PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Virtus Bologna vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 09 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-84
13-23 24-18 24-22 26-21
Position#7
Record7-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game76.3
vs
Position#45
Record1-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game83.7
EuropeChampions League
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A21/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A25/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
L
85-88
85
88
-3
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A16/12
Lega A
Oostende
#27
L
76-77
76
77
-1
A19/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#5
L
81-89
81
89
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H25/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H06/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
20-19
23-24
25-22
28-22
19-23
20-20
19-24
25-18
18-24
15-27
16-17
22-16
25-25
20-21
18-26
28-12
22-16
21-16
10-27
16-20
19-17
21-18
20-22
13-29
27-14
16-25
25-21
28-15
13-25
16-12
24-17
9-20
17-21
23-11
16-19
24-16
18-18
21-29
25-17
161.7Avg total
81.2Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.176.3162.4+9.878%
Season at home (4)83.271.5154.8+11.8100%
Season away (5)88.480.2168.6+8.260%
Last 10 (10)81.280.5161.7+0.740%
Last 5 (5)78.277.2155.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.588.0161.5-14.50%
vs Similar (13)82.282.4164.5-0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.374.8158.2+8.577%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
70-69
70
69
+1
H16/12
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H18/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
76-92
76
92
-16
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
66-72
66
72
-6
H29/12
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A30/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
A04/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#16
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
26-14
8-21
17-20
23-21
11-14
18-16
18-18
22-15
16-11
20-34
18-20
18-22
18-24
23-21
17-25
16-18
22-20
22-25
15-17
15-15
17-18
19-20
15-19
20-19
21-19
16-21
21-17
16-20
21-19
15-16
23-20
21-19
17-13
18-21
20-19
26-25
17-21
21-19
31-27
155.3Avg total
76.0Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.183.7158.8-8.611%
Season at home (5)72.685.2157.8-12.60%
Season away (4)78.281.8160.0-3.525%
Last 10 (10)76.079.3155.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)79.079.2158.2-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.882.4156.2-8.617%
vs Similar (12)83.086.9169.9-3.942%
vs Weaker (6)85.876.8162.7+9.083%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -0.7-0.7
Virtus BolognaPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/11
Champions League
Pesaro
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A25/11
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H09/12
Lega A
Neptunas
#24
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A12/12
Champions League
Pistoia
#16
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A16/12
Lega A
Oostende
#27
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/12
Champions League
Brindisi
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H25/12
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A30/12
Lega A
Brescia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/01
Lega A
80.8Avg total
41.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.537.978.4+2.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.836.475.2+2.471%-
Last 30 away (16)41.939.281.2+2.762%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.080.8+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.075.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.841.880.5-3.050%-
vs Similar (13)39.539.879.3-0.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.034.876.8+7.277%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#9
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H14/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H16/12
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H18/12
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Mornar Bar
#10
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A23/12
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H29/12
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A30/12
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A07/01
Slovenian Cup
74.8Avg total
