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Pesaro vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-86
22-28 23-19 20-20 24-19
Position#15
Record3-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.7
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#11
Record4-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game86.3
ItalyLega ARound 8
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Pesaro v Virtus Bologna
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PES79
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25 Nov 2018
PES89
VIR86
14 Oct 2017
PES75
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25 Oct 2015
PES68
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26 Dec 2014
PES67
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27 Apr 2014
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30 Mar 2013
PES101
VIR91
08 Jan 2012
PES86
VIR77
07 Nov 2010
PES66
VIR70
21 Apr 2010
PES90
VIR73
02 Nov 2008
PES99
VIR65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
81-112
81
112
-31
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
73-88
73
88
-15
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
62-97
62
97
-35
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
103-77
103
77
+26
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A19/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
13-19
24-13
20-22
20-21
18-16
22-16
17-21
14-28
22-29
24-30
21-25
18-23
21-20
18-15
26-19
22-20
10-22
18-22
23-24
9-27
19-25
14-28
20-17
20-31
14-19
27-24
21-23
27-17
17-33
19-15
18-19
22-21
24-16
25-16
32-24
26-17
21-28
18-27
25-15
167.0Avg total
80.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.086.7168.7-4.743%
Season at home (3)89.383.7173.0+5.767%
Season away (4)76.589.0165.5-12.525%
Last 10 (10)80.786.3167.0-5.650%
Last 5 (5)83.688.4172.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)77.687.2164.9-9.624%
vs Similar (4)82.282.0164.2+0.250%
vs Weaker (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A21/10
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
92-61
92
61
+31
A24/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H28/10
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
74-67
74
67
+7
H30/10
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A04/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#8
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H11/11
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H14/11
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
82-79
82
79
+3
H18/11
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A21/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
22-21
18-24
30-20
19-16
27-11
23-17
23-17
17-22
20-16
17-25
12-21
19-19
15-12
19-20
21-16
19-21
16-27
15-21
25-25
19-21
28-20
21-25
26-24
17-26
30-16
19-18
24-21
13-18
27-22
21-18
26-23
26-15
18-27
17-16
21-21
27-20
20-19
23-24
25-22
166.3Avg total
85.1Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.986.3169.1-3.457%
Season at home (4)79.283.0162.2-3.850%
Season away (3)87.790.7178.3-3.067%
Last 10 (10)85.181.2166.3+3.980%
Last 5 (5)89.683.2172.8+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)71.884.8156.5-13.00%
vs Similar (13)80.781.2161.9-0.546%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)85.072.4157.4+12.6100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
PesaroVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H06/05
Lega A
Sassari
#6
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A09/05
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H07/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/10
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A21/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H28/10
Lega A
Brescia
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H12/11
Lega A
Cantu
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A19/11
Lega A
82.3Avg total
37.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.644.582.1-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.941.779.6-3.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.247.084.2-9.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.544.882.3-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.886.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.144.781.8-7.624%-
vs Similar (4)42.243.285.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)31.045.076.0-14.00%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A21/10
Lega A
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A24/10
Champions League
Cremona
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H28/10
Lega A
Bayreuth
#35
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H30/10
Champions League
Venezia
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A04/11
Lega A
Besiktas
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A07/11
Champions League
Cantu
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H11/11
Lega A
Strasbourg
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H14/11
Champions League
Torino
#13
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H18/11
Lega A
Promitheas
#17
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A21/11
Champions League
81.9Avg total
42.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.277.5+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.335.975.2+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.579.9+2.860%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.481.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.885.8+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.041.276.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (13)39.838.077.8+1.862%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.834.377.2+8.583%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.6
49.7%
51.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.6
32.2%
35.1%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.416.7
74.6%
72.3%16.7
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.2
49.2%
51.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.7
37.2%
35.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.112.8
70.7%
72.3%12.8
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WWLLLLWLWW
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWLWLWW
#15
League position
#11
-8.6
Net rating
-2.2
102.2
Offensive rating
109.7
110.8
Defensive rating
111.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.7%
Turnover %
13.2%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
37.2%
46.1%
Assist %
41.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 109.7Defence110.8 · 111.9Shooting49.2% · 51.5%3-point %32.2% · 37.2%Ball care17.7% · 13.2%Off. rebounds26.6% · 27.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Pesaro   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
7
Virtus Bologna wins
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/18ACantu90-87
12/11/18HTrieste103-77
04/11/18ABrescia81-84
28/10/18HOlimpia Milano82-97
21/10/18AVenezia62-97
14/10/18ABrindisi73-88
07/10/18HPistoia83-77
09/05/18ASassari81-112
06/05/18HVenezia77-74
29/04/18AOlimpia Milano75-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/18APromitheas95-85
18/11/18HTorino82-79
14/11/18HStrasbourg87-81
11/11/18HCantu90-81
07/11/18ABesiktas94-90
04/11/18AVenezia75-94
30/10/18HBayreuth74-67
28/10/18HCremona66-84
24/10/18APetrol Olimpija92-61
21/10/18AAvellino96-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW43%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game82.089.376.5
Allowed / game86.783.789.0
Point differential-4.7+5.7-12.5
Avg total168.7173.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%50%67%
Points / game82.979.287.7
Allowed / game86.383.090.7
Point differential-3.4-3.8-3.0
Avg total169.1162.2178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano880100%93.579.8+13.8
2 Venezia87188%87.170.1+17.0
3 Avellino85362%85.881.2+4.5
4 Cremona85362%85.681.6+4.0
5 Brindisi85362%80.176.9+3.2
6 Varese85362%78.275.6+2.6
7 Virtus Bologna74357%82.986.3-3.4
8 Trieste84450%84.885.0-0.2
9 Pesaro73443%82.086.7-4.7
10 Sassari83538%83.482.6+0.8
11 Cantu83538%83.987.8-3.9
12 Brescia72529%78.179.4-1.3
13 Torino72529%79.682.6-3.0
14 Reggiana82625%81.287.8-6.5
15 Trento82625%76.688.0-11.4
16 Pistoia82625%81.594.5-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2223202489
Virtus Bologna2819201986
← all games of the day
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