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Virtus Bologna vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 May 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 64-70
15-18 13-15 13-13 23-24
Position#7
Record15-13
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game75.6
vs
Position#4
Record18-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game77.7
ItalyLega ARound 29
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Avellino
03 Feb 2019
VIR88
AVE66
06 May 2018
VIR64
AVE70
28 Nov 2015
VIR81
AVE66
07 Dec 2014
VIR77
AVE76
22 Dec 2013
VIR74
AVE78
27 Mar 2013
VIR94
AVE78
29 Jan 2012
VIR76
AVE56
31 Oct 2010
VIR73
AVE66
22 Nov 2009
VIR73
AVE55
09 Nov 2008
VIR71
AVE78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H25/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H07/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H22/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A29/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
20-20
19-22
27-29
20-18
11-18
19-16
20-19
11-22
17-18
19-14
20-19
23-24
18-17
18-10
11-15
25-19
24-22
21-17
24-27
18-23
17-14
19-28
24-26
22-22
22-21
17-22
22-23
16-22
25-12
10-13
16-18
22-18
14-10
16-19
17-24
23-14
22-18
14-14
15-15
152.3Avg total
75.5Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.275.6153.9+2.654%
Season at home (14)81.574.5156.0+7.064%
Season away (14)74.976.8151.7-1.943%
Last 10 (10)75.576.8152.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)74.275.2149.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.572.5138.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.179.8157.9-1.738%
vs Weaker (11)80.169.3149.4+10.891%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#41
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
103-81
103
81
+22
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
31-8
15-23
20-22
17-14
17-16
19-25
21-33
26-15
27-24
24-16
18-17
15-15
22-16
28-21
10-20
31-25
28-23
25-13
19-20
18-15
30-18
12-22
22-17
16-20
25-13
15-15
12-20
25-25
15-23
15-15
14-14
13-25
17-9
16-29
21-17
13-15
19-26
29-22
18-18
157.0Avg total
80.6Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)83.777.7161.4+6.064%
Season at home (14)84.672.5157.1+12.179%
Season away (14)82.882.9165.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)80.676.4157.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)74.876.6151.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.378.9158.2+0.438%
vs Weaker (13)82.271.2153.4+11.169%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
Virtus BolognaAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H25/03
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/04
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H22/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/04
Lega A
76.5Avg total
38.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.237.978.0+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.837.980.7+4.971%-
Last 30 away (16)37.937.875.7+0.144%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.876.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.875.0+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.539.571.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.138.477.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker (11)43.536.179.6+7.582%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#41
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H28/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#2
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A01/04
Lega A
Cremona
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H08/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H11/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H15/04
Lega A
Bakken Bears
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A18/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A22/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H25/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Sassari
#6
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/05
FIBA Europe Cup
78.4Avg total
42.4Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.176.6+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.334.576.8+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.837.776.5+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.078.4+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.876.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.437.275.7+1.256%-
vs Weaker (13)43.235.078.2+8.269%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.1
52.1%
51.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.7
31.4%
34.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.610.1
64.7%
73.0%10.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellinotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.9
56.9%
51.6%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.810.0
43.9%
34.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws14.79.6
65.3%
73.0%9.6
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLWWLLL
Avellino
LLLWWWWWLW
#7
League position
#4
-2.1
Net rating
+10.7
100.4
Offensive rating
115.7
102.4
Defensive rating
105.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
60.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
20.6%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.4%
3-point %
43.9%
47.8%
Assist %
71.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 115.7Defence102.4 · 105.0Shooting50.2% · 60.2%3-point %31.4% · 43.9%Ball care17.9% · 20.6%Off. rebounds27.5% · 32.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Avellino
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Avellino wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/18APistoia74-61
22/04/18HVarese69-71
14/04/18ATorino67-65
07/04/18HCantu83-88
31/03/18ACremona78-91
25/03/18HBrindisi94-85
18/03/18ABrescia70-66
11/03/18HOlimpia Milano67-73
04/03/18AVenezia70-71
16/02/18ABrescia83-97
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/18AVenezia79-81
29/04/18HSassari67-80
25/04/18HVenezia69-77
22/04/18ACapo d'Orlando77-73 OT
18/04/18ABakken Bears82-72
15/04/18HPesaro103-81
11/04/18HBakken Bears75-72
08/04/18HCremona95-72
01/04/18AVenezia74-88
28/03/18HJuventus85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW54%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %54%64%43%
Points / game78.281.574.9
Allowed / game75.674.576.8
Point differential+2.6+7.0-1.9
Avg total153.9156.0151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)20% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Avellino
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeWLWWL79%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%79%50%
Points / game83.784.682.8
Allowed / game77.772.582.9
Point differential+6.0+12.1-0.1
Avg total161.4157.1165.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%57%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %21%14%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia2822679%82.878.6+4.2
2 Olimpia Milano2821775%81.374.3+7.0
3 Brescia2819968%79.174.9+4.2
4 Avellino28181064%83.777.7+6.0
5 Trento28171161%80.876.6+4.2
6 Varese28151354%78.075.0+3.0
7 Virtus Bologna28151354%78.275.6+2.6
8 Cantu28151354%87.587.8-0.2
9 Sassari28141450%85.582.9+2.6
10 Cremona28141450%84.182.5+1.6
11 Reggiana28121643%76.678.1-1.5
12 Torino28121643%80.282.6-2.4
13 Pistoia2891932%75.180.8-5.7
14 Brindisi2882029%77.081.8-4.8
15 Pesaro2872125%76.984.3-7.5
16 Capo d'Orlando2862221%71.084.1-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1513132364
Avellino1815132470
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