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Cremona vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 91-78
23-18 14-17 28-19 26-24
Position#10
Record11-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game81.5
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record13-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game75.7
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Cremona v Virtus Bologna
26 Jan 2026
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VIR84
26 Oct 2024
CRE69
VIR74
05 Nov 2023
CRE93
VIR83
12 Dec 2021
CRE75
VIR87
30 Jan 2021
CRE75
VIR88
29 Aug 2020
CRE66
VIR87
08 Dec 2019
CRE78
VIR66
09 Feb 2019
CRE87
VIR70
31 Mar 2018
CRE91
VIR78
06 Dec 2015
CRE73
VIR63
12 Apr 2015
CRE81
VIR76
20 Oct 2013
CRE82
VIR87
29 Sep 2012
CRE63
VIR74
11 Feb 2012
CRE83
VIR80
17 Apr 2011
CRE88
VIR95
03 Jan 2010
CRE69
VIR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
H28/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H11/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
A15/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
L
87-92 OT
87
92
-5
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H18/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
25-23
21-14
28-21
21-23
18-25
25-21
16-13
33-17
24-33
31-27
21-23
13-24
21-11
17-22
14-19
20-17
23-31
19-13
21-24
18-22
14-18
19-13
23-21
22-12
18-28
21-15
19-25
33-26
21-15
20-18
18-20
21-23
19-27
30-19
16-33
24-17
23-18
22-18
23-17
173.1Avg total
87.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)83.381.5164.8+1.850%
Season at home (11)86.478.8165.2+7.573%
Season away (11)80.384.2164.5-3.927%
Last 10 (10)87.885.3173.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)89.285.0174.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.383.6162.9-4.314%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.482.3166.7+2.150%
vs Weaker (6)85.878.0163.8+7.883%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H21/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
86-69
86
69
+17
A28/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
83-97
83
97
-14
A16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A04/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
70-66
70
66
+4
A18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H25/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
27-21
25-14
16-16
21-13
23-19
23-21
15-22
26-13
21-24
17-14
22-18
30-12
21-20
15-15
19-20
15-11
23-14
19-25
17-32
17-26
20-20
19-22
27-29
20-18
11-18
19-16
20-19
11-22
17-18
19-14
20-19
23-24
18-17
18-10
11-15
25-19
24-22
21-17
24-27
155.6Avg total
79.6Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.175.7154.8+3.357%
Season at home (12)82.473.7156.1+8.875%
Season away (11)75.578.0153.5-2.536%
Last 10 (10)79.676.0155.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.572.5138.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.579.0157.5-0.546%
vs Weaker (14)81.468.2149.6+13.293%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -2.6-2.6
CremonaVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A22/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H28/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A04/02
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Avellino
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A15/02
Italian Cup
Torino
#1
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#15
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H04/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A11/03
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H18/03
Lega A
86.9Avg total
43.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.082.8+0.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.739.384.9+6.467%-
Last 30 away (15)37.942.780.6-4.713%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.786.9-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.283.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.644.084.6-3.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.440.782.1+0.744%-
vs Weaker (6)46.038.384.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H13/01
Lega A
Trento
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H21/01
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A28/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/02
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A11/02
Lega A
Brescia
#2
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A16/02
Italian Cup
Venezia
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A04/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H11/03
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A18/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H25/03
Lega A
78.5Avg total
41.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.878.2+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.937.481.3+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)36.438.274.6-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)41.037.578.5+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.878.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.539.571.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.338.978.2+0.446%-
vs Weaker (14)43.035.978.9+7.179%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.1
48.2%
51.6%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.0
37.2%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.014.2
83.5%
73.0%14.2
They take 69.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.5
50.6%
51.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.5
36.0%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.310.1
62.0%
73.0%10.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cremona
WLWLWLLWLW
Virtus Bologna
WWLLLLWWWW
#10
League position
#7
+5.7
Net rating
+3.5
109.8
Offensive rating
104.5
104.2
Defensive rating
100.9
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.2%
3-point %
36.0%
52.8%
Assist %
47.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 104.5Defence104.2 · 100.9Shooting51.4% · 51.9%3-point %37.2% · 36.0%Ball care16.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.9% · 26.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Cremona   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Cremona wins
4
Virtus Bologna wins
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/18HTorino92-70
11/03/18ASassari86-102
04/03/18HPesaro92-79
17/02/18HTorino87-92 OT
15/02/18AAvellino89-82 OT
11/02/18HVenezia83-85
04/02/18APistoia65-76
28/01/18HCantu109-100
22/01/18AOlimpia Milano80-82
14/01/18ACapo d'Orlando95-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18HBrindisi94-85
18/03/18ABrescia70-66
11/03/18HOlimpia Milano67-73
04/03/18AVenezia70-71
16/02/18ABrescia83-97
11/02/18ASassari74-82
03/02/18HPesaro85-67
28/01/18ACapo d'Orlando86-69
21/01/18HTrento82-75
13/01/18HReggiana85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%73%27%
Points / game83.386.480.3
Allowed / game81.578.884.2
Point differential+1.8+7.5-3.9
Avg total164.8165.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW57%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayLWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %57%75%36%
Points / game79.182.475.5
Allowed / game75.773.778.0
Point differential+3.3+8.8-2.5
Avg total154.8156.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.072.6+7.5
2 Venezia2317674%82.079.2+2.8
3 Brescia2316770%79.374.3+5.0
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Virtus Bologna23131057%79.175.7+3.3
6 Trento24131154%79.376.2+3.1
7 Sassari24121250%86.483.8+2.5
8 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
9 Cantu24121250%87.088.2-1.1
10 Torino24121250%80.582.3-1.8
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese24111346%78.775.8+2.8
13 Pistoia2491538%76.381.0-4.7
14 Brindisi2481633%78.281.8-3.5
15 Pesaro2451921%76.484.4-8.0
16 Capo d'Orlando2451921%70.084.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2314282691
Virtus Bologna1817192478
← all games of the day
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