellino64-70
29/04/18APistoia74-61
22/04/18HVarese69-71
14/04/18ATorino67-65
07/04/18HCantu83-88
31/03/18ACremona78-91
25/03/18HBrindisi94-85
18/03/18ABrescia70-66
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/18HSkycop92-67
04/10/18AAlytaus Dzukija94-91
30/09/18HLietkabelis76-89
26/09/18APieno Zvaigzdes88-69
23/09/18HNevezis100-76
17/06/18ALietkabelis89-78
15/06/18HLietkabelis79-71
12/06/18ALietkabelis71-69
10/06/18HLietkabelis69-83
06/06/18ARytas82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Champions League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Neptunas
Champions League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Holon110100%93.069.0+24.0
2 Anwil Wloclawek110100%99.078.0+21.0
3 Tenerife110100%87.068.0+19.0
4 Banvit110100%89.076.0+13.0
5 Dijon110100%74.063.0+11.0
6 Strasbourg110100%81.071.0+10.0
7 Venezia110100%69.059.0+10.0
8 Antwerp Giants550100%86.877.2+9.6
9 Besiktas110100%78.070.0+8.0
10 Avellino110100%100.093.0+7.0
11 Opava110100%74.067.0+7.0
12 Hapoel M. Jerusalem110100%79.075.0+4.0
13 Fuenlabrada110100%89.088.0+1.0
14 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
15 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
16 Nizhny Novgorod75271%81.970.1+11.7
17 Fribourg Olympic75271%78.677.0+1.6
18 Nanterre32167%83.062.0+21.0
19 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
20 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
21 Murcia21150%74.572.0+2.5
22 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
23 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
24 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Bayreuth31233%76.374.7+1.7
30 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
31 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
32 Bamberg1010%88.089.0-1.0
33 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
34 AEK Athens1010%75.079.0-4.0
35 Lietkabelis1010%87.091.0-4.0
36 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
37 PAOK1010%59.069.0-10.0
38 Petrol Olimpija1010%71.081.0-10.0
39 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
40 Nymburk1010%63.074.0-11.0
41 Ludwigsburg1010%76.089.0-13.0
42 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
43 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
44 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
45 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
46 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
47 Bonn1010%68.087.0-19.0
48 Ventspils1010%78.099.0-21.0
49 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
50 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Virtus Bologna101419261483
Neptunas19142115978
← all games of the day
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