38.0Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.181.3-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.537.775.3-0.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.744.587.3-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.874.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.675.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.142.879.8-5.725%-
vs Similar (12)41.041.982.9-0.942%-
vs Weaker (6)44.536.380.8+8.283%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.0
52.5%
52.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
34.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.4
72.0%
73.8%13.4
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.0
47.4%
52.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
34.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
73.8%17.4
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWLLWLLLW
Petrol Olimpija
WWLWLLLLWL
#7
League position
#45
+4.0
Net rating
-8.4
115.8
Offensive rating
103.5
111.8
Defensive rating
112.0
52.8%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
15.1%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.5%
3-point %
36.9%
43.1%
Assist %
58.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.8 · 103.5Defence111.8 · 112.0Shooting52.8% · 50.5%3-point %35.5% · 36.9%Ball care15.1% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 31.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateGameScore
24/10/18Petrol Olimpija v Virtus Bologna61-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19HBrescia88-80
30/12/18ATrento65-71
25/12/18HReggiana81-69
22/12/18ABrindisi81-89
19/12/18AOostende76-77
16/12/18APistoia81-71
12/12/18ANeptunas85-88
09/12/18HSassari74-86
25/11/18APesaro86-89
21/11/18APromitheas95-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/19ARogaska95-92
05/01/19HTajfun Sentjur76-72
04/01/19AZadar80-84 OT
30/12/18APolzela78-76
29/12/18HPartizan66-72
23/12/18AMornar Bar75-80
20/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto76-92
18/12/18HPromitheas76-80
16/12/18HKK Krka Novo mesto70-69
14/12/18HHelios Domzale68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Champions League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL78%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %78%100%60%
Points / game86.183.288.4
Allowed / game76.371.580.2
Point differential+9.8+11.8+8.2
Avg total162.4154.8168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%25%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%25%0%
Petrol Olimpija
Champions League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %11%0%25%
Points / game75.172.678.2
Allowed / game83.785.281.8
Point differential-8.6-12.6-3.5
Avg total158.8157.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife109190%81.667.3+14.3
2 Murcia119282%75.968.5+7.4
3 Hapoel M. Jerusalem108280%87.576.4+11.1
4 AEK Athens108280%80.275.5+4.7
5 Virtus Bologna97278%86.176.3+9.8
6 Aris43175%74.560.8+13.8
7 Bakken Bears43175%80.873.5+7.2
8 Venezia107370%86.080.3+5.7
9 Bamberg107370%83.680.0+3.6
10 Promitheas107370%83.281.0+2.2
11 Avellino107370%84.583.1+1.4
12 Nizhny Novgorod1510567%79.671.9+7.7
13 Kauhajoen Karhu64267%76.784.5-7.8
14 Antwerp Giants149564%82.678.9+3.8
15 Banvit106460%81.274.3+6.9
16 PAOK106460%80.376.5+3.8
17 Hapoel Holon106460%82.680.0+2.6
18 Strasbourg106460%76.374.4+1.9
19 Nanterre116555%83.072.7+10.3
20 Lukoil Levski42250%84.281.2+3.0
21 Cantu42250%82.280.8+1.5
22 Spirou Charleroi63350%70.569.0+1.5
23 Estudiantes42250%70.069.2+0.8
24 Besiktas105550%76.177.4-1.3
25 Z-Mobile Prishtina21150%69.572.0-2.5
26 Minsk21150%75.580.0-4.5
27 Norrkoping21150%66.571.5-5.0
28 Hapoel Tel-Aviv21150%67.573.0-5.5
29 Oostende105550%75.380.8-5.5
30 Bonn94544%85.187.0-1.9
31 Fribourg Olympic167944%78.882.4-3.6
32 Bayreuth125742%78.675.8+2.8
33 Neptunas104640%82.983.4-0.5
34 Anwil Wloclawek104640%79.681.6-2.0
35 Le Mans104640%72.275.7-3.5
36 Torun62433%75.074.5+0.5
37 Lietkabelis103730%74.877.9-3.1
38 Dijon103730%75.779.5-3.8
39 Nymburk103730%77.082.2-5.2
40 Ventspils103730%77.683.6-6.0
41 Fuenlabrada103730%75.884.0-8.2
42 Donar Groningen41325%72.072.5-0.5
43 Ludwigsburg102820%76.183.2-7.1
44 Petrol Olimpija91811%75.183.7-8.6
45 Opava101910%73.493.1-19.7
46 Saratov2020%82.583.5-1.0
47 CSM Oradea2020%79.083.5-4.5
48 Szolnoki Olaj2020%69.579.5-10.0
49 Sakarya BB2020%68.581.5-13.0
50 Siauliai2020%72.085.0-13.0
51 AEK Larnaca2020%64.579.5-15.0
52 Leicester Riders2020%80.596.5-16.0
53 Pardubice2020%70.588.5-18.0
54 FC Porto2020%67.089.0-22.0
55 Dinamo Tbilisi2020%59.091.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1324242687
Petrol Olimpija2318222184
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.